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How Unique Is Our Cosmic Patch? [Cosmology, Anthropic Principle]
RedNova.com ^ | 05 January 2005 | Martin Rees & Helen Matsos

Posted on 01/05/2005 7:18:54 AM PST by PatrickHenry

Astronomer Royal, Sir Martin Rees talks about the conditions for life. How unique is our world? Is the universe itself just the byproduct of many failed, sterile or stillborn universes that might have preceded it?

Helen Matsos: I was recently at a gathering of scientists, including notables such as Mitchell Feigenbaum, Oliver Sacks, and Neil deGrasse Tyson, and discovered you are much admired among this group. For instance, Neil referred to you as one of the last great gentleman astronomers of our time.

Martin Rees: (laughs) Does he mean it as compliment or not?

Mastos: Maybe he was referring to your title of Astronomer Royal. My understanding is that this role dates back to 1675, and was established to rectify the tables of star motion used for navigation. I'm wondering what's the modern-day relevance of this role.

REES: The quaint antique title indeed goes back to 1675, when the Royal Observatory was set up in Greenwich and the person in charge was given this title. The reason there is a title of Astronomer Royal, but no Chemist Royal or Physicist Royal, is that those other sciences were not professionalized and supported by governments until much later. Astronomy is one of the oldest sciences -- perhaps the oldest after medicine - and may be the first to do more good than harm.

But in the last 50 years, British astronomy has been making use of telescopes overseas with clearer skies, and the Greenwich Observatory is now essentially a museum. The title of Astronomer Royal was made an honorary title given to a senior academic astronomer. So my "day job" is being a professor at Cambridge University, and the title is purely honorary.

Mastos: Britain has such a rich history of supporting science and producing brilliant scientific minds. For instance, we're sitting here in Cambridge, looking across the green to where Isaac Newton worked and lived. What is Britain's role in the field of science today?

REES: It's true we have a proud tradition of science, from Newton through Darwin, James Clerk Maxwell, J.J. Thomson and many others.

Circumstances are rather different today, because government support is now more important than private patronage. But in the UK, you still have a strong tradition in science, partly because the British government has been more enlightened than many other European governments in providing a growing science budget. We hope to be able to maintain our competitiveness with the United States. We're much smaller, of course, but in terms of quality we can be a world force in science.

Mastos: In your book, "Just Six Numbers," you say there are six numbers that dictate the state of the universe, and that if any one of them were slightly different, then life as we know it would be impossible. Are any of your numbers related to ones in the Drake equation, which calculates the probability of life in the universe?

REES: We don't really know the likelihood of life because the uncertainties in the Drake equation, which still are still very large, are the probabilities that life gets started given the right kind of initial soup. Astronomers can't say whether life is likely or unlikely, because the most uncertain terms in the Drake Equation are the terms biologists have to solve for us.

Mastos: Then what can astronomers predict based on your six numbers?

REES: Astronomers can say what the necessary conditions are for life, but not the sufficient ones. In order for life to develop, there have to be habitats in the universe that are stable, are warmed by a star, and contain not just hydrogen but all the elements in the periodic table, like oxygen, carbon, and phosphorus, that are important for life.

In the last few decades, astronomers and cosmologists have been able to understand how our physical universe has evolved over nearly fourteen billion years, from its beginnings to the so-called big bang to its present state with galaxies, stars, and planets. We are starting to understand how stars and galaxies formed as the cosmos cooled down from its hot initial state. Those first stars were fueled by the same process of an H-bomb: the conversion of hydrogen to helium. Then even hotter stars fused helium into carbon, oxygen, and the rest of the periodic table.

Every atom on Earth was forged in an ancient star that completed its life more than four and a half billion years ago. Those ancient stars exploded, throwing debris back into interstellar gas. Our solar system condensed from interstellar clouds contaminated by the debris from earlier stars. So we are literally the ashes of long dead stars, or, if you are less romantic, we are the nuclear waste from fuel that made those ancient stars shine. On the basis of this hypothesis, we can understand why oxygen and carbon are common but gold and uranium are rare, and how they came to exist in our solar system.

Mastos: So your six numbers are setting the physical parameters for life to occur in the universe?

