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FROM THE TOP (NRO)
NRO Corner ^ | 11/2/04 | Kate O'Beirne

Posted on 11/02/2004 3:24:56 PM PST by Tribune7

A senior GOP strategist dismisses the exit polls out of hand. "I'm old-fashioned. We're going to have wait till votes are counted." Today's polls have Dems with a mere 1% party i.d. advantage - in 2000 the exit polls gave Dems a 4% advantage. He recalls that Elizabeth Dole was down 6 pts. in exit polling and won her race by 9 pts. The same polls with screwy head to head numbers are showing Bush with 40% of the Hispanic vote - up 5 over 2000.

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: exitpolls; polls; predictions
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Liddy Dole was down by 6 in exit polls but won by 9.
1 posted on 11/02/2004 3:24:58 PM PST by Tribune7
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To: Tribune7

when does Fla close?


2 posted on 11/02/2004 3:26:52 PM PST by Williams
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To: Tribune7

People. When a state like florida will be won by Bush say by 3% there is NO WAY you are going to know that until nearly all the precincts have reported. People..chill.


3 posted on 11/02/2004 3:27:21 PM PST by Names Ash Housewares
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To: Tribune7

These are usually statements from someone who is behind. I hope I am reading these comments wrong.


4 posted on 11/02/2004 3:27:44 PM PST by CatOwner
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To: Names Ash Housewares

people can't chill - they love to panic.

It's sad - they look for something to fret over.


5 posted on 11/02/2004 3:28:34 PM PST by flashbunny (Every thought that enters my head requires its own vanity thread.)
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To: Williams

When the last lawyer rests his case. Probably about January 19th, 2005.


6 posted on 11/02/2004 3:29:15 PM PST by RetiredArmy (JOHN KERRY IS A COMMUNIST! Are we electing our first Communist President?)
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To: Williams
when does Fla close?

7 PM EST for all of FL except the western Panhandle, 8 PM EST for the Panhandle

7 posted on 11/02/2004 3:29:15 PM PST by CFC__VRWC (I've got a tagline, but I'm too lazy to type it out.)
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To: Williams

Technically 7, but not really till 8 EST, since the panhandle is on later time zone.


8 posted on 11/02/2004 3:29:21 PM PST by dawn53
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To: flashbunny

What annoys me is people who initiate panic threads. I think that calls for instant banning.


9 posted on 11/02/2004 3:29:46 PM PST by Right Wing Professor (Fingers crossed)
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To: Williams

I think it's 7 p.m. for most of it and 8 p.m. for the Panhandle.


10 posted on 11/02/2004 3:30:11 PM PST by Tribune7
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To: dawn53

I posted on another thread. I just heard from someone at a K Street Law Firm that Frank Luntz, top republican pollster is saying Kerry has it in the bag due to larger than expected turnout. I hope he's wrong.


11 posted on 11/02/2004 3:30:20 PM PST by Julliardsux
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To: Right Wing Professor

especially on a day like today - we don't need 50 vanities panicing over the same thing (like tradesports) - the clutter needs to be kept to a minimum.


12 posted on 11/02/2004 3:30:51 PM PST by flashbunny (Every thought that enters my head requires its own vanity thread.)
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To: CatOwner
I took it as positive. I remember 2000 and being on FR when the early exit polls came in showing Dubya down in Fla.

Heck, for that matter when they called for Gore before 8 p.m.

13 posted on 11/02/2004 3:31:52 PM PST by Tribune7
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To: dawn53

I have a question. Since most of FL is on the electronic voting, how soon after the polls will we get a count? And will that include absentee and early voting?


14 posted on 11/02/2004 3:32:39 PM PST by Upton O. Goode
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To: dawn53

I have a question. Since most of FL is on the electronic voting, how soon after the polls will we get a count? And will that include absentee and early voting?


15 posted on 11/02/2004 3:33:47 PM PST by Upton O. Goode
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To: Names Ash Housewares

for real.....you at freerepublic have brains. please use them and don't start wringing your hands over information that is notoriously false.


16 posted on 11/02/2004 3:33:48 PM PST by conservativeinferno (www.conservativeperspective.com)
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To: Txsleuth

good news ping


17 posted on 11/02/2004 3:34:11 PM PST by ArmyBratCutie ("Four boxes to be used in defense of liberty:soap, ballot, jury, ammo in this order!")
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To: Upton O. Goode

Dummy me!! One post is enough. Sorry.


18 posted on 11/02/2004 3:34:48 PM PST by Upton O. Goode
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To: Tribune7

Florida's panhandle is heavily Republican. Look for a late Bush surge as the votes are tallied in Florida.


19 posted on 11/02/2004 3:35:05 PM PST by Smoote
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To: Julliardsux

That would be double hearsay--a rarity even here.


20 posted on 11/02/2004 3:35:16 PM PST by rmgatto
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