Posted on 06/08/2005 3:59:21 PM PDT by Lonely Bull
000 WTNT31 KNHC 082059 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT WED JUN 08 2005
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES... 375 KM... SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 315 MILES... 510 KM...SOUTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD AS IT ORGANIZES...BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY IN RAINBANDS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY SQUALLS...SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...17.2 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
$$
That's a bit more true than you might believe! Have company due in here tomorrow night from MN. LOL!
...Ship report indicates Tropical Depression One has become Tropical Storm Arlene...the first tropical storm of the 2005 season...
at 8 am EDT...1200 UTC...the government of Cuba has extended the Tropical Storm Warning eastward to include the city of Havana and Havana province. A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for western Cuba from Pinar del Rio to Havana province...including the Isle of Youth.
Interests elsewhere in the northwestern Caribbean and the southeastern Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 8 am EDT...1200z...the center of Tropical Storm Arlene was located near latitude 19.1 north...longitude 84.0 west or about 185 miles... 295 km...west of Grand Cayman and about 190 miles... 305 km...south-southeast of the western tip of Cuba.
Arlene is moving toward the north near 8 mph...13 km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue with an additional increase in forward speed during the next 24 hours. This motion could bring the center near western Cuba tonight.
A report from a ship between the center of Arlene and the Cayman Islands indicates maximum sustained winds are have increased to near 40 mph... 65 km/hr...with higher gusts. Some additional slow strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 150 miles ...240 km mainly to the northeast of the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb...29.59 inches.
Heavy rainfall...accompanied by squalls...is spreading across the Cayman Islands...as well as central and western Cuba. Total rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches are possible in these areas in association with Arlene.
Moisture flowing from the southwest into Arlene is producing very heavy rains over portions of Central America...particularly Nicaragua and Honduras. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Repeating the 8 am EDT position...19.1 N... 84.0 W. Movement toward...north near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 40 mph. Minimum central pressure...1002 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 11 am EDT.
Forecaster Beven
Good morning!! Got my surfboard waxed...
Please include me on the ping list. Thanks!
lol!!
It's our 25th wedding anniversary this September and we're thinking of holding off on a trip until after the hurricane season is over. It looks like a pretty active season.
"at 8 am EDT...1200 UTC...the government of Cuba has extended the Tropical Storm Warning eastward to include the city of Havana and Havana province"
Using the NOAA weather website.
*windy bump*
LOL
Shoulda put that right about where Jacksonville is.
Storms go between the dry areas right?
Please don't tell me you were one of the silly folks surfing in Ivan's wake last year! There were all sorts of shattered piers and docks lurking along the shoreline from the previous storms just waiting to bite surfers.
You have been added to the ping list.
Hey Peach,
Our 25th this year too! Also my sister and BIL's 25th. (We gave my parents the gift of two weddings within 6 weeks of each other.)
1980 must have been a good year, LOL!
Although our anniversary is this summer, we're planning a trip in December.
Are you the one that stole that Munch painting?
I'm on the right coast in Jacksonville and they're giving us 70% rain chance for Sat, 50% for tomorrow and Sun, with approx 20 mph winds. Currently forecasting that anyway.
I'll be thinking of you in September! Freepmail me if you wish about where you're thinking of going in December.
It's my wallpaper now.
No!!! It's too EARLY!!!!
LOL! Good one.
For goodness sakes, it's after 8AM already...that's not too early...
;o)
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