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Hurricane/TS Katrina Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 26 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida

Images:


Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Excellent South FL radar loop

Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; tropical; weather
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To: ZOTnot

Saw a special on disasters on some cable channel. They said NO is the worst case scenario of all US cities for any storm above a cat 2.


741 posted on 08/26/2005 8:49:17 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: nwctwx

Tomorrow the models will pick a new target city :) heh She continues to move southwest tonight. Appears more SW than anything else.


742 posted on 08/26/2005 8:49:25 PM PDT by silentknight
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To: Dog Gone

I'm sure Katrina has some suprises left for us. The next two days will be very fascinating.


743 posted on 08/26/2005 8:49:45 PM PDT by TheLion
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To: Ellesu

Oh my--do you think they want it on the record that Blanco declared a state of emergency Friday? I stopped counting after seeing it three times. The article still says they are at the lowest alert level.


744 posted on 08/26/2005 8:49:54 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

I hope people do not wait too long to try to get out, even with the new routes etc., traffic will be at a crawl. Mayor of NO usually opens the superdome for people who can't leave to stay, but this may not help them this time. So many are without transportation, even phones, and have no way to get out.


745 posted on 08/26/2005 8:50:27 PM PDT by Ellesu (www.thedeadpelican.com)
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To: dawn53
When is this thing supposed to start turning northward.

That's anybody's guess.

746 posted on 08/26/2005 8:50:42 PM PDT by alnick
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To: nwctwx

Thanks for the info. You are so good at this!


747 posted on 08/26/2005 8:51:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Ellesu

According to our local paper the death toll was up to 6 in Florida.

http://www.sptimes.com/


748 posted on 08/26/2005 8:52:18 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: silentknight

They just might. The NGM still shows it headed to TX at 84 hours. Maybe she'll just keep going west. ;-)


749 posted on 08/26/2005 8:52:27 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Dog Gone; LA Woman3

In fact, if you stay in Baton Rouge, you might be able to make a little profit. Do you have a spare bedroom or two? An extra sofa? Become an "instant" B&B.


750 posted on 08/26/2005 8:53:10 PM PDT by Tall_Texan (Visit Club Gitmo - The World's Only Air-Conditioned Gulag.)
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To: dawn53

I believe the death toll is now seven in Florida.


751 posted on 08/26/2005 8:53:30 PM PDT by silentknight
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To: LA Woman3

http://www.weather.com/newscenter/specialreports/hurricanes/vulnerablecities/neworleans.html


752 posted on 08/26/2005 8:54:14 PM PDT by Ellesu (www.thedeadpelican.com)
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To: alnick

Seems like all the projected tracks are zeroing in on NO, yet the storm hasn't even turned north.

So far the models have had to adjust west, then further west.

Reminds me of Ivan last year when it was near Cuba and the Caymans. It kept tracking west even though they thought it would turn.


753 posted on 08/26/2005 8:55:11 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: alancarp

Looks like a sitting duck for Katrina.

I think the worstof this storm is going to happen to N.O.
this time. Law of averages.


754 posted on 08/26/2005 8:55:20 PM PDT by Palladin (America! America! God shed His grace on Thee.)
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To: silentknight

St. Pete Times, wrong again, LOL.


755 posted on 08/26/2005 8:56:18 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: dawn53
Reminds me of Ivan last year

Sheesh--they sure wanted the storms to plow up into Tampa Bay last year...was on the road when they announced the TB Ivan track. People already burned out from Charley & Frances started running off the road, and into other cars. Saw 5 distinct auto accidents in 10 minutes that morning.

756 posted on 08/26/2005 8:58:58 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Yeah, I was just reading that article about evacuating NO, and there was also a link about evacuating Tampa/St. Pete.

But we did a pretty good job evacuating the county when Charley was headed toward us. Of course, Jeb Bush and the county EOC gave the order the minute the Hurricane Warnings were posted for the area.

I think they gave the evac order on a Thursday at noon, and by Thursday evening, my MIL's entire retirement condo had been evacuated in Greyhound buses to a sister facility in Sarasota.

Of course, the irony of it was that the Sarasota facility got more of a taste of Charley, than their waterfront retirement center on Tampa Bay.


757 posted on 08/26/2005 9:03:50 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: Ellesu

Hopefully Blanko won't be caught up with the birth of a grandchild this time and open all lanes of interstate for evacuation. I'm keeping my eye on this thing. I'm in the Lake Charles area and until it turns north I don't trust it all.


758 posted on 08/26/2005 9:03:54 PM PDT by CajunConservative
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To: NautiNurse

The Queen Bee is a disaster. Like someone earlier posted, a state of emergency was declared for this state when she was elected.


759 posted on 08/26/2005 9:04:10 PM PDT by Ellesu (www.thedeadpelican.com)
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To: Ellesu

More great images tonight

http://www5.wright-weather.com/bb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=48399&perpage=25&pagenumber=4

Check out that last satellite photo!!!! Truly amazing.


760 posted on 08/26/2005 9:08:20 PM PDT by silentknight
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