Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[NautiNurse]

She's applauding the EOC managers. Asking people to be considerate of each other. National Guard deployed.

[Types_with_Fist]

but New Orleans is the worst by a long shot.

Thanks. I haven't been keeping track of this one. I had heard a couple of days ago about a "tropical storm" hitting Florida. I thought it might actually be a relief for folks there but then I hear "hurricane" and now we have this. Geez.

I know about New Orleans. My hometown (Houma) is just to the southwest in Terrebonne Parish. But wouldn't the "doomsday scenario" require a more direct and northwest hit at the river? Just curious.

[mwp99]

BLANCO: "Thank you Parish President Broussard. We appreciate this opportunity."

Appreciate the opportunity for what?

[nwctwx]

lol, we all make mistakes. ;-)

[Melpomene]

That bridge scares me to death!

Have you been on the Huey P. Long? That one is s-c-a-r-y!

[Diddle E. Squat]

You are wrong. I've seen the computer models, they include a hit from the SW.

[Strategerist]

All the stories and rumors fall apart on close examination.

We saw the same laughable nonsense with Charley.

[nwctwx]

Ok, this one is right... 950mb

---

000
URNT12 KNHC 271734
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 27/17:15:50Z
B. 24 deg 25 min N
085 deg 15 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 60 kt
E. 310 deg 019 nm
F. 040 deg 083 kt
G. 314 deg 038 nm
H. 950 mb
I. 9 C/ 3657 m
J. 18 C/ 2436 m
K. 18 C/ NA
L. OPEN SE
M. C50
N. 12345/NA
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF306 WX12A KATRINA01 OB 05
MAX FL WIND 83 KT NW QUAD 17:05:10 Z
MAX FL TEMP 21 C, 309 / 16NM
OUTER EYE ON RADAR 50 NM DIA OPEN SE.
INNER EYE 40% COVERAGE SSW - SE

[highimpact]

Blanco makes me realize how lucky we are to have Jeb Bush here in Florida.

[sono]

Potential Cat 4 Hurricane bearing down on the Big Easy clearly defines Blue Monday ... I spent 4 of the best yrs of my life in NOLA. If present projections hold true ( and thus far Katrina has been anything but predictable), this promises to be a disaster, possibly worse than Andrew was for South FL.

[pax_et_bonum]

Have you been on the Huey P. Long? That one is s-c-a-r-y!

Yes, I have! ...on an Amtrak train.... you can't see any of the bridge from the windows... only straight down to the water.

It was AWFUL!!!

[SVTCobra03]

How did she ever get elected governor? She is weak and shows no leadership or confidence. How did she ever win a debate?

[LA Woman3]

Highlights of press Blanco press conference....

We are very concerned. We know it can shift.....
I feel it is wise to be prepared....
Listen to your parish leaders. I think it is wise to make the decision of contraflow at the right time. Be careful drivers. Your goal is to be safe. Be patient.
All parishes are working in a coordinated effort. We are a team. We have to keep everyone safe. Perhaps we can pray very hard....

[NautiNurse]

Isn't that the truth! Listening to Jeb yesterday made me realize how much we will miss him after next year. He really shines during tough times like this.

[Types_with_Fist]

You should try it in a car during bumper-to-bumper rush hour traffic...:-)

[janetjanet998]

they seem to be playing this down with vol. evacs only for the NO only?

[NautiNurse]

Telling folks NOT to use the Huey P Long Bridge...

[Fast5]

Wonder if there will be Evacuation Shelters opened up in the Panhandle of Florida on I-10 to house all these folks?

[Types_with_Fist]

Telling folks NOT to use the Huey P Long Bridge...

That's wise advice at any time. The thing sways with a slight breeze.

[Blennos]

No, I have only been here for 4 years. That bridge scares me to death! Not a safe feeling when you can't see any land!

I hate all bridges, especially the tall ones and avoid them whenever I can. There is a fairly common condition called "gephyrophobia" (inordinate fear of bridges) which I may actually have. Whenever I cross a bridge, I get a very anxious feeling. Nothing to do with the hurricane.