The '03 campaign, and
-Dan
Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.
The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
They'll be OK. I'm just a bit skittish, I guess. I keep thinking about that New Orleans doomsday scenario and wondering if this is the bullet that finally hits the bullseye.
By the time they sober up and get the news, well, nevermind.
Every person I have talked to today didn't even know about the hurricane tracking our way....
That's been the trend all yr in the GOM it seems. I would expect some correction east once they all stop shifting west. Of course, that could still put NO in a tough spot. We'll see.
-Dan
Durin Ivan, one bar in the French Quarter stayed open and had a hurricane party. Amazing!
I hope you're not in New Orleans, or if you are you're leaving no later than tomorrow morning?
VERY WELL SAID!!
We are outside of Baton Rouge. I grew up in Texas, so this is all new to me!
Thank you for the prayers. BTW, I count my brother-in-laws as the stubborn duck hunters who won't leave even if a Cat 5 is bearing down because they have a boat. I don't argue with them anymore because I'm not a duck hunter. LOL! And my apologies to all duckhunters who DO take their families and leave the metro area when a hurricane is bearing down on this area!
When do you say, enough is enough, I'm ain't dodging it anymore because I ain't never been kilt yet?
New Orleans is a sitting duck in the traffic lane. Traffic may avoid it for awhile, but some 18-wheeler isn't going to be so thoughtful.
Same guy that calls Nevada "Nah-vahhh-da."
"But I'm still licking my chops at the thought of him knocking off Mary Landrieu in '08."
David Vitter's OUTRIGHT win really knocked Landrieu for a loop. No one, her included, saw that one coming. Her re-election bid will very interesting.
But even that's not worth it.
-Dan
it still has a slight southward component to its movement right now, the longer it delays the turn to the north, the further west its going to come ashore.
I spoke too soon earlier when I posted, lost power this afternoon and got it back about an hour ago. We have water again but are warned not to drink any tap water and to boil it prior to using it to wash dishes. I'm still not exactly sure when we will have drinkable water from the tap.
From what I've seen around town is plenty of flooding, many tree's down, including numerous royal palms on Canal Drive blocking the way. We tried to go down Kings Highway but it's flooded out. I heard from a friend on mine with HPD that most of the area around the hospital is either flooded out of had trees blocking the way. The city was out pretty clearing roads.
Most of the farm land in the Redlands is still there, but obviously flooded along with most of the area.
I too took this storm to be nothing, as we were told the entire time Katrina was heading to the E. Coast. Local news was saying Dade would get little, maybe some heavy rains. Last we really heard was that Katrina would make a direct hit in Palm Beach County. Next time I'll take more precautions.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.