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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:


WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: byebyebigeasy; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; miami; tropical; weather
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To: NautiNurse
Yes, it is frightening. Most people when traveling in a foreign country don't check the news. Europeans are no different.

They will be totally unprepared. I hope someone goes through the streets and tells them.

1,221 posted on 08/27/2005 5:42:04 PM PDT by Miss Marple (Lord, please look after Mozart Lover's son and keep him strong.)
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To: janetjanet998

I'm close to Baton Rouge....not New Orleans.


1,222 posted on 08/27/2005 5:42:07 PM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: Ellesu

Dont you remember the last one...that hit Mobile instead...the people headed to the rooftops to watch the storm roll in.


1,223 posted on 08/27/2005 5:42:08 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: CajunConservative; LA Woman3

NHC guy on 870 AM radio said animals are leaving the coast. "Flocks of snakes and turtles".


1,224 posted on 08/27/2005 5:42:14 PM PDT by Ellesu (www.thedeadpelican.com)
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To: LA Woman3
Saturday, August 27, 2005 Hurricane Center director warns New Orleans: This is really scary
By Mark Schleifstein Times-Picayune Staff Writer
National Hurricane Center Director Max Mayfield said Saturday afternoon that Hurricane Katrina will be at least a Category 4, with winds of 145 mph when it approaches the New Orleans area, and that it could be a Category 5, with winds of 155 mph or higher.
Meanwhile, computer model runs conducted by a team of Louisiana State University scientists indicate that even if Katrina had winds of only 115 mph, levees protecting Kenner, Metairie and New Orleans on the east bank will be overtopped by a 10- to 12-foot storm surge, topped by waves at least half that high, in some locations along Lake Pontchartrain.
"The guidance we get and common sense and experience suggests this storm is not done strengthening," Mayfield said in a telephone call from Miami-Dade County, which was hit by a Category 1 Katrina earlier in the week.
"This is really scary," he said. "This is not a test, as your governor said earlier today. This is the real thing."
Mayfield warned residents intent on not leaving in advance of Katrina to learn from the storm's effects in south Florida. "We think this was a solid Category 1 when it made landfall here," he said. "But we had windows in new homes that blew in when they were designed for 145 mph winds."
Mayfield also warned people not to focus on the eye of the storm, as atmospheric conditions are perfect for Katrina's intensity to stretch far to the east and west of its eye.
"This thing is like Hurricane Opal," he said, referring to a huge 1995 hurricane that hit the Florida panhandle as a Category 3 storm. "We're seeing 12-foot seas along the Louisiana coast already."
Ivor van Heerden, a scientist at the LSU Hurricane Center, said he's also concerned that the waves atop the surge in Lake Pontchartrain could weaken levees and cause additional overtopping.
"The bottom line is this is a worst-case scenario and everybody needs to recognize it," he said. "You can always rebuild your house, but you can never regain a life. And there's no point risking your life and the lives of your children."
1,225 posted on 08/27/2005 5:43:06 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: Miss Marple
He told them he was covering the approaching hurricane and they didn't know anything about it.

So much for the information age.

1,226 posted on 08/27/2005 5:43:32 PM PDT by beyond the sea ("I was just the spark the universe chose ....." --- Cindy Sheehan (barf alert))
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To: Ellesu

Are you serious?


1,227 posted on 08/27/2005 5:44:03 PM PDT by Types_with_Fist (I'm on FReep so often that when I read an article at another site I scroll down for the comments.)
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To: Ellesu

Well, flocks of snakes and turtles heading inland is enough for me! ANYONE IN NEW ORLEANS GET OUT!!!


1,228 posted on 08/27/2005 5:44:11 PM PDT by Miss Marple (Lord, please look after Mozart Lover's son and keep him strong.)
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To: Ellesu

The animals always know.


