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Look at this Battleground Poll and it past result predicing the pres. PRETTY GOOD!
tarrance group ^

Posted on 10/30/2004 8:57:12 PM PDT by crackphx

here is the current poll on 10/29/04

http://www.tarrance.com/files/Week7charts.pdf

here are the past results of the last 3 elections

http://www.tarrance.com/files/BG_Poll_%20Vote_Projections.pdf

All in all with all the other polls and the OBL tape, things look good for BC04


TOPICS: Activism/Chapters; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: battleground; newbiepost; pimpmysite; polls
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1 posted on 10/30/2004 8:57:17 PM PDT by crackphx
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To: crackphx

http://www.tarrance.com/files/Week7charts.pdf

You are welcome.

http://www.tarrance.com/files/BG_Poll_%20Vote_Projections.pdf

And welcome to FR!


2 posted on 10/30/2004 8:59:32 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (Who would the terrorists vote for?)
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To: crackphx

I think the only reason they were not spot on in 2000 was the last minute DUI sleaze attack. I predict Bush will win with near 300 or a little over.


3 posted on 10/30/2004 10:06:56 PM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: crackphx

I think the only reason they were not spot on in 2000 was the last minute DUI sleaze attack. I predict Bush will win with near 300 or a little over.


4 posted on 10/30/2004 10:08:19 PM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: Jet Jaguar

Enough with ALL these polls. Polls to watch this weekend:
Gallup
Time
Pew
Strategic Vision
Quinnipiac
Mason-Dixon
Battleground


5 posted on 10/30/2004 10:08:49 PM PDT by sarasotarepublican (Politicians are like diapers. They both need changing regularly and for the same reason.)
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To: crackphx

This is a favorable poll, Drudge has some saying Kerry has pulled slightly ahead...

I hate that....

Welcome to Free Republic...


6 posted on 10/30/2004 10:13:25 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (A Proud member of Free Republic ~~The New Face of the Fourth Estate since 1996.)
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To: sarasotarepublican

When is the final GW Battleground Poll out?

Gallup and Time today/Monday will be important. They are the last ones of the campaign, and like Newsweek are staking their "careers" on it, unlike the tracking polls where they still have three days to fix things.


7 posted on 10/30/2004 10:14:07 PM PDT by MichaelTN04
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To: Names Ash Housewares
This year we have the bin Laden tape....

Drudge has a note that says the Democrats have a Focus group going to study it's impact.
8 posted on 10/30/2004 10:15:36 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (A Proud member of Free Republic ~~The New Face of the Fourth Estate since 1996.)
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To: crackphx

Here's a link for the Softvote.com graph for the last week. Notice that a move started last night. Granted that this is an online poll, but folks still have to be motivated to move on it.
http://www.softvote.com/chart/hour.gif


9 posted on 10/30/2004 10:18:23 PM PDT by pgkdan
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To: crackphx

Their numbers look far more consistant over time than the other polls. They also look too good to be true, but I'll take it.


10 posted on 10/30/2004 10:21:21 PM PDT by kik5150
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To: crackphx
These numbers look great!

I'm going to pretend I did not see them:-)

11 posted on 10/30/2004 10:21:37 PM PDT by Cold Heat (http://ice.he.net/~freepnet/kerry/staticpages/index.php?page=20040531140357545)
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To: Jet Jaguar
The problem is, the winning poll for 2000 was Zogby's, according to http://www.tarrance.com/files/BG_Poll_%20Vote_Projections.pdf As of today, Zogby has JFK2 ahead, K47-B46, and says he's trending to a win (as told to a NY reporter, late yesterday). That plus the initial UBL bounce appears to be Kerry's. To soon to tell, but I'm not as encouraged as you.
12 posted on 10/30/2004 10:31:09 PM PDT by kmm526161
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To: crackphx
I was just asked to do a poll for Polling Point online. Does anyone know how they are as pollsters? There certainly weren't any BS questions.

http://www.pollingpoint.com/index.html

13 posted on 10/30/2004 10:31:24 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW (Save a Democrat! Vote Republican!)
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To: kmm526161
The problem is, the winning poll for 2000 was Zogby's, according to http://www.tarrance.com/files/BG_Poll_%20Vote_Projections.pdf As of today, Zogby has JFK2 ahead, K47-B46, and says he's trending to a win (as told to a NY reporter, late yesterday). That plus the initial UBL bounce appears to be Kerry's. To soon to tell, but I'm not as encouraged as you.

In 2002 Zogby failed big time. That along with weekend polling consistently being unfavorable to the GOP, makes me not worry. Let's see what the polls show Monday.

14 posted on 10/30/2004 10:35:44 PM PDT by monkapotamus
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To: crackphx

15 posted on 10/30/2004 10:35:55 PM PDT by 68-69TonkinGulfYachtClub (God Bless America)
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To: DJ MacWoW

http://www.pollingpoint.com/index.html


16 posted on 10/30/2004 10:36:29 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (Who would the terrorists vote for?)
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To: crackphx

Welcome to Free Republic


17 posted on 10/30/2004 10:36:44 PM PDT by 68-69TonkinGulfYachtClub (God Bless America)
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To: DJ MacWoW
No Polling point is an online poll I did through newsmax.com. i am sure when they release results it will be 99.9 bush .1 kerry. they will release them I think monday
18 posted on 10/30/2004 10:37:23 PM PDT by crackphx
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To: Jet Jaguar

Correction -- as enthusiastic as crackphx. Sorry, Jet.


19 posted on 10/30/2004 10:38:19 PM PDT by kmm526161
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To: kmm526161

You sure managed to throw a lot of doom and gloom into your post. Where's your evidence of a favorable bump to Kerry from bin Laden's videotape appearance?


20 posted on 10/30/2004 10:39:27 PM PDT by Steve_Stifler
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