|
||||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
RV
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
LV
|
RV
|
Demographics -- Bush vs. KerryBased on Registered Voters |
Oct 29-31 |
Oct 22-24 |
Oct 14-16 |
Oct 9-10 |
||||||
Kerry |
Bush |
Kerry |
Bush |
Kerry |
Bush |
Kerry |
Bush |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Total |
48 |
47 |
48 |
49 |
46 |
50 |
48 |
48 |
Gender |
||||||||
Men |
46 |
50 |
44 |
54 |
40 |
56 |
44 |
53 |
Women |
50 |
44 |
51 |
45 |
51 |
44 |
52 |
43 |
Race |
||||||||
Whites |
42 |
53 |
42 |
55 |
40 |
56 |
41 |
55 |
Non-whites |
73 |
22 |
70 |
26 |
69 |
23 |
74 |
20 |
Age |
||||||||
18-49 |
49 |
47 |
47 |
51 |
45 |
51 |
47 |
48 |
50-64 |
48 |
48 |
48 |
48 |
46 |
50 |
48 |
49 |
65+ |
48 |
44 |
49 |
44 |
48 |
45 |
50 |
48 |
Region |
||||||||
East |
56 |
39 |
55 |
43 |
54 |
42 |
55 |
42 |
Midwest |
48 |
45 |
49 |
46 |
44 |
50 |
43 |
52 |
South |
45 |
51 |
40 |
56 |
41 |
56 |
45 |
51 |
West |
47 |
49 |
49 |
49 |
47 |
49 |
50 |
46 |
Education |
||||||||
Post-graduate |
52 |
45 |
55 |
44 |
54 |
42 |
61 |
36 |
College graduate |
41 |
55 |
44 |
55 |
35 |
63 |
47 |
51 |
Some college |
45 |
51 |
45 |
52 |
43 |
52 |
44 |
51 |
High school or less |
52 |
40 |
48 |
47 |
49 |
46 |
46 |
50 |
Income |
||||||||
$75,000 or more |
41 |
57 |
40 |
58 |
43 |
55 |
41 |
55 |
$50,000-$74,999 |
42 |
54 |
45 |
53 |
39 |
60 |
39 |
58 |
$30,000-$49,999 |
50 |
46 |
49 |
47 |
47 |
48 |
51 |
47 |
Less than $30,000 |
59 |
34 |
56 |
39 |
54 |
39 |
59 |
36 |
Ideology |
||||||||
Conservative |
25 |
71 |
25 |
73 |
19 |
79 |
24 |
73 |
Moderate |
59 |
36 |
57 |
39 |
54 |
39 |
54 |
43 |
Liberal |
83 |
14 |
90 |
8 |
85 |
11 |
84 |
10 |
Partisanship |
||||||||
Republicans |
6 |
93 |
5 |
94 |
9 |
89 |
6 |
92 |
Independents |
48 |
40 |
49 |
44 |
48 |
45 |
50 |
42 |
Democrats |
91 |
7 |
88 |
9 |
85 |
11 |
90 |
8 |
Demographics -- Bush vs. Kerry vs. NaderBased on Registered Voters |
October 29-31 |
October 22-24 |
October 14-16 |
||||||||
Kerry |
Bush |
Nader |
Kerry |
Bush |
Nader |
Kerry |
Bush |
Nader |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Total |
48 |
46 |
1 |
47 |
49 |
1 |
46 |
49 |
1 |
Gender |
|||||||||
Men |
46 |
49 |
* |
43 |
54 |
1 |
40 |
54 |
2 |
Women |
49 |
44 |
1 |
50 |
44 |
1 |
50 |
44 |
1 |
Race |
|||||||||
Whites |
41 |
53 |
1 |
41 |
55 |
1 |
40 |
56 |
1 |
Non-whites |
72 |
22 |
1 |
69 |
26 |
1 |
67 |
21 |
4 |
Age |
|||||||||
18-49 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
47 |
51 |
1 |
45 |
50 |
2 |
50-64 |
47 |
48 |
1 |
47 |
48 |
2 |
45 |
49 |
2 |
65+ |
48 |
44 |
* |
49 |
44 |
* |
48 |
44 |
1 |
Region |
|||||||||
East |
55 |
39 |
1 |
55 |
42 |
* |
54 |
41 |
1 |
Midwest |
47 |
45 |
1 |
49 |
46 |
* |
44 |
49 |
1 |
South |
44 |
51 |
1 |
39 |
55 |
2 |
40 |
56 |
1 |
West |
47 |
49 |
* |
47 |
49 |
2 |
45 |
48 |
3 |
Education |
|||||||||
Post-graduate |
