Posted on 08/26/2005 4:00:49 PM PDT by RWR8189
PRINCETON, NJ -- A new Gallup Poll reflects further erosion in President George W. Bush's job approval rating, continuing the slow but steady decline evident throughout the year so far. The poll -- conducted Aug. 22-25 -- puts Bush's job approval rating at 40% and his disapproval rating at 56%. Both are the most negative ratings of the Bush administration. Bush's previous low point in approval was 44% (July 25-28, 2005) and his previous high point in disapproval was 53% (June 24-26, 2005).
Bush's average approval rating for the last three Gallup Polls -- all conducted in August -- is 43%. The rolling average has been steadily declining throughout the year. Bush's average approval ratings for January, February, and March of this year were in the 50% to 52% range, but they then began declining slowly in subsequent months. Bush's average approval rating in May was 48%, declining to 46% in June, rising slightly in July, and then declining again to the current three-poll average of 43%.
The following chart shows the rolling average for Bush's job approval rating this year, with each average consisting of three poll measurements.
The current poll finds a drop in support for Bush among independents, and a small drop in support among Republicans to the lowest level of his administration.
In two July polls in which Bush averaged an overall 49% approval rating, an average of 46% of independents approved. In the subsequent three polls (July 25-28, Aug. 5-7, and Aug. 8-11), Bush's overall approval average dropped to 45%, and his average support among independents fell to 37%. Now, in the current poll, 32% of independents approve. (An average of 41% of independents have approved across all 2005 polls to date, excluding the most recent poll.)
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
(Denny Crane: "Sometimes you can only look for answers from God and failing that... and Fox News".)
There is something terribly wrong with this poll. The large number of "independents", given universal voting patterns, is really very questionable. Can it be that more and more people are lying to pollsters? If so, one can only say Thank God.
That's what I used to think until the 2004 elections. Now I think polls like this show only that Democrats and disaffected Independents are more willing to talk to pollsters than Republicans. That could indicate a problem with voter enthusiasm among Republicans. More likely, it reflects any poll taken among adults (not likely voters) during a vacation month in a non-election year. No one in their right mind thinks that a 35D, 29R, 34I split is representative of the actual voting public.
The Gall. Still pushing bullzogby I see.
Pravda did a better job.
It makes a lot of sense if the goal is to get the support for a headline that says "Bush is down in popularity".
Doesn't matter if the issues he is for get him some support and cost him some support or the issues he ignores lose him some support and gain (or at least don't cost) him some support.
You know that they DO such research because their market share/circulation figures are slipping.
That is classified.
Their constant carping and criticizing has finally begun to undermine public support for President Bush and the war in Iraq.
Too bad Bush doesn't care and will stick to his committment to fight terrorism and finish the job in Iraq regardless.
Arent they the people who gave all the undecideds to Kerry?
Yea,They are above partsian games
Flawed poll or not, it has an impact as well on the public's perception of him. When they see a 40% rating, it will affect their view, their opinion of the president and in turn his policies and the entire republican party. If Karl Rove is half the genius everyone seems to think he is, he has a lot of work to do.
Out come the chicken littles
WOOOOOOOOOO IS US!!! OH,WOOOOOOOOOOOOOO IS US!!!
Your graphs linking the price of gasoline with the presidential approval ratings is spot on.
I am convinced that if the gas prices were to drop to socialy "acceptable" norms, then the president's approval ratings go up.
If the Bush decides to do nothing (and the gas prices stay high), Bush and the GOP will suffer the same fate as Hoover.
Even if all Bush does is somthing that appears to do somthing (and some sort of effort), Americans will feel more at ease.
I am not advocating socialism, just pointing out the facts. The speculators are going to kill this country like they did during the depression if we do not watch it.
Speculators are keeping prices at emergency prices while the demand is no where that level - plus supply is increasing.
In the end, if we do not watch it, the public will elect dims in office - I will give you one guess what will be the first legislative item on their agenda.
He has to get out front on the gasoline issue and talk about opening up drilling and building new refineries. For some reason he has let the media run all over him.
It's not about winning re-election, it's about President Bush quickly becoming a lame-duck president who suddenly can't do anything to advance his agenda.
I still don't understand why they did that.
I think it was more of an act of cowardice than bias.
Allocating 90% of the undecideds to Kerry was the only way they could avoid making a call on the election.
If they had allocated undecideds 50/50 they would have their final prediction head on.
more or less this poll has been slanted by the MSM. Add in the gas prices and the Iraq War, both being covered negatively by the MSM, and you get your result.
Does this mean that he probably won't be re-re-elected?
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