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The Makings of an Early Evening Call for George W. Bush
Congressman Joe ^ | 10/30/04 | Joe Scarborough

Posted on 10/30/2004 11:54:23 PM PDT by gab1279

PENSACOLA, FL— If you want to know where the campaign stands, just see where the candidates sit today.

George W. Bush is spending the homestretch in states carried by Al Gore in 2000.

This morning, he hammered his war on terror theme to rapturous crowds in Wisconsin and Michigan. Later this afternoon he will be visiting what has long been considered one of the most liberal states in America: Minnesota.

Interestingly enough, John Kerry also finds himself today stuck on the defensive in states carried by Gore, like Wisconsin and Iowa.

By the way, I couldn't help notice how the crowds in Iowa were almost tepid in their response to Kerry's negative message while the President was greeted like a rock star in Wisconsin and Michigan

As I learned when we Congressional Republicans tried to take on Bill Clinton in the '90s, there's just something about that presidential bully pulpit.

Bush insiders are beginning to believe that internal polls they are viewing point to one unmistakable conclusion: four more years for their man. Bushies are cheered by the fact that with 48 hours left in what was to be a barnburner campaign, the Kerry camp is still sweating out the details in New Jersey and Hawaii— two states that Al Gore won by almost 20 points just four years ago.

Terror is the defining feature in both states, with Hawaiians looking westward where Al Qaeda continues to spread its politics of death, and New Jersey residents remembering the burning New York skyline just to their east across the Hudson River in 2001.

Add to those poll numbers the latest Bin Laden bombshell and you have all the makings of an early evening call for George W. Bush...

(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.msn.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: battleground; congressmanjoe; gwb2004; itsallover; kerry; purplestates; scarborough; thanksbinladin; wstandsforwin
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Kerry's a cold fish, the people don't relate to him, and Bin Ladin's tape I think puts the final nail in the coffin.

People are reminded that Bush can walk the talk in the war on terror, while Kerry votes against the money needed for our troops...yet claims he has a better "plan."

In that last minute in the booth, the burning question is "Who can I really trust?" And many know deep in their hearts, there is only one answer.

1 posted on 10/30/2004 11:54:25 PM PDT by gab1279
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To: gab1279

Word. LoL


2 posted on 10/30/2004 11:55:51 PM PDT by xuberalles
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To: gab1279

What timeframe, central time zone, should it be clear who is going to win? 9pm?


3 posted on 10/30/2004 11:56:04 PM PDT by Kornev
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To: gab1279

I'd feel better about this if the article were coming from someone other than jumpy joe scarborough.


4 posted on 10/30/2004 11:58:19 PM PDT by flashbunny (Every thought that enters my head requires its own vanity thread.)
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To: Kornev

I'm still excited that 2 NJ and 1 NY paper endorsed President Bush. Living so close to ground zero, I don't see how they could vote for anyone but Bush!


5 posted on 10/31/2004 12:01:05 AM PDT by Woogit (IN GOD I TRUST...NO MATTER WHAT!)
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To: gab1279
Well, I hope the armies of pajamahadeens are ready to hit the Sunday night October surprise with their quick research and get out the real info. You have to believe that they are going to try to do something having had the 'weapons missing' pulled out from under them.

When you are conservative you have to watch not only the cheap tricks of the campaign, but the cheap shots of the media!

6 posted on 10/31/2004 12:01:42 AM PDT by Ruth C (learn to analyze rationally and extrapolate consequences ... you might become a conservative)
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To: gab1279

"By the way I couldn't help notice the tepid response in Iowa to Kerry's negative talk while President Bush was greeted like a rock star ..."

...The American people know a REAL Man when they see one.

-Regards, T.


7 posted on 10/31/2004 12:01:45 AM PDT by T Lady (Who Let the 'RATS Out?!!)
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To: gab1279
...while CBS/NY Times will continue limiting their polling audience to family members of Dan Rather, Mary Mapes, and Paul Krugman.
lol :=)
8 posted on 10/31/2004 12:03:16 AM PDT by lahargis
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To: gab1279

I just saw a clip from last night's Demo gathering with Alexandra Kerry and Algore... she was reading from her "speech," rather badly. It was an appearance at a Filipino concert, and the audience was primarily Filipino (which used to vote dem but is polling heavier Republican this election). She emphasized how much her father "knows and cares about their community." One really has to wonder if Kerry knows anything at all about the Filipino community in Hawaii other than he hopes they vote for him.


