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Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.
The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
"Good to know he is nearly finished with the chores. Prayers for a safe trip home."
Thank you so much for the prayers! And I hope his chores are done. Depending on what the hurricane does, we may have to board up OUR house next!
I saw her also - and was scratching my head as to who the dingbat was - when I finally realized she is the governor I couldn't believe it. God be with the people of LA with her at the helm.
gfdl just in takes it right over NO still..and right over the nHC center path.....that is the best model too
Channel 6:
Traffic is backup on I-10 going West. Bumper to Bumper reports are that it takes 1 1/2 hours to travel from Clearview to Laplace.
ContraFlow doesn't seem to be working so well..
The pressure at the surface is extrapolated (EXTRAP) from the 700 mb level in order to get an estimate. (The hurricane hunters can't actually fly near the surface, they fly above where the winds are less violent (This is true for warm core cyclones, winds decrease with height, which is the opposite for cold core cyclones (the typical L's that you see at the midlatitudes on a weather map)) It says the height where 700 mb is found is at 2604 meters, so they use an equation that estimates what the pressure would be if you brought a parcel of air at the 700 mb level down due to the surface.
She doesn'tproject the kind of personality one normally expects to see in a Politician.....how did she get elected?
bookmark
roger that. now, I would go. In the night with less traffic b4 the rush tomorrow. it has really stabilized on this trac
It doesn't look good at all right now.
Ivan did turn east at the last, maybe NO will avoid a direct hit. Lord knows Florida's panhandle doesn't need another hit but neither does any other place. It's a no win situation with a storm like this.
I'll be right back here come morning. These FReep threads beat the heck out of the "News". Thanks for keeping it bumped.
I wouldnt be too hard on the Mayor....there are a lot of factors to be looked at in announcing a huge evacuation like that....
I would consider how much gasoline is available to be one of them, along with the number of $20 bills in the area. Imagine if everyone in the evacuation area went to fill their tanks and to the ATM at once.
The eastward shift is interesting. This might go along with an earlier post that Texas could be hit if the ridge continues moving slowly.
At least the Mayor of NO started out by saying "This is not a drill, this is the real deal" (or words to that effect)
Praying for all anywhere in the path of this monster.
It's 824 pm here (an hour ahead of NO time) and I keep refreshing that bar link, thinking GET OUT YOU FOOLS!!!
Ugh. They're just ordering appetizers, aren't they.
Good. I'm told people in Tillman's Corner are boarding up their windows already. We will do so tomorrow morning.
it is starting the turn now just exactly like the NHC track called for.
NOT GOOD.
As a fellow Ascension Parisher, what are your plans? Are you boarding up? We are putting up our hurricanes shutters and plywood over all the exterior glass. The next 24 hours will decide whether we get a moderate storm here or a severe one. Much better for us if it passes East of NO and we get just the weaker western side of the hurricane.
those people will drink right through it....those bars wont close down!
Treasure Bay, but I'm just being persnickety!
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