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Tarrance Group Final Prediction: Bush 51.2% Kerry 47.8%; Actual: Bush 51% Kerry 48%; WOW!
Tarrance Group ^ | November 2, 2004

Posted on 11/03/2004 12:51:18 AM PST by RWR8189

Talk about hitting it head on!!!


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: battleground; monkeystypwriters; poll; polls; tarrance

1 posted on 11/03/2004 12:51:18 AM PST by RWR8189
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To: RWR8189

Do we have a new most accurate pollster now?


2 posted on 11/03/2004 12:52:26 AM PST by CzarNicky (The problem with bad ideas is that they seemed like good ideas at the time.)
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To: RWR8189

Very nice. Rasmussen did a good job too. Big losers....Zogby and Opinion Dynamics.


3 posted on 11/03/2004 12:52:33 AM PST by Rokke
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To: ambrose; Cableguy

These guys nailed it!


4 posted on 11/03/2004 12:52:34 AM PST by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: RWR8189

yea, and i hope ed goeas sends celinda lake out the door....don't let it hit you on your fat tookus.


5 posted on 11/03/2004 12:53:24 AM PST by njsketch
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To: RWR8189

I hung on their poll all day today !


6 posted on 11/03/2004 12:53:30 AM PST by america-rules (It's US or THEM so what part don't you understand ?)
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To: Rokke

Zogby's career is over.
He made a mockery of his profession, and exposed himself as the parisan propagandist that he is.


7 posted on 11/03/2004 12:54:03 AM PST by counterpunch (The CouNTeRPuNcH Collection - www.counterpunch.us)
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To: njsketch

another thing to remember is they had the president's approval rating at 52....msnbc polled it at 51. they nailed everything right on. and look at poor celinda, making her voter suppression predictions. don't let the door hit you on the way out fatty.


8 posted on 11/03/2004 12:55:03 AM PST by njsketch
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To: Rokke

StopDemocrats.com Prediction:
Popular Vote:
Bush: 51% Kerry: 49%


9 posted on 11/03/2004 12:55:15 AM PST by StopDemocratsDotCom
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To: RWR8189; ambrose; dvwjr; Dales

These guys have an awesome track record. But Tarrance's counterpart called it for Kerry, with him winning 2% more w/o voter intimidation. Gallup looks foolish now. Pew looks good. Fox News looks dumb also. Pollsters should know better than to poll during the weekend (or at least adjust for this effect).


10 posted on 11/03/2004 1:00:12 AM PST by Cableguy (Bush wins 53/47)
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To: RWR8189

Very impressive indeed!! How did Mason Dixon state polls do?


11 posted on 11/03/2004 1:13:36 AM PST by babydubya1981 (Who would the aborted vote for?)
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To: babydubya1981

I'm a little too tipsy still to go compare my charts, but at first glance it looks like Mason-Dixon was vindicated again.


12 posted on 11/03/2004 1:15:11 AM PST by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: Cableguy

Ironically, if Gallup just divided up their undecideds 50-50 in the last poll (49-47), they would have been real close. Instead like Zogby they chose propaganda first and got burned.


13 posted on 11/03/2004 1:15:16 AM PST by over3Owithabrain
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To: over3Owithabrain

Another election they are dead-on. 1992, 1996, and almost 2000.


14 posted on 11/03/2004 1:21:47 AM PST by MichaelTN04
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To: over3Owithabrain

you got that right. they just tarnished their stellar reputation as a result.


15 posted on 11/03/2004 1:52:51 AM PST by Cableguy (Bush wins 53/47)
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To: RWR8189
Hey, how about this:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1265838/posts?page=35#35

50-48 Bush

Trades NH for NM, holds FL and OH, gains IA, barely misses MN and WI(within margin of fraud.) HI and NJ not that close (compared to cheerleader predictions.) 286EV. Dem manufactured poll theatrics and near riots in FL, OH, WI, and SD. FL a mess, but won. No decisive call Tuesday night, but trend for a Bush win is somewhat clear midway thru the evening.

Major vote fraud reforms pass in early 2006.

35 posted on 11/02/2004 1:17:09 AM CST by Diddle E. Squat (The choice is clear - elect a leader or a backseat driver)"

16 posted on 11/03/2004 1:58:50 AM PST by Diddle E. Squat
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