Posted on 06/09/2005 6:00:41 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
The horserace numbers currently stand at Casey 44%, Santorum 37%.
(Excerpt) Read more at dalythoughts.com ...
No big deal. Santorum will take him in the stretch run.
I know that Santorum has a knack for beating the odds, but he's never faced an opponent of Casey's caliber. Also, in previous elections, Santorum benefitted from social issues or greater name I.D. Casey takes both off the table.
Dang---what can a Texan do to help?
Here is my take on this:
Ultimately this election will be decided in the Philly burbs, as Casey cuts into Santorum's western PA base. So your limosine liberals and country club RINO's have to chose from a social conservative/fiscal liberal and a social conservative/fiscal conservative. In the end they will vote their pocket books and re-elect Rick 52/48, barring massive vote fraud.
Casey doesn't take social issues off the table.
Casey will vote with Harry Reid to fillabuster pro life anti gay marraige conservative supreme court justices.
Harry Reid is a pro life democrat in the senate would you say that he in a race would take social isses off the table against a conservative.
What good is Harry Reid being pro life if he is an obstructionist for conservative judges. Casey will fit the same mold.
Wait till Casey fillabusters Bush's judges then tell me how social conservative he is.
When you are a democrat you are not a social conservate because you fillabuster social conservative judges.
Casey would also be a vote against the nuclear option. Casey would also be a vote against having 60 senators to break a fillabuster.
About the only thing we out-of-state people can do is donate to Rick. Well I've made some bucks in oil stocks this year and Rick can have a few of those. I think he'll win because he has the advantage of being an influential Senator who can do more for PA than a freshman.
Whoa. I agree with everything you wrote.
I was just posting my analysis of how I think people in PA will vote. IOW their perceptions, not mine. Or atleast, my perception of their perception.
I agree with your perception a hundred percent that is the mindset of the pa electorate.
Keep dreaming.. Santorum is a dead duck.. I'll take any bet on it.
Agree.. Casey is an All-star candidate for the Dems..
Well I thought PA was fairly evenly split between the two parties in voter registration. Is that incorrect? Do the Dems lead in registered voters? The poll doesn't look too meaningful to me at this stage.
The question is will Casey be able to raise money? We need to remind the bluest parts of PA that the restrictive PA abortion laws are his father's doing. This tactic may hinder Casey's fundraising abilities.
The economy and gasoline prices must improve next year. The Santorum's fate will be a referundim of what Keystone voters think of President Bush.
I hope not. Bush has lost PA twice. Including in 2000 when Rick won reelection.
We were not very happy with Santorum and Bush going to bat for Anal Sphincter in 2004, helping him pull his a$$ out of the fire - We finally had him beat with a strong Republican. Now little Ricky has to come home for re-election! To close to call for me. I live in a BLUE County where many Repub are afraid to register Repub for fear of retribution. If you check the "Bush Map" I live in the only blue county in SW, PA.
I agree. Santorum is probably going to lose. I heard a rumor that Specter will step down and Rendell will appoint Casey as his replacement. I don't believe this for a second. Specter will not step down. Therefore, a Casey-Santorum race is coming up. I think Casey would win fairly easily.
I understand. I volunteered for Toomey.
I guess being an outsider (Ohio) I let it go easier.
The Casey name is VERY VERY powerful in Pennsylvania politics.
His father was a very popular Governor for a while..
His brother lost a congressional race by about 2% in an red area that went 60-40 for Bush both years.
Bob Casey Jr. wins his statewide races by the largest amounts of any candidates. Nobody has gotten more votes than him in statewide races over his last 2 general elections.
Dems lead in party registration in this state, and moderate GOP'ers who don't follow politics closely will vote for Casey in fairly large numbers!
Santorum only got 53% of the vote in 2000 against a no-named Ron Klink who didn't even put up a fight.
Out of 67 Pennsylvania counties for the Dem Governor nomination.. Ed Rendell only won like 9 counties (Southeast) and Casey won the rest.
This was the power of Casey in the 2004 election, when he ran for State Treasurer.
Bush won Adams County, 28k to 13k for Kerry.
Casey won Adams County, 20k to 19k over his GOP opponent.
Kerry won Allegheny County (Pittsburgh), by 368k to 271k over bush.. by 97,000 votes.
Casey won Allegheny County, 416k to 175k, 241,000 votes!!
One of Bush's strong counties, Cumberland, he won by 67k to 37k.
Casey won Cumberland by 54k to 46k.
In Lancaster county, Kerry lost by 71,000 votes.. Casey only lost by 24,000 votes..
There are LARGE, LARGE numbers of GOP who will vote for Bob Casey Jr in a heartbeat.. Sadly.. Rick Santorum will not be re-elected..
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