Posted on 07/13/2005 7:11:21 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:
NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET.
NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET
Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)
Puerto Rico Long Range Radar Loop
Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the 3 day and 5 day historic track positions
my b is reading 29.7
There is a bit of a trough extending into central TX right now... should move through before Emily gets close. I see the radar is lit up though, at least you have some rain around the area! :)
LOL!!
sw
If nothing else changes and she shoots the Yucatan gap, we'd better hope it hits Kenedy County.
Yes, thank the lord, we finally got some real rain. I was thinking that maybe this new trough is what is effecting the models. I was also thinking that if the trough is strong enough Emily might be an Fla storm.
Well, I still think the models have had a south bias all season, and we will see them move north a bit. Definately not time to let your gaurd down, especially if you live in South Texas.
Emily is still too far away from the mainland U.S. to be affected by any troughiness dropping down right now. Though, the trough may be a sign that the ridge near TX is not quite as strong as people are predicting. Just yesterday it had quite a grip on the whole GOM... that didn't take too long to erode (at least partially) today.
hmmm, well this is one galveston Texan that is going to pay attention. That snow in the winter, cane in the summer thing has got me thinking this is our(Houston/Galvenson) year.
Which direction do you think Emily will go if it reaches South Texas? Will it go north like Dennis did? That would put East Texas (Dallas area) in it's path I would think.
We don't want Emily here. Not this storm. This one has every indication of one you'd run away from because there is nothing foreseeable which would weaken it except an extended Yucatan visit.
When does Larry over at http://www.easternuswx.com usually post his hurricane forecast? I'd expect to be seeing it very soon.
Be fine by me... no rain here in San Antonio since May. Storms all around us now, but none coming into Bexar County. My grass is all browned out despite watering it every other night.
Yup Emily might not be for us, we might get a cat 5 sept cane.
You had better hope not, because your house would end up downtown.
...Major Hurricane Emily moving toward the central Caribbean...
a Hurricane Watch is in effect for Jamaica. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area... generally within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for portions of the southern coast of the Dominican Republic from Punta Salinas westward to the Dominican Republic/Haiti border... and for the entire southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Dominican Republic/Haiti border to Port-au-Prince.
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect for the northern coast of Venezuela from Pedernales westward to punto fijo... including Isla Margarita and the offshore islands north of the coast and west of Cumana.
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect for Bonaire... Curacao... and Aruba.
Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean should monitor the progress of Emily.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 8 PM AST...0000z...the center of Hurricane Emily was located near latitude 13.3 north... longitude 66.7 west or about 415 miles... 670 km... south-southeast of Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic.
Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph... 32 km/hr... and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained are near 115 mph... 185 km/hr... with higher gusts. Emily is a category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles... 35 km... from the center... and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles... 185 km.
The minimum central pressure reported by a United States Air Force reconnaissance aircraft was 962 mb... 28.41 inches.
Emily is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across portions of the Netherlands Antilles... and 3 to 6 inches over portions of Hispaniola...with possible isolated amounts of 8 inches. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Repeating the 8 PM AST position...13.3 N... 66.7 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 20 mph. Maximum sustained winds...115 mph. Minimum central pressure... 962 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 11 PM AST.
Forecaster Knabb
I think the whole state is bone dry. We had quite a bit of rain today, I don't know where it came from the weather folks didn't predict it. The weather channel was saying a chance of thunderstorms while it was pouring buckets outside!
I just don't want all the rain to come in one day. :)
Emily ain't so bad, small, tight, I'll take her over one of those huge super 100 year storms like Allen anyday. Those are the ones that scare me. Emily core is what 30 miles max? If you have to get hit, Emily might be the best option.
Dallas is in north Texas, no where near the coast.
That's today, Day 1.
Having only lived here in God's Country for eight months, I have to ask, when was the last significant cane to hit Texas?
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