51 |
45 |
1 |
55 |
44 |
* |
53 |
41 |
2 |
College graduate |
40 |
55 |
1 |
44 |
55 |
* |
35 |
62 |
1 |
Some college |
46 |
51 |
1 |
44 |
52 |
1 |
43 |
52 |
1 |
High school or less |
51 |
40 |
1 |
47 |
46 |
2 |
48 |
44 |
2 |
Income |
|||||||||
$75,000 or more |
42 |
56 |
* |
40 |
58 |
* |
42 |
55 |
1 |
$50,000-$74,999 |
41 |
54 |
2 |
45 |
53 |
-- |
38 |
60 |
1 |
$30,000-$49,999 |
49 |
46 |
1 |
49 |
47 |
1 |
47 |
47 |
2 |
Less than $30,000 |
59 |
34 |
1 |
55 |
39 |
3 |
54 |
37 |
2 |
Ideology |
|||||||||
Conservative |
25 |
71 |
1 |
25 |
73 |
* |
19 |
79 |
* |
Moderate |
58 |
36 |
1 |
56 |
39 |
1 |
54 |
38 |
2 |
Liberal |
82 |
14 |
1 |
88 |
8 |
2 |
85 |
9 |
3 |
Partisanship |
|||||||||
Republicans |
6 |
93 |
-- |
5 |
93 |
1 |
9 |
89 |
* |
Independents |
46 |
40 |
3 |
47 |
44 |
2 |
47 |
42 |
5 |
Democrats |
91 |
7 |
* |
88 |
9 |
-- |
85 |
11 |
-- |
Key State Breakdown |
Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?
Based on National Adults
|
Approve |
Disapprove |
No opinion |
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Bush (Red) States |
|
|
|
2004 Oct 29-31 |
59 |
36 |
5 |
2004 Oct 22-24 |
59 |
38 |
3 |
2004 Oct 14-16 |
64 |
34 |
2 |
2004 Oct 11-14 |
55 |
42 |
3 |
2004 Oct 9-10 |
54 |
43 |
3 |
2004 Oct 1-3 |
58 |
40 |
2 |
2004 Sep 24-26 |
62 |
35 |
3 |
2004 Sep 13-15 |
56 |
39 |
5 |
2004 Sep 3-5 |
57 |
41 |
2 |
2004 Aug 23-25 |
57 |
38 |
5 |
2004 Aug 9-11 |
63 |
34 |
3 |
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 |
54 |
43 |
3 |
2004 Jul 19-21 |
57 |
37 |
6 |
2004 Jul 8-11 |
54 |
42 |
4 |
2004 Jun 21-23 |
54 |
42 |
4 |
2004 Jun 3-6 |
53 |
45 |
2 |
2004 May 21-23 |
53 |
42 |
5 |
2004 May 7-9 |
50 |
47 |
3 |
2004 May 2-4 |
54 |
42 |
4 |
2004 Apr 16-18 |
63 |
35 |
2 |
2004 Apr 5-8 |
62 |
35 |
3 |
2004 Mar 26-28 |
55 |
42 |
3 |
2004 Mar 5-7 |
54 |
41 |
5 |
2004 Feb 16-17 |
61 |
37 |
2 |
2004 Feb 6-8 |
55 |
42 |
3 |
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1 |
57 |
41 |
2 |
2004 Jan 9-11 |
68 |
28 |
4 |
2004 Jan 2-5 |
66 |
31 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Gore (Blue) States |
|
|
|
2004 Oct 29-31 |
41 |
55 |
4 |
2004 Oct 22-24 |
46 |
51 |
3 |
2004 Oct 14-16 |
41 |
58 |
1 |
2004 Oct 11-14 |
42 |
56 |
2 |
2004 Oct 9-10 |
44 |
52 |
4 |
2004 Oct 1-3 |
43 |
56 |
1 |
2004 Sep 24-26 |
47 |
52 |
1 |
2004 Sep 13-15 |
45 |
53 |
2 |
2004 Sep 3-5 |
46 |
50 |
4 |
2004 Aug 23-25 |
41 |
56 |
3 |
2004 Aug 9-11 |
42 |
55 |
3 |
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 |
39 |
57 |
4 |
2004 Jul 19-21 |
39 |
59 |
2 |
2004 Jul 8-11 |
42 |
57 |
1 |
2004 Jun 21-23 |
42 |
56 |
2 |
2004 Jun 3-6 |
44 |
54 |
2 |
2004 May 21-23 |
40 |
56 |
4 |
2004 May 7-9 |
41 |
56 |
3 |
2004 May 2-4 |
44 |
53 |
3 |
2004 Apr 16-18 |
43 |
54 |
3 |
2004 Apr 5-8 |
41 |
58 |
1 |
2004 Mar 26-28 |
48 |
49 |
3 |
2004 Mar 5-7 |
45 |
53 |
2 |
2004 Feb 16-17 |
45 |
51 |
4 |
2004 Feb 6-8 |
