Posted on 04/01/2005 12:13:30 PM PST by Strategerist
We foresee an above-average hurricane season for the Atlantic basin in 2005. Also, an above-average probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is anticipated. We have adjusted our forecast upward from our early December forecast and may further raise our prediction in our later updates if we can be sure El Niño conditions will not develop.
PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS:
1) Entire U.S. coastline - 73% (average for last century is 52%)
2) U.S. East Coast Including the Florida Peninsula - 53% (average for last century is 31%)
3) Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 41% (average for last century is 30%)
4) Expected above-average major hurricane landfall risk in the Caribbean
ABSTRACT Information obtained through March 2005 indicates that the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season will be an active one. We estimate that 2005 will have about 7 hurricanes (average is 5.9), 13 named storms (average is 9.6), 65 named storm days (average is 49), 35 hurricane days (average is 24.5), 3 intense (category 3-4-5) hurricanes (average is 2.3) and 7 intense hurricane days (average is 5.0). We expect Atlantic basin Net Tropical Cyclone (NTC) activity in 2005 to be about 135 percent of the long-term average. The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be 140 percent of the long-period average. We expect this year to continue the past-decade trend of above-average hurricane seasons.
(Excerpt) Read more at hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu ...
Somebody with a DU accout ought to post this over there so we can really get some big laffs!
No. What are they? Do they replace the screws?
They are metal Z-Shaped clips that fit between the plywood and the window frame of the house whether brick or wood. The wedge the plywood in the window hole without screws nails or damage to the house. They pop out easily when the storm is over and are re-useable. The wood is up and in the window in about 15 seconds. If you are handy with metal you can make your own........
My in-laws live south of Vero Beach...they purchased roll-down metal shutters a few years ago and are now very glad they have them. Of course my Old Fart Father-in-law now thinks he's prescient!
Oh, Sh
Oh joy! Isn't that much better! Thanks
Oh joy! Isn't that much better! Thanks
Ill wait until December to make my hurricane predictions for 2005.
I'm thinking hurricanes are going to make landfall quite a few times this year ... in Florida.
Another method my wife and I came up with for Ivan:
Rigid foam inserts for the windows. Either styrofoam or other stiff "shipping" type closed cell foam (1-2" thick) cut to the shape of the window and wedged tightly in the window frame. We had 130 mph winds that took out 15 trees in our yard but the foam in the windows didn't budge........
That is a great idea. We had to evacuate, and when we returned, the dining window's plywood was bowed. Something struck it very hard.
Our neighbor had six trees drop onto his house, pool, cabana, and was just disgusted.
Trees. Can't cut them all down though. 130 mph would tear this place up completely. ~sigh~
I've always wanted to design a modern house.
I don't have to worry about trees anymore..........
CRAP! And that's for a major hurricane, not just one of those that knocks potted plants and your barbecue into the pool.
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