REES: We can understand how stars and planets formed, and how they came to contain all the basic elements necessary for life. So setting the scene for the origin of life is something we do understand better. Then biologists take over, and biology is a harder subject than physics and astronomy, because what makes things hard to understand is not how big they are but how complicated they are. As I said in one of my books, an insect is more complex than a star. A star is basically a large ball of gas held together by gravity, while even the smallest insect has layer upon layer of structure and is a far greater challenge to understand.

In a universe where the basic governing physical laws were different, these processes couldn't have happened. If gravity were too strong, then you couldn't have long-lived, stable stars, because gravity would crush everything. If the forces within the atomic nucleus were too strong, then hydrogen would not exist. If those nuclear forces were too weak, then only hydrogen would exist, and not the other elements.

So it does seem that there are various ways in which the laws of physics are fine-tuned, and the same is true of the universe itself. You could imagine a universe that expanded so fast that gravity could never pull together proto-galaxies or proto-stars. Or a universe that expanded so slowly, it collapsed before there'd been time for anything much to happen. You could imagine a universe that contained no atoms at all -- just dark matter and dark energy. So in order to provide the pre-conditions for any kind of life or complexity, our universe had to be set up and governed by rather special laws.

This leads to another mystery, a mystery that physicists address rather than biologists, which is the nature of the physical laws. Are there equations that can define those laws exactly, and give us the mass of the electron, or the strength of different forces? Or will we never have such a thing? Could it be that the strength of these forces is some kind of environmental accident?

One idea many of us are pursuing is a grander concept of the physical world. Over history we've gone from thinking of our solar system as being the center of the universe, to our galaxy being the center, to the present consensus that our big bang gave rise to zillions of galaxies. Some of us now think that perhaps we have to go a step further -- that the big bang wasn't the only one.

Mastos: There could be other universes...

REES: There could other universes separate from ours, other big bangs maybe separated by an extra-spatial dimension, or different in other ways. If that's the case, then it's possible that those different universes would be governed by somewhat different physical laws.

Some physicists believe this is true. If so, then the fine-tuning of our universe occasions no surprise. If there were not merely zillions of galaxies in the aftermath of our big bang, but there were actually zillions of other big bangs, each governed by different laws, then some would have laws with the capricious forms and basic number values to allow complex life and evolution. Most of the universes would be sterile or stillborn. In this grander context, there will still be basic laws of nature, but they'd be at a deeper level.

What we traditionally call the "laws of nature" -- the "laws" that determine the so-called "physical constants" -- could then be just parochial bylaws in our cosmic patch.

Britain's Astronomer Royal, Martin Rees , took time from his busy schedule to talk with Astrobiology Magazine's Chief Editor and Executive Producer, Helen Matsos. His three-part interview considers a broad range of alternative planetary futures, while highlighting today's changes in one of the oldest sciences, astronomy.

Martin Rees earned his degrees in mathematics and astronomy at the University of Cambridge , where he is currently professor of cosmology and astrophysics and Master of Trinity College. Director of the Institute of Astronomy at Cambridge, he has also been a professor at Sussex University. He has been Britain's Astronomer Royal since 1995. He has modeled quasars and has made important contributions to the theories of galaxy formation, galaxy clustering, and the origin of the cosmic background radiation.

His early study of the distribution of quasars helped discredit the steady state cosmological theory. He was one of the first to propose that enormous black holes power the quasars. He has investigated the anthropic principle, the idea that we find the universe the way it is because if it were much different we would not be here to examine it, and the question of whether ours is one of a multitude of "universes." He has written nine books . Through his public speaking and writing he has made the Universe a more familiar place for everyone


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Miscellaneous; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: anthropic; anthropicprinciple; cosmology; physics
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This covers a wide range of topics. Everybody be nice.
1 posted on 01/05/2005 7:18:54 AM PST by PatrickHenry
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To: VadeRetro; Junior; longshadow; RadioAstronomer; Doctor Stochastic; js1138; Shryke; RightWhale; ...
Science Ping! This is an elite subset of the Evolution ping list.
See the list's description in my freeper homepage. Then FReepmail me to be added or dropped.

2 posted on 01/05/2005 7:20:00 AM PST by PatrickHenry (The List-O-Links for evolution threads is at my freeper homepage.)
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To: PatrickHenry

> Everybody be nice.

Yeah. That'll happen.

This is an article that goes against the Creationist idea that the chances of the laws of nature just happening to allow life are a bazillion to one against. This article will thus make some people unhappy.