47 |
49 |
4 |
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1 |
46 |
53 |
1 |
2004 Jan 9-11 |
51 |
47 |
2 |
2004 Jan 2-5 |
55 |
38 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Up For Grab States |
|
|
|
2004 Oct 29-31 |
43 |
52 |
5 |
2004 Oct 22-24 |
46 |
51 |
3 |
2004 Oct 14-16 |
48 |
50 |
2 |
2004 Oct 11-14 |
48 |
48 |
4 |
2004 Oct 9-10 |
44 |
52 |
4 |
2004 Oct 1-3 |
48 |
50 |
2 |
2004 Sep 24-26 |
50 |
48 |
2 |
2004 Sep 13-15 |
52 |
44 |
4 |
2004 Sep 3-5 |
50 |
49 |
1 |
2004 Aug 23-25 |
49 |
49 |
2 |
2004 Aug 9-11 |
46 |
49 |
5 |
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 |
48 |
48 |
4 |
2004 Jul 19-21 |
49 |
48 |
3 |
2004 Jul 8-11 |
45 |
50 |
5 |
2004 Jun 21-23 |
45 |
51 |
4 |
2004 Jun 3-6 |
49 |
49 |
2 |
2004 May 21-23 |
46 |
51 |
3 |
2004 May 7-9 |
47 |
51 |
2 |
2004 May 2-4 |
47 |
51 |
2 |
2004 Apr 16-18 |
47 |
48 |
5 |
2004 Apr 5-8 |
51 |
45 |
4 |
2004 Mar 26-28 |
54 |
44 |
2 |
2004 Mar 5-7 |
47 |
51 |
2 |
2004 Feb 16-17 |
46 |
52 |
2 |
2004 Feb 6-8 |
53 |
42 |
5 |
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1 |
44 |
52 |
4 |
2004 Jan 9-11 |
57 |
40 |
3 |
2004 Jan 2-5 |
59 |
37 |
4 |
If Massachusetts Senator John Kerry were the Democratic Party's candidate and George W. Bush were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for [ROTATED: John Kerry, the Democrat (or) George W. Bush, the Republican]?
As of today, do you lean more toward [ROTATED: Kerry, the Democrat (or) Bush, the Republican]?
Based on Registered Voters
Kerry |
|
Neither (vol.) |
Other |
No |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Bush (Red) States |
|||||
2004 Oct 29-31 |
39 |
58 |
* |
* |
3 |
2004 Oct 22-24 |
40 |
57 |
* |
* |
3 |
2004 Oct 14-16 |
34 |
62 |
2 |
-- |
2 |
2004 Oct 9-10 |
41 |
55 |
2 |
-- |
2 |
2004 Oct 1-3 |
38 |
60 |
* |
1 |
1 |
2004 Sep 24-26 |
34 |
62 |
2 |
-- |
2 |
2004 Sep 13-15 |
39 |
56 |
2 |
* |
3 |
2004 Sep 3-5 |
42 |
55 |
2 |
* |
1 |
2004 Aug 23-25 |
41 |
55 |
2 |
-- |
2 |
2004 Aug 9-11 |
39 |
58 |
1 |
* |
3 |
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 |
41 |
55 |
1 |
-- |
3 |
2004 Jul 19-21 |
41 |
54 |
1 |
-- |
4 |
2004 Jul 8-11 |
45 |
50 |
1 |
* |
4 |
2004 Jun 21-23 |
43 |
51 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
2004 Jun 3-6 |
44 |
48 |
3 |
* |
5 |
2004 May 21-23 |
43 |
51 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
2004 May 7-9 |
48 |
46 |
4 |
* |
2 |
2004 May 2-4 |
41 |
54 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
2004 Apr 16-18 |
35 |
61 |
2 |
* |
2 |
2004 Apr 5-8 |
41 |
53 |
* |
2 |
4 |
2004 Mar 26-28 |
40 |
53 |
3 |
* |
4 |
2004 Mar 5-7 |
45 |
52 |
1 |
* |
2 |
2004 Feb 16-17 |
39 |
58 |
2 |
-- |
1 |
2004 Feb 6-8 |
44 |
54 |
* |
-- |
2 |
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1 |
41 |
56 |
2 |
-- |
1 |
2004 Jan 9-11 |
32 |
66 |
1 |
-- |
1 |
Gore (Blue) States |
|||||