9 posted on 10/31/2004 12:05:14 AM PDT by Spyder
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To: gab1279
Just to be a contrarian for a moment...

You could argue that Bush spending so much time in Florida and Ohio the last weekend is indicative of his growing concern for either or both and he is making side trips to MI, WI, MN, IA to try to recover. What really does have me concerned, besides voter fraud, is that Bush thinks he is losing Ohio and is stuck on 266 EVS, which is why he made the trip to NH and sent Cheney to HI---in search of the 4 votes he needs to go over the top.
10 posted on 10/31/2004 12:09:51 AM PDT by Founding Father
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To: gab1279

The networks will try to make the maps look good for Kerry as long as possible on Tuesday. I favor doing away with the media manipulation of predicting election results by going to a uniform nationwide poll closing time.


11 posted on 10/31/2004 12:10:21 AM PDT by Paleo Conservative (Hey! Hey! Ho! Ho! Dan Rather's got to go!)
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To: gab1279

I dream of watching the results trickle in Tuesday night and seeing NJ and NH go for Bush.

Oh what a night it would be then.


12 posted on 10/31/2004 12:11:39 AM PDT by IStillBelieve ( "The historic Grey Monster in Fenley Park is seared - seared - into my memory." - John Kerry)
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To: gab1279
By the way, I couldn't help notice how the crowds in Iowa were almost tepid in their response to Kerry's negative message....

That's what happens when the crowds are only there cause they were paid.

13 posted on 10/31/2004 12:12:43 AM PDT by Dont Mention the War (How important a Senator can you be if Dick Cheney's never told you to "go [bleep] yourself"?)
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To: gab1279

Florida will be the key. He who wins Florida wins this election.


14 posted on 10/31/2004 12:22:04 AM PDT by zarf
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To: Founding Father
Bush must have Florida or he can pack his bags. Ohio is secondary.

I'm praying we get the Sunshine State; after that everything will fall into place.

15 posted on 10/31/2004 12:23:46 AM PDT by zarf
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To: gab1279

This year, the Dems will complain about the media calling the election before the last Californian has a chance to vote, mark my words.


16 posted on 10/31/2004 12:25:15 AM PDT by EaglesUpForever
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To: Paleo Conservative

"The networks will try to make the maps look good for Kerry as long as possible on Tuesday."

I agree. I remember last time that there were states that Bush easily won on the East coast (e.g. SC, NC, VA) and the networks were showing big vote total leads, but they waited to call for Bush. But, as we all painfully remember, they made an early (before the panhandle precincts closed) and premature call of Florida for Gore. They so wanted to annoint Gore the next POTUS. Despite the 2000 debacle, I think we can expect the same on Tuesday. They just can't help themselves.


17 posted on 10/31/2004 12:35:12 AM PDT by HoosierFather
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To: HoosierFather
I agree. I remember last time that there were states that Bush easily won on the East coast (e.g. SC, NC, VA) and the networks were showing big vote total leads, but they waited to call for Bush.

I think we need a national poll closing time. That way no one would still be voting When the results start coming in.

18 posted on 10/31/2004 12:38:45 AM PDT by Paleo Conservative (Hey! Hey! Ho! Ho! Dan Rather's got to go!)
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To: Kornev
What timeframe, central time zone, should it be clear who is going to win? 9pm?

If it's going to be an early night, 9-9:30PM CT should do it ... after how they got burned by VNS in 2002 and 2000, they're gonna want to wait for some Precincts to report before they feel comfortable calling some states. This being said, one can project how Bush is doing by about 6pm CT by watching the attitude of the pundits on the Democrat Networks. While I watch Fox News most of the time, I'll bounce back and forth to CNN and SeeBS every 10 or so minutes to see how they're acting. If they look depressed, or are making strange noises about fraud at the polls and about Dems filing law suits, I'll know Bush has won. If they're really happy, I'll start making plans for ammo purchases before inauguration day ... one never knows how available adequate ammo will be under a Kerry Administration (and, God knows, we'll need all we can get).
19 posted on 10/31/2004 1:06:36 AM PDT by TexasGreg ("Democrats Piss Me Off")
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To: gab1279

Your last statement is crucial .. FOX has been showing that number as 58 for Bush and 37 for Kerry - just on the WOT issue.


20 posted on 10/31/2004 1:09:11 AM PDT by CyberAnt (Election 2004: This election is for the SOUL OF AMERICA)
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