3 posted on 01/05/2005 7:31:47 AM PST by orionblamblam
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To: orionblamblam
"So it does seem that there are various ways in which the laws of physics are fine-tuned, and the same is true of the universe itself."

Things are fine tuned by tuners. Piano tuners tune pianos. God tunes universes. Etc, etc.

4 posted on 01/05/2005 7:35:11 AM PST by jwalsh07
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To: orionblamblam
This article will thus make some people unhappy.

Yes, that may happen. But if we can get people to think, then it's worth while. Actually learning something is a bonus.

5 posted on 01/05/2005 7:35:24 AM PST by PatrickHenry (The List-O-Links for evolution threads is at my freeper homepage.)
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To: orionblamblam

I am no creationist, but this article does not make an anti creationist point. The author states that we don't know the conditions for life to originate. They are still guessing.


6 posted on 01/05/2005 7:36:34 AM PST by Soliton (Alone with everyone else.)
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To: PatrickHenry
Astronomers can say what the necessary conditions are for life ...

No they can't.

All astronomers can truthfully say is what conditions are necessary for life on this planet. No one has any idea of under what conditions life may occur on other planets.

7 posted on 01/05/2005 7:38:58 AM PST by Noachian (A Democrat, by definition, is a Socialist.)
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To: PatrickHenry
>Mastos: There could be other universes...
REES: There could be other universes separate from ours, other big bangs maybe separated by an extra-spatial dimension, or different in other ways . . .

Hey, just yesterday
someone posted this advice
in another thread:

"It would also be useful to learn what science is: The scientific method"

8 posted on 01/05/2005 7:39:12 AM PST by theFIRMbss
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To: PatrickHenry
REES: There could other universes separate from ours, other big bangs maybe separated by an extra-spatial dimension, or different in other ways. If that's the case, then it's possible that those different universes would be governed by somewhat different physical laws.

Some physicists believe this is true.

In other words, this is metaphysical speculation, not science.

9 posted on 01/05/2005 7:39:56 AM PST by Buggman (Your failure to be informed does not make me a kook.)
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To: Buggman

That popped out at me. A lot of "believing" with absolutely no basis in fact. I believe I will go jump in my Mercedes SUV now and go to lunch. I don't own one, but if I believe enough, that should put it out in the company lot by lunch time.


10 posted on 01/05/2005 7:43:05 AM PST by 3dognight
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To: Soliton

> this article does not make an anti creationist point

Welll... yes and no.

* In a general sense, no: Be there one universe,a billion or a dozen, a god may or may not ahve been responsible for settign things off.

* On the other hand, a recent Creationist tactic has been to use some bogus mathematical slight of hand to "prove" that the chances of the natural laws of our universe being such that they are consistent with life are ten-to-the-power-of-a-bajillion. However, this article poitns out two flaws with that:
1: With the possibility of other universes (likely an infitinte number), the math is no longer any good. Given an infinite set, the chances of somethign happening become quite good.
2: OK, so the natural laws are consistent with us. So? That doesn;t mean that the universe was created so that we could be; it could jsut as easily mean that we are simply the sort of life possible in this kind of universe.


11 posted on 01/05/2005 7:43:30 AM PST by orionblamblam
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To: Buggman

> this is metaphysical speculation...

Based on current physics. The Many-Worlds hypothesis answers a lot of the confusion of quantum mechanics.


12 posted on 01/05/2005 7:47:02 AM PST by orionblamblam
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To: PatrickHenry
...life as we know it ...

Life of a kind of which we are ignorant may develop under other conditions.

A historical discussion of The Anthropic Principle is available here.

I hope the link works. Sometimes when I post from this archive, the links fail.

13 posted on 01/05/2005 7:48:22 AM PST by Doctor Stochastic (Vegetabilisch = chaotisch is der Charakter der Modernen. - Friedrich Schlegel)
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To: Buggman
In other words, this [other universes] is metaphysical speculation, not science.

Yes, so it seems. But it's interesting to read what very intelligent, very educated people speculate about.

14 posted on 01/05/2005 7:48:24 AM PST by PatrickHenry (The List-O-Links for evolution threads is at my freeper homepage.)
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To: PatrickHenry; RadioAstronomer
Some physicists believe this is true. If so, then the fine-tuning of our universe occasions no surprise. If there were not merely zillions of galaxies in the aftermath of our big bang, but there were actually zillions of other big bangs, each governed by different laws, then some would have laws with the capricious forms and basic number values to allow complex life and evolution. Most of the universes would be sterile or stillborn. In this grander context, there will still be basic laws of nature, but they'd be at a deeper level.