2004 Oct 29-31 |
55 |
39 |
1 |
* |
5 |
2004 Oct 22-24 |
53 |
44 |
1 |
-- |
2 |
2004 Oct 14-16 |
59 |
38 |
* |
* |
3 |
2004 Oct 9-10 |
53 |
44 |
1 |
-- |
2 |
2004 Oct 1-3 |
55 |
41 |
3 |
-- |
1 |
2004 Sep 24-26 |
49 |
49 |
1 |
-- |
1 |
2004 Sep 13-15 |
52 |
44 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
2004 Sep 3-5 |
52 |
45 |
2 |
* |
1 |
2004 Aug 23-25 |
57 |
39 |
1 |
-- |
3 |
2004 Aug 9-11 |
56 |
40 |
1 |
* |
3 |
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 |
58 |
39 |
1 |
* |
2 |
2004 Jul 19-21 |
59 |
36 |
3 |
-- |
2 |
2004 Jul 8-11 |
58 |
39 |
2 |
* |
1 |
2004 Jun 21-23 |
53 |
39 |
5 |
1 |
2 |
2004 Jun 3-6 |
57 |
37 |
3 |
* |
3 |
2004 May 21-23 |
55 |
38 |
4 |
-- |
3 |
2004 May 7-9 |
58 |
35 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
2004 May 2-4 |
52 |
43 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2004 Apr 16-18 |
57 |
40 |
1 |
* |
2 |
2004 Apr 5-8 |
57 |
35 |
5 |
* |
3 |
2004 Mar 26-28 |
57 |
40 |
1 |
* |
2 |
2004 Mar 5-7 |
57 |
39 |
3 |
-- |
1 |
2004 Feb 16-17 |
57 |
39 |
2 |
* |
2 |
2004 Feb 6-8 |
57 |
39 |
2 |
-- |
2 |
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1 |
53 |
42 |
1 |
-- |
4 |
2004 Jan 9-11 |
46 |
50 |
3 |
-- |
1 |
Up For Grab States |
|||||
2004 Oct 29-31 |
52 |
42 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
2004 Oct 22-24 |
49 |
47 |
2 |
* |
2 |
2004 Oct 14-16 |
47 |
47 |
1 |
-- |
5 |
2004 Oct 9-10 |
50 |
45 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
2004 Oct 1-3 |
51 |
46 |
2 |
1 |
* |
2004 Sep 24-26 |
43 |
50 |
3 |
-- |
4 |
2004 Sep 13-15 |
43 |
54 |
2 |
-- |
1 |
2004 Sep 3-5 |
50 |
45 |
3 |
* |
2 |
2004 Aug 23-25 |
47 |
46 |
4 |
-- |
3 |
2004 Aug 9-11 |
47 |
45 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
* |
2 |
2004 Jul 19-21 |
48 |
44 |
4 |
* |
4 |
2004 Jul 8-11 |
51 |
41 |
4 |
* |
4 |
2004 Jun 21-23 |
53 |
44 |
1 |
-- |
2 |
2004 Jun 3-6 |
49 |
44 |
3 |
* |
4 |
2004 May 21-23 |
50 |
45 |
2 |
* |
3 |
2004 May 7-9 |
46 |
48 |
3 |
-- |
3 |
2004 May 2-4 |
49 |
45 |
2 |
* |
4 |
2004 Apr 16-18 |
48 |
47 |
4 |
* |
1 |
2004 Apr 5-8 |
47 |
47 |
4 |
* |
2 |
2004 Mar 26-28 |
42 |
52 |
3 |
* |
3 |
2004 Mar 5-7 |
50 |
43 |
4 |
* |
3 |
2004 Feb 16-17 |
57 |
40 |
2 |
-- |
1 |
2004 Feb 6-8 |
47 |
49 |
1 |
-- |
3 |
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1 |
57 |
39 |
1 |
-- |
3 |
2004 Jan 9-11 |
43 |
53 |
2 |
-- |
2 |
Big Gallup Ping
THE story that
ABC, AP, CBS, CNN, FOX, MSNBC, NBC, NY Times
DON'T WANT AMERICA TO KNOW!
John Kerry's Discharge
He won't sign Form 180
What is he hiding?
"There is overwhelming evidence that the Navy gave John Kerry either a dishonorable discharge
or an undesirable discharge which is the equivalent of a dishonorable discharge
without the felony conviction and that, as a result of such discharge,
he was stripped of all of his famous but questionable Navy awards and medals.
