Posted on 11/02/2004 2:23:29 PM PST by Cableguy
|
Electoral Votes: |
Bush |
213 |
Kerry |
311 |
To Close To Call |
Nevada (5) |
To Close To Call |
Colorado (9) |
Zogby International Finds: Bush at 49.4%, Kerry at 49.1%
The telephone poll of 955 likely voters was conducted (November 1-2, 2004). The MOE is +/- 3.2
Here's how we got there...
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Red State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
142 |
Blue State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
172 |
|
2000 |
2004 |
Bush Electoral Votes |
Kerry Electoral Votes |
|
%Margin |
%Margin |
|
|
Arizona (10)* |
Bush + 6.28% |
Bush 6% |
10 |
- |
Arkansas (6)* |
Bush + 5.44% |
Bush 3% |
6 |
- |
Colorado (9) |
Bush + 8.36% |
To Close To Call |
- |
- |
Florida (27) |
Bush + 0.01% |
Kerry .1% |
- |
27 |
Iowa (7) |
Gore + 0.31% |
Kerry 5% |
- |
7 |
Michigan (17) |
Gore + 5.13% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
17 |
Minnesota (10) |
Gore + 2.4% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
10 |
Missouri (11)* |
Bush + 3.34% |
Bush 3% |
11 |
- |
Nevada (5) |
Bush + 3.55% |
To Close To Call |
- |
- |
New Hampshire (4) * |
Bush + 1.27% |
Kerry 5% |
- |
4 |
New Mexico (5) |
Gore + 0.06% |
Kerry 3% |
- |
5 |
North Carolina (15)* |
Bush + 12.83% |
Bush 3% |
15 |
- |
Oregon (7)* |
Gore + 0.44% |
Kerry 10% |
- |
7 |
Ohio (20) |
Bush + 3.51% |
Bush 2% |
- |
20 |
Pennsylvania (21) |
Gore + 4.17% |
Trending Kerry |
- |
21 |
Tennessee (11)* |
Bush + 3.86% |
Bush 4% |
11 |
- |
Virginia (13)* |
Bush + 7.00%
|
Bush
|
13
|
-
|
Washington (11)* |
Gore + 5.58% |
Kerry 11% |
- |
11 |
West Virginia (5)* |
Bush + 6.32% |
Bush 4% |
5 |
- |
Wisconsin (10) |
Gore + 0.22% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
10 |
Battleground State Totals
|
71
|
139
|
||
Current Grand Total:
|
213
|
311
|
* States denoted with an asterisk were polled online in Zogby Interactive surveys.(as of Nov. 2, 2004 5:00pm)
FL 0.1% Kerry? ZOGBY must have scored some good weed.
Maybe tomorrow morning he can release his final, final, final polling results.
I would like to point out to everybody that we are making EXACTLY the same mistake we made 4 years ago as per florida. The panhandle(conservative) votes one hour later... so its NORMAL that the dem would be ahead in early exit polling. This is the same exact thing that happened in 2000!!!
Good Lord. This is about the third "FINAL" Zogby poll I have seen since yesterday.
Zogby's an idiot.
#1 I'd like some of what Zogby is smoking.
#2 At least this time, when he is WAAAY off, we won't have to listen to the soundbyte how he was "the closest pollster" for 4 more years.
THE EXIT POLL NUMBERS DO NOT INCLUDE EARLY VOTING, WHICH IN MOST BATTLEGROUND STATES FAVORED BUSH! THIS PUTS THINGS IN CONTEXT.
NOTICE THAT HE'S GIVING OHIO TO KERRY WITH A 2% BUSH LEAD.
yeah - I LOVED that one! He's lost it!
tagging for a good laugh tomorrow.
I just want to announce that tomotrrow morning I will be releasing my final state by state numbers.
Can I be John Zogby?
I'm so sick of polls and especially Zogby. If Kerry wins, and I still don't think he will, it will not be with 311 EV.
Somebody must have punched the Egg Zog.
The Dems couldn't count on the MSM to get their propaganda out after the 2000 fiasco. Voila! Psy-ops conducted over the internet without accountability.
Florida (27) |
Bush + 0.01% |
Kerry .1% |
- |
27 |
Ohio (20) |
Bush + 3.51% |
Bush 2% |
- |
20 |
So much for objectivity...
Zogby=Arab......what else do ya need to know?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.