Aloha!
Posted on 11/02/2004 9:18:13 AM PST by dennisw
51.2% TO 47.8% [Larry Kudlow] That’s the call made by Ed Goeas, co-author of the blue-chip, bipartisan Battleground Poll. I spoke to Ed this morning, at 7 a.m. He is using an ultra-conservative, worst-case, 2000-like, partisan sample of 44.3% Democrats and 42.3% Republicans. He tells me Bush has bounced up in the past 48 hours on leadership and Iraq. Also, on the economy -- on keeping America prosperous, Bush has moved up from a 45% to 47% deficit to a 48% to 46% lead. This could be the response to the excellent GDP economic report published Friday and totally ignored by the political-pundit class. Investors may be responding positively to the pre-election stock market rally. Ed also believes that white, conservative, Christian Evangelicals could carry the day for Bush, where 83% look to be voting, giving a 69 percentage-point margin to Bush, and seven percentage points higher intensity support for Bush than labor unions have for Kerry. Goeas also weights Hispanic support for Bush at a conservative 35%, even though his “unaided” tally actually produces a 43% Hispanic vote for Bush. Goeas also believes he is underweighting black support for Bush and male support. Posted at 10:53 AM
The more that our people stop voter fraud and prevent it, we will see more pollsters predicting a solid GW win.
The rats can't win a legitimate election without massive voter fraud and intimidation of conservative voters. If they are exposed and stopped, Kerry will lose millions of fraudlent votes that would have made the election close.
Sounds good to me. Everyone make sure they get their friends and family out to vote for Bush today. And say a prayer for the President's victory.
Thanks for posting this.
"Goeas also believes he is underweighting black support for Bush and male support."
I'm jazzed up!
From your lips to God's ears
Folks, we just might pull off a big win tonight!
Late at night, heavily Democrap Counties would open their vault and do what they always do.....
Once they know the number needed, they just need to throw that number of pre-cast ballots in the pile...
In urban areas, election workers are all Union democrap thugs and there is not a republican within 100 miles....
Last time there was a sudden jump in Vote totals in Michigan and Pennsylvania....
Why are Democrap Counties in middle of Urban Centers, where all the resources ARE avaiable, always the LAST one to report their totals?
Wouldn't it be more difficult for rural counties that have their polling centers spread over greater range be the ones reporting last?
No, its always heavy Democrap counties, that somehow manage to be the last ones reporting....
I am preparing to go to my poll watching/challenger post. I surely hope this is correct as I will not be able to hear anything for 7 hours and this is a good post to send me off with.
Pray for grace.
Well, I say it's 51.1735% (plus or minus 5%, of course).
Please Oh please, let most of these voters be for Bush. I am sooooooo nervous!
The US Market as of 12:25pm EST (11/02/04):
Dow 10,114.63 +60.24 (+0.60%) Nasdaq 2,000.41 +20.54 (+1.04%) S&P 500 1,139.47 +8.96 (+0.79%) 10-Yr Bond 4.091% +0.001 NYSE Volume 739,606,000 Nasdaq Volume 879,626,000
In my area I was shocked to see very young, very pretty hispanic girls participating in grassroots get out the vote efforts for W. And they werfen't even Cuban.
I think the surge in Bush has to do, in part, to Osama's tape.....as much as Kerry tried to spin it.....it brought security and terrorism to the home front....and it helped Bush....hope so!
Challenger, huh? Be careful out there.
I agree - GWB - 321, JK - 217. tha tha that's all folks!
This will be the key in this election. Republicans always win when they get out their base. The Dems get the same number out every election. You knew Kerry was scared of the Republican base the last few days because of his quoting Bible scripture and talking about his faith he has never talked about. I hope that Evangelical White Christians were the key to electing GW Bush because in '08 there will be no way the Republicans could pick a Pataki, McCain or Guiliani as a Republican nominee and win. When the Republican base comes out to vote, the Republicans always win. This will be a landslide for Bush and an early night.
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