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***FINAL*** CAMEC - COMPUTER ANALYSIS MODEL OF ELECTORAL COLLEGE ***FINAL*** 10/31
10-31-04 | Josh in PA

Posted on 10/31/2004 7:12:30 PM PST by Josh in PA

CAMEC PROJECTION - 2004 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

........Bush    	Kerry   	Nader	Others	Bush %	Kerry %	BUSH EV	KERRY EV
AL      1,081,230 	671,538 	14,250 	14,250 	60.7%	37.7%	9	
AK	214,668 	128,358 	17,705 	8,115 	58.2%	34.8%	3	
AZ	984,376 	828,949 	N/A	37,007 	53.2%	44.8%	10	
AR	604,025 	521,502 	10,315 	10,315 	52.7%	45.5%	6	
CA	5,340,714 	6,342,098 	N/A	238,425	44.8%	53.2%		55
CO	1,098,165 	975,669 	45,130 	30,087 	51.1%	45.4%	9	
CT	705,326 	881,658 	28,705 	24,604 	43.0%	53.8%		7
DE	178,960 	219,633 	5,084 	3,050 	44.0%	54.0%		3
DC	33,531 	        216,664 	5,159 	2,579 	13.0%	84.0%		3
FL	3,508,207 	3,202,259 	54,391 	33,994 	51.6%	47.1%	27	
GA	1,606,182 	1,179,187 	N/A	42,417 	56.8%	41.7%	15	
HI	247,879 	244,345 	N/A	12,621 	49.1%	48.4%	4	
ID	362,351 	166,987 	N/A	16,371 	66.4%	30.6%	4	
IL	2,323,137 	2,833,602 	N/A	52,088 	44.6%	54.4%		21
IN	1,540,899 	1,103,327 	N/A	40,267 	57.4%	41.1%	11	
IA      840,978 	807,271 	20,224 	16,853 	49.9%	47.9%	7	
KS	749,881 	481,248 	22,917 	19,097 	58.9%	37.8%	6	
KY	1,086,136 	742,069 	16,738 	14,879 	58.4%	39.9%	8	
LA	1,117,209 	887,256 	14,245 	16,280 	54.9%	43.6%	9	
ME	364,288 	393,337 	19,628 	7,851 	46.4%	50.1%	1	3
MD      990,427 	1,261,588 	27,576 	18,384 	43.1%	54.9%		10
MA	1,136,961 	1,780,242 	N/A	74,800 	38.0%	59.5%		12
MI	2,302,668 	2,354,679 	37,826 	33,098 	48.7%	49.8%		17
MN	1,343,268 	1,323,920 	55,279 	41,459 	48.6%	47.9%	10	
MS	693,712 	470,733 	7,079 	8,258 	58.8%	39.9%	6	
MO	1,394,513 	1,270,676 	N/A	26,921 	51.8%	47.2%	11	
MT	313,797 	184,004 	13,031 	10,425 	60.2%	35.3%	3	
NE	524,723 	278,425 	12,356 	8,237 	63.7%	33.8%	5	
NV      405,026 	367,773 	11,889 	7,926 	51.1%	46.4%	5	
NH	302,590 	308,228 	9,397 	6,265 	48.3%	49.2%		4
NJ	1,584,417 	1,751,378 	44,296 	27,259 	46.5%	51.4%		15
NM	397,722 	367,128 	11,767 	7,845 	50.7%	46.8%	5	
NY 	3,072,429 	4,198,490 	111,860 74,574 	41.2%	56.3%		31
NC	1,860,069 	1,575,506 	N/A	34,703 	53.6%	45.4%	15	
ND	211,063 	119,914 	6,931 	8,664 	60.9%	34.6%	3	
OH	2,904,354 	2,743,956 	N/A	80,199 	50.7%	47.9%	20	
OK	869,148 	512,002 	N/A	13,951 	62.3%	36.7%	7	
OR      800,537 	854,582 	N/A	33,778 	47.4%	50.6%		7
PA	2,636,463 	2,679,419 	N/A	53,696 	49.1%	49.9%		21
RI      209,236 	307,165 	13,378 	5,351 	39.1%	57.4%		4
SC	958,439 	660,879 	13,152 	11,508 	58.3%	40.2%	8	
SD	217,057 	147,183 	4,460 	2,973 	58.4%	39.6%	3	
TN	1,327,809 	1,004,126 	16,539 	14,176 	56.2%	42.5%	11	
TX	4,569,221 	2,822,166 	N/A	74,660 	61.2%	37.8%	34	
UT	614,659 	255,056 	18,025 	13,519 	68.2%	28.3%	5	
VT	135,032 	174,215 	9,715 	4,857 	41.7%	53.8%		3
VA	1,693,700 	1,481,988 	N/A	32,078 	52.8%	46.2%	13	
WA	1,258,821 	1,399,302 	41,318 	55,091 	45.7%	50.8%		11
WV	394,177 	342,568 	6,732 	4,488 	52.7%	45.8%	5	
WI	1,500,290 	1,431,138 	45,099 	30,066 	49.9%	47.6%	10	
WY	129,249 	67,079 	        3,068 	5,113 	63.2%	32.8%	3	

