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Blair Heads for a Third Landslide with 10-point Lead
Telegraph ^ | Sunday, April 17, 2005 | Patrick Hennessy

Posted on 04/17/2005 2:05:19 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative

Labour has widened its lead over the Conservatives to 10 points and is heading for a third successive landslide general election win on May 5 with a majority of more than 150, an ICM opinion poll for The Telegraph reveals today.

The survey shows that Labour has surged ahead in the past week of campaigning, since Gordon Brown returned to the front line and the party made the handling of the economy the centrepiece of its campaign. ICM puts Labour on 40 per cent, up two points from last Sunday, with the Conservatives down four per cent on 30 and the Liberal Democrats up two on 22 per cent.

If repeated on polling day, with a uniform swing across the country, Labour would have a majority of 158, only seven fewer than its 2001 victory. Using the same calculation, three senior shadow cabinet ministers, David Davis, Oliver Letwin and Tim Collins, would lose their seats, all to the Liberal Democrats. The Conservatives would win just one seat from Labour, and finish with 155 MPs, 10 fewer than in 2001.

The poll - which shows that the gap between the two main parties is the widest since the capture of Baghdad in the Iraq War two years ago - is a bitter blow for Michael Howard, the Conservative Party leader. Today Mr Howard will attempt to recapture the initiative by unveiling more details of his party's tax-cutting proposals, a programme which totals £4 billion. The latest announcement, worth £1.7 billion, will be tax cuts designed to encourage saving in pensions schemes, an area where Tory strategists believe the Government has "completely failed."

(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Philosophy; Politics/Elections; United Kingdom; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: blair; conservative; election; labour; liberaldemocrat; ukelection; unitedkingdom; wariniraq; waronterror
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1 posted on 04/17/2005 2:05:22 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative
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To: West Coast Conservative
Well, I guess all the hype about how the Iraq War and being Bush's poodle would torpedo Blair was just that....hype.

At least it sold a few papers.

2 posted on 04/17/2005 2:11:11 PM PDT by zarf
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To: West Coast Conservative; Marie007; TigerLikesRooster; Fedora; Cincinatus' Wife

Wait, this can't be happening. The MSM said that he was a friend of Bush, and led British support for the war on Iraq, so he couldn't be reelected!


3 posted on 04/17/2005 2:11:11 PM PDT by risk
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To: West Coast Conservative

So are we supposed to be rooting for a Labour Party victory? Strange world we live in... The only possible bad outcome that could come out of this election (from the U.S. point of view), would be a narrow Labour win. In such an event, Blair would probably be dumped by his own party, and replaced by a more radical leftist Labourite.


4 posted on 04/17/2005 2:19:38 PM PDT by ambrose (....)
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To: West Coast Conservative

Interesting. If the polls are to be believed, and that is always a caveat, the British people want tougher law enforcement, a tough prosecution of the WoT, but more socialism domestically.


5 posted on 04/17/2005 2:20:07 PM PDT by swilhelm73 (Appeasers believe that if you keep on throwing steaks to a tiger, the tiger will become a vegetarian)
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To: West Coast Conservative

So much for Iraq being a big issue in this election, though southern Iraq is pretty much quiet these past months.


6 posted on 04/17/2005 2:23:30 PM PDT by LdSentinal
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To: West Coast Conservative

I am happy to hear it.

I would prefer a conservative normally, BUT I didn't want to see Blair defeated, just because he had the guts to stand up to the terrorists and world opinion and support us in our Iraq war with tagible, significant help.


If he had been defeated now, that would have been a message to all leaders, that supporting the US is bad for their political careers.

Thank God, Blair is winning a decisive victory.


7 posted on 04/17/2005 2:24:41 PM PDT by FairOpinion
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To: zarf
Well, I guess all the hype about how the Iraq War and being Bush's poodle would torpedo Blair was just that....hype. At least it sold a few papers.

It's all Bush's fault.

