Zogby's Election Final Presidential Polls Bush 49.4% 213EV Kerry 49.1% 311EV (barf alert)

Zogby.com ^ | 11/2/04

[Cableguy]

Released: November 02, 2004 Our Call
Zogby International's 2004 Predictions
(as of Nov. 2, 2004 5:00pm)

2004 Presidential Election

	Electoral Votes:
Bush	213
Kerry	311
To Close To Call	Nevada (5)
To Close To Call	Colorado (9)

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Zogby International Finds: Bush at 49.4%, Kerry at 49.1%

The telephone poll of 955 likely voters was conducted (November 1-2, 2004). The MOE is +/- 3.2

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Here's how we got there...

George Bush (Electoral Vote)

UT	5	KS	6
WY	3	MS	6
ID	4	SC	8
AK	3	IN	11
NE	5	KY	8
ND	3	AL	9
MT	3	GA	15
SD	3	LA	9
OK	7	TX	34

John Kerry (Electoral Vote)

ME	4	MD	10
VT	3	CT	7
IL	21	HI	4
RI	4	NY	31
DE	3	MA	12
NJ	15	DC	3
CA	55

Red State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
142

Blue State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
172

2004 Battleground States:

	2000	2004 Our Call	Bush Electoral Votes	Kerry Electoral Votes
	%Margin	%Margin
Arizona (10)*	Bush + 6.28%	Bush 6%	10	-
Arkansas (6)*	Bush + 5.44%	Bush 3%	6	-
Colorado (9)	Bush + 8.36%	To Close To Call	-	-
Florida (27)	Bush + 0.01%	Kerry .1% Trending Kerry	-	27
Iowa (7)	Gore + 0.31%	Kerry 5%	-	7
Michigan (17)	Gore + 5.13%	Kerry 6%	-	17
Minnesota (10)	Gore + 2.4%	Kerry 6%	-	10
Missouri (11)*	Bush + 3.34%	Bush 3%	11	-
Nevada (5)	Bush + 3.55%	To Close To Call	-	-
New Hampshire (4) *	Bush + 1.27%	Kerry 5%	-	4
New Mexico (5)	Gore + 0.06%	Kerry 3%	-	5
North Carolina (15)*	Bush + 12.83%	Bush 3%	15	-
Oregon (7)*	Gore + 0.44%	Kerry 10%	-	7
Ohio (20)	Bush + 3.51%	Bush 2% Trending Kerry	-	20
Pennsylvania (21)	Gore + 4.17%	Trending Kerry	-	21
Tennessee (11)*	Bush + 3.86%	Bush 4%	11	-
Virginia (13)*	Bush + 7.00%	Bush	13	-
Washington (11)*	Gore + 5.58%	Kerry 11%	-	11
West Virginia (5)*	Bush + 6.32%	Bush 4%	5	-
Wisconsin (10)	Gore + 0.22%	Kerry 6%	-	10
Battleground State Totals			71	139
Current Grand Total:			213	311

* States denoted with an asterisk were polled online in Zogby Interactive surveys.(as of Nov. 2, 2004 5:00pm)

[Cableguy]

I am posting this for fun. So don't take it out on me.

[A Balrog of Morgoth]

FL 0.1% Kerry? ZOGBY must have scored some good weed.

[Rodney King]

Maybe tomorrow morning he can release his final, final, final polling results.

[Betaille]

I would like to point out to everybody that we are making EXACTLY the same mistake we made 4 years ago as per florida. The panhandle(conservative) votes one hour later... so its NORMAL that the dem would be ahead in early exit polling. This is the same exact thing that happened in 2000!!!

[Elpasser]

Good Lord. This is about the third "FINAL" Zogby poll I have seen since yesterday.

[WinOne4TheGipper]

Zogby's an idiot.

[FreedomNeocon]

#1 I'd like some of what Zogby is smoking.

#2 At least this time, when he is WAAAY off, we won't have to listen to the soundbyte how he was "the closest pollster" for 4 more years.

[laconic]

THE EXIT POLL NUMBERS DO NOT INCLUDE EARLY VOTING, WHICH IN MOST BATTLEGROUND STATES FAVORED BUSH! THIS PUTS THINGS IN CONTEXT.

[GLDNGUN]

NOTICE THAT HE'S GIVING OHIO TO KERRY WITH A 2% BUSH LEAD.

[Kylie_04]

yeah - I LOVED that one! He's lost it!

[Samwise]

[FD_Pilot]

tagging for a good laugh tomorrow.

[montereyp1]

I just want to announce that tomotrrow morning I will be releasing my final state by state numbers.

Can I be John Zogby?

[xuberalles]

I'm so sick of polls and especially Zogby. If Kerry wins, and I still don't think he will, it will not be with 311 EV.

[Freepdonia]

Somebody must have punched the Egg Zog.

[Steve_Stifler]

The Dems couldn't count on the MSM to get their propaganda out after the 2000 fiasco. Voila! Psy-ops conducted over the internet without accountability.

[Cableguy]

Florida (27)

Bush + 0.01%

Kerry .1% Trending Kerry

-

27

 

Ohio (20)

Bush + 3.51%

Bush 2% Trending Kerry

-

20

So much for objectivity...

[The_Republican]

http://www.alternet.org/election04/20385/

[Oldsailor]

Zogby=Arab......what else do ya need to know?