There is a bit of a trough extending into central TX right now... should move through before Emily gets close. I see the radar is lit up though, at least you have some rain around the area! :)
Yes, thank the lord, we finally got some real rain. I was thinking that maybe this new trough is what is effecting the models. I was also thinking that if the trough is strong enough Emily might be an Fla storm.
When does Larry over at http://www.easternuswx.com usually post his hurricane forecast? I'd expect to be seeing it very soon.