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Hurricane/TS Katrina Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 26 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida

Images:


Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Excellent South FL radar loop

Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; tropical; weather
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To: Howlin

congrats enjoy the new grand child, I do enjoy mine every day


141 posted on 08/26/2005 6:05:08 AM PDT by markman46 (engage brain before using keyboard!!!)
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To: Howlin
Congratulations!!

You need to change your tagline.

142 posted on 08/26/2005 6:11:25 AM PDT by blam
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To: Howlin

WOOOOOOO HOOOOOOOOO!!! Congratulations! Send hugs and kisses:)


143 posted on 08/26/2005 6:16:32 AM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve)
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To: newzjunkey

Somebody showed me this link last night.

http://www.wxnation.com

Lots of links to live webcams. Just click on an area and all the local links for that area comes up.

Pretty cool link.


144 posted on 08/26/2005 6:43:55 AM PDT by dawn53
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To: Howlin

What a precious pic :)


145 posted on 08/26/2005 6:47:57 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: highimpact

ping


146 posted on 08/26/2005 6:55:16 AM PDT by highimpact (Navarre, FL)
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To: NautiNurse

Oh, crap! If Katrina stays on track, it looks like Perdido Key and Pensacola are gonna get hit again!


147 posted on 08/26/2005 7:16:04 AM PDT by SuziQ
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To: NautiNurse

Checking in from Homestead, FL. Had some pretty impressive winds and heavy rains. Right now, we are flooded. Three of 4 sides to my house are completely under water. Between the high water and trees down, nobody is going anywhere anytime soon.

Obviously we have electricity and phone in some areas here, however, strangly, we do not have water. Just barely a trickle coming out.

Prayers for the safey of everyone also impacted by Kitrana.


148 posted on 08/26/2005 7:17:21 AM PDT by Brytani ("Opportunity is missed by most people because it is dressed in overalls and looks like work - Edison)
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To: Brytani

Thank you for checking in. Please continue to keep us posted as you are able.


149 posted on 08/26/2005 7:34:48 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Howlin

Congratulations, She's beautiful!


150 posted on 08/26/2005 7:46:34 AM PDT by trillabodilla (Pray for President Bush!)
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To: NautiNurse

Looks like a huge amount of flooding.


151 posted on 08/26/2005 7:46:45 AM PDT by ImphClinton (Four More Years Go Bush)
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To: NautiNurse
we're getting some heavy wind and rain and some notable gusts as the bands pass through on Key West

.

152 posted on 08/26/2005 7:52:23 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: Elle Bee

Who expected this, eh?


153 posted on 08/26/2005 7:55:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse
Forcast advisory is predicting 100kt (115mph) intensity, or Cat 3, before landfall:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCMAT2+shtml/DDHHMM.shtml
154 posted on 08/26/2005 7:56:49 AM PDT by numberonepal (Don't Even Think About Treading On Me)
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To: Elle Bee
Hurricane Katrina Advisory Number 12

Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on August 26, 2005

...Katrina getting stronger as it moves slowly westward away from
South Florida...

 
at 11 am EDT...1500z...the Tropical Storm Warning for the Southeast
Florida coast from Florida City northward has been discontinued.

 

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for all of the Florida
Keys and Florida Bay from Dry Tortugas northward... and along the
Florida Gulf Coast from south of Florida City westward and northward
to Longboat Key.  A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical
storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the
next 24 hours.

 
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for portions of the Florida
West Coast from north of Longboat Key to Anclote Key.  A tropical
storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible
within the watch area... generally within 36 hours.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located
near latitude 25.1 north... longitude 82.2 west or about 45 miles
northwest of Key West Florida and about 75 miles south-southwest of
Naples Florida.

 
Katrina is moving toward the west near  7 mph...and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.

 
NOAA Doppler radar data and reports from an Air Force Reserve unit
hurricane hunter aircraft indicate maximum sustained winds are near
80 mph...with higher gusts. Katrina is a category one hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the
next 24 hours...and Katrina is forecast to become a category two
hurricane by Saturday.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  25 miles...from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to  85 miles. During the past hour...a NOAA ship anchored in Key
West Harbor reported sustained winds of 59 mph with a gust to 86
mph in heavy rain squalls.

 
The estimated minimum central pressure based on reports from a
University of South Florida sea-Coos buoy is 981 mb...28.97 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...
can be expected along the West Coast of Florida in areas of onshore
flow south of Venice... and in Florida Bay.  Storm surge should
continue to decrease this morning along the East Coast of Florida.

 
Katrina is expected to produce additional rainfall of 5 to 8 inches
over the Florida Keys and 3 to 5 inches over northwestern Cuba. 
Isolated storm total amounts of 15 to 20 inches are possible over
the Florida Keys.

 
Isolated tornadoes are possible today over extreme southern Florida
and the Florida Keys.

Repeating the 11 am EDT position...25.1 N... 82.2 W.  Movement
toward...west near  7 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds... 80 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 981 mb.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 2 PM EDT followed by the next
complete advisory at 5 PM EDT.

 
Forecaster Stewart

155 posted on 08/26/2005 7:57:21 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse
I would have hung the kevlar had I known it was going to blow like this ..... power just went out again ... I haven't seen all of the 3 Elvis movies I've tried to catch this morning

I guess life's not so bad

.

156 posted on 08/26/2005 7:58:29 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: NautiNurse
There's absolutely nothing out there that should prevent this storm from becoming a major hurricane, maybe even a Cat 4.

Crossing Florida as quickly as it did barely phased her and she should quickly intensify. The NHC this morning was indicating a Cat 1 or Cat 2 storm at landfall near Panama City. That's too far east and too weak, in my opinion.

Of course, they're paid professionals and I'm an unpaid amateur, but I don't think this story has a happy ending.

157 posted on 08/26/2005 8:03:17 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: ExcursionGuy84

Glad to have you check in with a Broward Co. report. Katrina seems to have a few more tricks up her sleeve.


158 posted on 08/26/2005 8:03:29 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Pressure appears to be falling rapidly in Katrina at this time.


159 posted on 08/26/2005 8:04:58 AM PDT by silentknight
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To: silentknight

Just heard that. 11AM update indicated 981mb. Now appears to be 971mb. Uh oh...


160 posted on 08/26/2005 8:07:05 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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