Posted on 11/02/2004 2:23:29 PM PST by Cableguy
|
Electoral Votes: |
Bush |
213 |
Kerry |
311 |
To Close To Call |
Nevada (5) |
To Close To Call |
Colorado (9) |
Zogby International Finds: Bush at 49.4%, Kerry at 49.1%
The telephone poll of 955 likely voters was conducted (November 1-2, 2004). The MOE is +/- 3.2
Here's how we got there...
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|
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Red State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
142 |
Blue State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
172 |
|
2000 |
2004 |
Bush Electoral Votes |
Kerry Electoral Votes |
|
%Margin |
%Margin |
|
|
Arizona (10)* |
Bush + 6.28% |
Bush 6% |
10 |
- |
Arkansas (6)* |
Bush + 5.44% |
Bush 3% |
6 |
- |
Colorado (9) |
Bush + 8.36% |
To Close To Call |
- |
- |
Florida (27) |
Bush + 0.01% |
Kerry .1% |
- |
27 |
Iowa (7) |
Gore + 0.31% |
Kerry 5% |
- |
7 |
Michigan (17) |
Gore + 5.13% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
17 |
Minnesota (10) |
Gore + 2.4% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
10 |
Missouri (11)* |
Bush + 3.34% |
Bush 3% |
11 |
- |
Nevada (5) |
Bush + 3.55% |
To Close To Call |
- |
- |
New Hampshire (4) * |
Bush + 1.27% |
Kerry 5% |
- |
4 |
New Mexico (5) |
Gore + 0.06% |
Kerry 3% |
- |
5 |
North Carolina (15)* |
Bush + 12.83% |
Bush 3% |
15 |
- |
Oregon (7)* |
Gore + 0.44% |
Kerry 10% |
- |
7 |
Ohio (20) |
Bush + 3.51% |
Bush 2% |
- |
20 |
Pennsylvania (21) |
Gore + 4.17% |
Trending Kerry |
- |
21 |
Tennessee (11)* |
Bush + 3.86% |
Bush 4% |
11 |
- |
Virginia (13)* |
Bush + 7.00%
|
Bush
|
13
|
-
|
Washington (11)* |
Gore + 5.58% |
Kerry 11% |
- |
11 |
West Virginia (5)* |
Bush + 6.32% |
Bush 4% |
5 |
- |
Wisconsin (10) |
Gore + 0.22% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
10 |
Battleground State Totals
|
71
|
139
|
||
Current Grand Total:
|
213
|
311
|
* States denoted with an asterisk were polled online in Zogby Interactive surveys.(as of Nov. 2, 2004 5:00pm)
...as am I! But, I do not believe, despite the rhetoric, that Kerry would be as BAD as Clinton was about the war on global terrorism...I do expect him to go after UBL with something other than a few Tomahawk "spitballs" because he has to know that the American public is still threatened; and that if we suffer another attack after what he avowed during the campaign, the moderate middle (which is what is driving his election effort) will turn on him just as it turned on Gray Davis out in Calif. when he was found to be inept.
Judy WoofWoof has been trying to contain her glee.Same with some other newsbabe.
I just saw David Broder almost biting his lip to stop smiling.
Hannity didnt sound too positive a short while ago while interviewing VP Cheney.
Chris Lehane looks like the cat that ate the bird right now.
John Gibson asking "What could President Bush have done differently".
Anybody else see this or am I being overly paranoid?
They don't like Uncertainty - Agreed. However at some point today they were quiet CERTAIN what is coming....
It doesn't matter.
We are a strong Country and if we can survive TRIPOTUS, we can survive anything.
If miracle happens, Great.
If not, lets hope Nasdaq gets to 2400 before Kerrynomics takes over.
And as been pointed out several times today. These are completely made up numbers that have NO veracity from any reliable source. Kind of courious why cerain Freepers keeps posting Movone.org propaganda? Couldn't be trying to depress the Republican turnout now could they?????
Oh yeah! 5 people who have ready my post would make all the difference.
Crash Dow.
Change fate of Western Civilization.
With Zogbys past presidential numbers, I don't like this.
I'm worried about Tradesports.com - it indicates Bush's numbers have crashed hard lately.
Of course they have. You get fraudlent numbers based on 59% women vrs 41% men early exit poll numbers released claiming Kerry is doing well. What do you think is going to happen at Tradesport?
zogby is a RAT but god help the U.S. if he's right we will be another Spain
If Bush loses - its not the end of the world. There will still be a GOP Congress to check a President Kerry.
Mary M. and Reed on Hannity are the only positive reports I've seen. And I'm scared.
I feel much better now, thank you. Now if only Dick Morris calls it for Kerry :-)
he got many of the races in 2002 wrong. zogby fixes party id at 35/39 in favor of dems. i think you should take this as a joke. he has the popular vote tied, fl tied, oh +2 for bush, and gives all of them to kerry? zogby is a partisan hack, and everyone knows it.
Zobgy is on crack! There is NO WAY Kerry gets all of MN, WI, FL, NM, IA, etc.
I don't believe this, but if it did go down that way it would be pretty much certain that the Electoral College would not exist in 2008.
If Bush loses, that first debate will have been the turning point.
think of it as a joke. no one takes it seriously.
I'm still not sure but - these faces on TV give the story away by their mannerism's, and what they try NOT to say. If that girly man Ron Reagan Jr. looks like he's got something wiggling inside his butt tonight we'll know the game is over.
I read in another thread that perhaps Soros or some other rich Democrats are rigging this.
The problem is that IIRC Zogby's final poll in 2000 was the most accurate. He may have the best system for making adjustments to account for the deceased and imaginary voters who don't normally get polled.
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