Well maybe some of it is Delay's, Rice's, Powell's, Frist's, Rumsfeld's, and Cheney's fault too.

8 posted on 04/17/2005 2:27:42 PM PDT by af_vet_1981
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To: ambrose

"So are we supposed to be rooting for a Labour Party victory?"

Blair has proven himself to be a loyal ally to American interests. What else should matter if you have an American passport?


9 posted on 04/17/2005 2:35:20 PM PDT by New Orleans Slim
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To: West Coast Conservative

The Guardian tried very hard to bring down Blair because of his ties to the US. Last fall, they tried to bring down Pres. Bush with their letter-writing fiasco to Ohio voters. Fortunately, they are leftist morons who never succeed at anything.


10 posted on 04/17/2005 2:39:34 PM PDT by kittymyrib
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To: ambrose

In this case, we're Labour through and through.


11 posted on 04/17/2005 2:49:01 PM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: ambrose

Well, it's tough. In all other respects we really ought to be rooting for a Conservative victory (which ain't gonna happen).


12 posted on 04/17/2005 2:52:50 PM PDT by mcg1969
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To: West Coast Conservative

It should be pointed out that there were other polls out today as well, one with a 6 point Labour lead, another with a 1 point Labour lead. The word being used to describe public opinion is "volatile".


13 posted on 04/17/2005 2:58:11 PM PDT by gary_b_UK
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To: mcg1969

Tony Blair could not have been a more stalwart ally to GW Bush. He is no yes man and that's good because yes men are of little value for internal discussion and debate. Tony Blair's wife serves as a left wing extremist in those same private internal debates and this is exactly what one should have formulating policy -- a look at all sides.

We know the pressures and screaming the resolute GW Bush endured. I happen to have been in Europe frequently the past few years and I know the pressure on Blair was even more intense, and yet there he stands, alongside GW Bush, never suggesting he wants to stand anywhere else.

Labour is not the natural ally of the GOP, and this year that matters not a whit. There has probably never been a foreign leader more deserving of GOP support.


14 posted on 04/17/2005 2:59:34 PM PDT by Owen
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To: ambrose
The safest place for the Tories: in the wilderness
15 posted on 04/17/2005 4:09:59 PM PDT by 1066AD
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To: MadIvan

What's the inside story?


16 posted on 04/17/2005 7:05:01 PM PDT by MrDem (Monthly Special: Will write OPUS's for Whiners and Crybabies for no charge.)
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To: zarf
Like John Howard, Tony Blair's support of President Bush hasn't hurt him politically. In fact its paid huge dividends. That's going to draw the Labour Party as well as the U.K even closer to America, no matter who suceeds Blair. The Anglosphere is stronger than ever!

(Denny Crane: "Sometimes you can only look for answers from God and failing that... and Fox News".)
17 posted on 04/17/2005 8:21:11 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: West Coast Conservative

Ten years ago this news would have made me "deeply saddened", to quote a former politician from the Dakota's. But I've gained a modicum of respect for Blair over the past four years.


18 posted on 04/17/2005 8:40:11 PM PDT by yooper (If you don't know where you're going, any road will take you there......)
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To: West Coast Conservative
Though politically different, the Tories in the UK are like the Democrats here. They are a party of contrarian losers whose platform is willy-nilly and incoherent.

As unpopular as Blair may be, they Tories are going to get crushed.

The more frightening thing, in my opinion, is that according to this poll, 40% of the electorate is pulling for the socialist party (Labor), and a full 22% more is pulling for the lunatic socialist party (Liberals). This bodes really ill for the future of Britain.
19 posted on 04/17/2005 8:41:07 PM PDT by Antoninus (In hoc signo, vinces †)
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To: West Coast Conservative
LOL! The liberal media said Bush and Blair were doomed.

If Blair is ALSO re-elected, it will be just too sweet for words.

20 posted on 04/17/2005 8:42:28 PM PDT by Jorge
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