[I preface my remarks by stating that I do not believe in fine-tuning problems. Apparent fine-tuning indicates, to me, physical principles that have yet to be discovered. I make these remarks under the assumption that fine tuning does exist, and requires an explanation.]

I go farther than the quote above. Some of the cosmic parameters may vary over space. One Big Bang may be enough to explain everything, once the anthropic principle is applied.

A couple of years ago, there was a story about a cosmological measurement that indicated a change in the electromagnetic fine structure constant (alpha) by one part in 105, over the last 12 billion years. This was widely reported as indicating that the speed of light had slowed down by a tiny, tiny fraction over that period of time. Subsequent measurements showed that the fine structure constant had not changed at all, and the matter was forgotten.

But what if both sets of measurements were correct? The subsequent measurements were of a different set of objects in different directions. The first measurement was in a particular direction. But the distant quasars under consideration are not only being observed at a very ancient time: they also lie a very large distance away. What if the first measurement--assume it's correct--indicated not a variation in the fine structure constant over time, but over space?

"So what," you might say. "The quasar lies at the edge of our universe. From here to the edge of the universe there is only a tiny variation in that one constant. That's not enough to change the physics appreciably, so the anthropic principle gets you nothing. What works here will also work there." You'd be right, but only to a point.

We now know that space, with all its attendant galaxies, stars, nebulae and planets, extends far beyond our "Hubble volume", i.e. what we can see. Gigantically far beyond. The reason we can't see farther is because of the finite speed of light plus the Hubble expansion of the universe: things beyond the most distant quasars are receding from us faster than light. We will never see them, but we can demonstrate that something is out there.

What if the universal constants vary over space, and what if the "wavelength" of that variation is large compared to our Hubble volume? I can point to the "erroneous" measurements, and make a case that that's so. In Hubble volumes well beyond our own, the physics might be very different. Most of the volumes would be completely sterile. But far beyond them, there might be Hubble volumes with a very different physics from what we enjoy here, but which nevertheless allow for complexity, and perhaps even intelligence. Beings who evolve in such a garden spot will look out into the universe, and judge that the cosmic parameters were especially balanced, crafted by a cosmic genius just for them.

15 posted on 01/05/2005 7:49:52 AM PST by Physicist
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To: orionblamblam

Is a hypothesis an answer or just another unanswered question?


16 posted on 01/05/2005 7:50:35 AM PST by 3dognight
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To: Buggman
So in order to be science, the statements must be dogmatically unqualified? I thought it was the other way around.
17 posted on 01/05/2005 7:52:07 AM PST by Physicist
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To: Doctor Stochastic

The link works. Bookmarked for a later read (yeah, like I'm gonna find the time ...)


18 posted on 01/05/2005 7:52:16 AM PST by PatrickHenry (The List-O-Links for evolution threads is at my freeper homepage.)
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To: orionblamblam; PatrickHenry
This is an article that goes against the Creationist idea that the chances of the laws of nature just happening to allow life are a bazillion to one against. This article will thus make some people unhappy.

Last night, I casually drifted through a thread devoted to global earth changes resulting from the Indonesian earthquake. The posted article referenced comments by several scientists indicating the poles have shifted by as much as 1-inch, and that Sumatra may have moved horizontally 100+ feet to the southwest. There was also a suggestion that Sumatra has been uplifted by some number of feet.

The follow-up remarks made by posters were astonishing, and ranged from the simplistic, "I don't believe it" to far more caustic and ill-tempered comments denigrating both the ongoing investigations and scientists in general.

Given the current anti-science, anti-fact climate within FR, it is highly doubtful that posters to this current thread will engage in any more lofty discussion. Nevertheless, thank you Patrick for posting this information.

19 posted on 01/05/2005 7:56:33 AM PST by Aracelis
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To: Physicist

Speculative tubeworms may wonder how human beings exist in the cold vacuum of the Earth's surface. (Were tubeworms able to speculate.)


20 posted on 01/05/2005 7:56:58 AM PST by Doctor Stochastic (Vegetabilisch = chaotisch is der Charakter der Modernen. - Friedrich Schlegel)
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