And the kicker? The evidence is on his website!"
http://worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=41200
BUT
ABC, AP, CBS, CNN, FOX, MSNBC, NBC, NY Times
made sure you knew about the "Bush" documents.
Q) Why did
ABC, AP, CBS, CNN, FOX, MSNBC, NBC, NY Times
NOT ask Kerry about why he wouldn't sign Form 180?
A) Because they are AFRAID of the REAL story!
Don't let ABC, AP, CBS, CNN, FOX, NBC
try to "give" the election to Kerry
like they did Gore in FL
http://tonkin.spymac.net/votefraud.html
Spread the word on the internet!
Post on internet boards AND e-mails!
Kerry's October Surprise (Missippi Press)
http://www.gulflive.com/opinion/mississippipress/index.ssf?/base/opinion/109904493874180.xml
THE Next Smoking Gun - the "proof"
http://www.combatvetsagainstkerry.com/proof.htm
Kerry's Military Discharge. What's Kerry Hiding?
http://www.humaneventsonline.com/blog-buzzcut.php?range=10/24/2004+-+10/30/2004
Kerry's Dishonorable Discharge
http://www.townhall.com/columnists/markalexander/ma20041023.shtml
Editorial Comments about Kerry's Discharge
http://www.combatvetsagainstkerry.com/dischargeeditorials.htm
Kerry Military Discharge Deception, look at the online documentation!
http://www.combatvetsagainstkerry.com/discharge2.htm
Mystery Surrounds Kerry's Navy Discharge
http://www.nysun.com/article/3107
The original article, posted 9/24/04
http://www.combatvetsagainstkerry.com/discharge.htm
The whole 42:09 Stolen Honor online FREE right now! E-mail it NOW!
Stolen Honor nails Kerry and the VVAW
and how they lied at Winter Soldier.
And how Kerry lied to the US Senate in 1971
And how Kerry and his pack of liars caused our POW's to suffer!
Kerry and the DNC cannot stop
EVERYONE on the internet from seeing this!
http://stolenhonor.com/documentary/watch-video.asp
E-mail the FREE xxcerpts clips to everyone NOW!
http://stolenhonor.com/documentary/program-excerpts.asp
LATEST SWIFT BOAT VETS AD!
http://humaneventsonline.com.edgesuite.net/unfittolead.html
Swift Vets and POW's
We Have Questions
Free Videos!
http://www.swiftvetsandpows.com/
Hanoi Approved of Role Played By Kerry and VVAW
http://www.nysun.com/article/3756
Timeline of John Kerry
http://www.archive-news.net/Kerry/JK_timeline.html
Click Here for
All the Latest Swift Boat Vets Ad!
http://www.swiftvets.com/
Click Here for
All the Swift Boat Vets Ads!
View for FREE!
http://www2.swiftvets.com/index.php?topic=Ads
Free online version of
John Kerry and the VVAW
"The New Soldier"
Banned by the DNC!
You can read it online right now.
http://ejsmithweb.com/fr/newsoldier/
The Swiftvets news conference on C-SPAN can be found here.
AND other valuable Video and Audio links.
http://www.peteandrews.net/media.htm
The Children of Viet Nam Veterans Video (Not an easy one to watch)
Please remember the 58,000 + Names on the Wall on Nov 2
Please watch this video
Thank You
http://kerrylied.com/otherdocs/flash.htm
Tick, Tick, Tick, Tick
The 49-49-1 is registered voters, not likely.
It would be much more helpful if Gallup provided the internals for their likely voter model. The internals for registered voters aren't much help at all.
Bookmark and note to self to check this for accuracy after election.
/
Republicans 33%
Democrats 39%
Independents 28%
I am going to try to run dvwjr's more accurate program.
This poll is total BS.
Bush is WAY ahead amongst males and in most all polls is ahead with women.
This Gallup poll actually shows 21% of "conservatives" supports Kerry. BS.
I'm tired of all the pessimism on our side. This poll's internals are garbage. There is no way that Kerry should be getting 24% of the conservative vote. I'm angry at what I'm seeing as a deliberate attempt by the MSM to tamper with the polling to help their buddy Kerry.
Well good thing that the Bush team's own man, Matthew Dowd, was quoted as saying today that their campaign's own internal polling shows Bush up 3, which matches the latest CBS one.
The official blog http://www.georgewbush.com/blog/ also sounds upbeat. We're going to WIN - I am 100% sure of it! (Too many prayer warriors for kerry to overcome, imo)