1,229 posted on 08/27/2005 5:44:56 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse
Here's a newer "Vortex" message from NHC:

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 28/00:01:40Z
B. 24 deg 50 min N
  085 deg 51 min W
C. 700 mb 2587 m
D. 45  kt
E. 217 deg 056 nm
F. 285 deg 090 kt
G. 209 deg 008 nm
H. EXTRAP  942 mb
I.  10 C/ 3042 m
J. 18  C/ 3049 m
K. 15  C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. E12/40/30
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1  nm
P. AF300 1512A KATRINA      OB 05
MAX FL WIND 90 KT SW QUAD 23:59:10 Z
MAX FL TEMP 19C 320/6NM FROM FL CENTER
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700MB
RAGGED EYE WALL

So it looks like the extrapolated pressure was 942 millibars for this report.

1,230 posted on 08/27/2005 5:45:41 PM PDT by snowsislander
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To: NautiNurse

It is pretty cool. I just found it myself.


1,231 posted on 08/27/2005 5:45:57 PM PDT by CajunConservative
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To: NautiNurse
Here's a newer "Vortex" message from NHC:

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 28/00:01:40Z
B. 24 deg 50 min N
  085 deg 51 min W
C. 700 mb 2587 m
D. 45  kt
E. 217 deg 056 nm
F. 285 deg 090 kt
G. 209 deg 008 nm
H. EXTRAP  942 mb
I.  10 C/ 3042 m
J. 18  C/ 3049 m
K. 15  C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. E12/40/30
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1  nm
P. AF300 1512A KATRINA      OB 05
MAX FL WIND 90 KT SW QUAD 23:59:10 Z
MAX FL TEMP 19C 320/6NM FROM FL CENTER
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700MB
RAGGED EYE WALL

So it looks like the extrapolated pressure was 942 millibars for this report.

1,232 posted on 08/27/2005 5:46:44 PM PDT by snowsislander
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To: janetjanet998

Mayfield also warned people not to focus on the eye of the storm, as atmospheric conditions are perfect for Katrina's intensity to stretch far to the east and west of its eye.


1,233 posted on 08/27/2005 5:47:53 PM PDT by beyond the sea ("I was just the spark the universe chose ....." --- Cindy Sheehan (barf alert))
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To: Miss Marple

It seems like it will hit between Gulfport, just east of NO, and the central coast of Louisiana according to a radio discussion I am listening to, as a category 4.


1,234 posted on 08/27/2005 5:47:53 PM PDT by Torie
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To: Miss Marple

remember how all the animals left before the tsunami


1,235 posted on 08/27/2005 5:49:30 PM PDT by beyond the sea ("I was just the spark the universe chose ....." --- Cindy Sheehan (barf alert))
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To: Ellesu
NHC guy on 870 AM radio said animals are leaving the coast. "Flocks of snakes and turtles".

The same thing happened in SouthEast Asia before the Tsunami of Dec. 26th, 2004 in the Indian Ocean...hmmmm

1,236 posted on 08/27/2005 5:50:09 PM PDT by yield 2 the right
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To: Ellesu
NHC guy on 870 AM radio said animals are leaving the coast. "Flocks of snakes and turtles".

It is the most amazing thing -- just like before the typhoon. Low frequency vibrations or something? They're smarter than the people in the Oyster Bar, that's for sure. The one guy's working on his sixth or seventh "Cheer for Katrina"

1,237 posted on 08/27/2005 5:50:11 PM PDT by steve86 (@)
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To: Torie

Bad news. I feel compelled to encourage people to evacuate now, even though the ones who are needing to hear this message are not on the internet. They are partying and foolishly ignoring the warnings.


1,238 posted on 08/27/2005 5:50:49 PM PDT by Miss Marple (Lord, please look after Mozart Lover's son and keep him strong.)
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To: Ellesu

Yes, I heard it....
And I assume you heard the caller that lived in a trailer that thought it was going to be a bad storm because his neighbor's dog is named Katrina.....


1,239 posted on 08/27/2005 5:51:03 PM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: BearWash

typhoon=tsunami


1,240 posted on 08/27/2005 5:51:19 PM PDT by steve86 (@)
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