TOTAL 60,739,725 57,322,464 795k 1465k 50.5% 47.7% 311 227

50.48% 47.64% 0.66% 1.22%



TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: avanitynotapoll; awholelottanuthin; baloneyvanity; bogussource; bush; camec; camecisjustmylaptop; camecmeansvanity; election; electoralcollege; electoralvotes; enviouscrabs; freepersripafreeper; frforselfpublishing; ijustmadeitallup; jealousyinfreepers; kerry; lotsofwastedtime; nosource; polls; prediction; pulledoutofmyass; purplestates; sourcelessvanity; votes; wishesinastatformat
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To: Josh in PA

Yes, but how much fraud have you factored in?


181 posted on 11/01/2004 1:34:10 PM PST by talleyman (A foreign leader told me on his deathbed: "Kerry is a liar - he just makes stuff up...")
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To: Josh in PA

Hey if you're right, I hope you have an agent. Zogby picked what one or two election cycles right and all of us political junkies know who he is. So good luck and hope to see you on FOX soon. Jim


182 posted on 11/01/2004 1:38:55 PM PST by jimfrommaine
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To: madvlad

Whas'a'matta - yer cryin' towel missin'? Or are you a closet liberal that can't deal with reality? Even ESPN was saying that the Pittsburgh Steelers may be the BEST team in the NFL.


183 posted on 11/01/2004 3:37:00 PM PST by Spacetrucker (Always Faithful ... then burn 'em to the ground!!)
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To: Spacetrucker

And ESPN was spewing that The Redskin Home Game
Indicator calls the presidential winner! But
I get it!! When its what YOU want to hear, its OK.

You can't have it both ways, Lurchboy!

MV


184 posted on 11/02/2004 6:50:22 AM PST by madvlad
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To: Josh in PA; JustPiper; Right_Handed_Writer; EternalVigilance; TheRightGuy; cfrels; DMZFrank; ...
Bump - Excellent Model for Comparing Actual Results
185 posted on 11/02/2004 4:18:02 PM PST by unspun (RU working your precinct, churchmembers, etc. 4 good votes? | Not "Unspun w/ AnnaZ" but I appreciate)
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To: Josh in PA; Timesink; martin_fierro; reformed_democrat; Loyalist; =Intervention=; PianoMan; GOPJ; ..
Excellent model for comparing tonight's results --and the media's projections.
186 posted on 11/02/2004 4:57:32 PM PST by unspun (RU working your precinct, churchmembers, etc. 4 good votes? | Not "Unspun w/ AnnaZ" but I appreciate)
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To: Interesting Times
Bump to praise or jeer later.

And praise it is. Excellent work.

187 posted on 11/04/2004 8:10:15 PM PST by Interesting Times (ABCNNBCBS -- yesterday's news.)
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