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NRO KERRY SPOT: The Word From A Highly-Placed Source (Bush Has 'Huge Lead In Florida')
NRO: The Kerry Spot ^
| 10/29
| Jim Geraghty
Posted on 10/29/2004 10:36:16 AM PDT by West Coast Conservative
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To: The_Republican
The 'Missing Munitions' story is working in Bush's favor in Oregon and Washington. I have spoken with four "on the fence" voters who think Kerry went off half cocked.
61
posted on
10/29/2004 11:14:49 AM PDT
by
CyberCowboy777
(We want hard, tough, seasoned leaders who will methodically destroy the people who would kill us.)
To: LS
Have Cheney stop in southern California for a rally en route to or back from Hawaii. Just to stir the pot.
62
posted on
10/29/2004 11:15:45 AM PDT
by
mwl1
To: West Coast Conservative
I hope and pray that the Bush people have gotten to the TV networks about using exit polling to call states this year. Exit polls, by definition, poll only those people leaving the polls on Election Day. They do not count the absentee and early voters. This is why the media erroneously called Florida for Gore so early in 2000. The exit polls had Gore leading comfortably all day long - but they did not account for a massive and well-executed absentee ballot drive by the GOP. When those absentee ballots were counted on Election Day, Bush actually had the lead and kept it all night. But serious damage was done, especially to Bush's popular vote total, and possibly to the overall result in New Mexico, because the TV networks called Florida for Gore at 7:00 p.m. and western Republicans got discouraged and did not vote.
I have felt all along that Bush will win Florida easily.
**There is no way the Democrats can top their huge 2000 turnout, especially in the black communities;
**Joe Lieberman is not on the ballot and a large percentage of Jews are voting for Bush;
**Jeb Bush was reelected easily in 2002, despite a supposedly massive Dem turnout operation and hate campaign run against Jeb, and jeb is even more popular now due to his great response to the hurricanses;
**The Republican areas of the Panhandle and Orlando have grown substantially more than South Florida since 2000; and
**Thousands of old people who voted Gore in 2000 have died.
This does not even take into consideration what I belileve to be a vastly superior turnout operation from 2000 by the Republicans.
63
posted on
10/29/2004 11:18:25 AM PDT
by
Dems_R_Losers
(Proud Reagan Alumna!)
To: Gunder
I just got an email from BC04 that Vikings head coach Mike Tice will appear with GWB this Saturday at the Target Center in Mpls. Any word on whom Randy Moss is supporting?
To: mwl1
That would be sweet as honey.
65
posted on
10/29/2004 11:21:38 AM PDT
by
NetSurfer
(Proud member of the Pajama-Wearing Lunatic Fringe)
To: West Coast Conservative
66
posted on
10/29/2004 11:22:44 AM PDT
by
livinez
To: Pyro7480
Think about what you just said! You are worried about the President NOT winning NJ!
67
posted on
10/29/2004 11:27:57 AM PDT
by
Redleg Duke
(Stir the pot...don't let anything settle to the bottom where the lawyers can feed off of it!)
To: West Coast Conservative
I'm glad to hear about Florida, but I agree with a previous poster that Ohio is the problem. If Bush loses that state, I think that the possibility of him being reelected is highly unlikely. The voter fraud in Ohio and Wisconsin are very real problems. I'm cautiously optimistic that Bush will win, but this is more out of my own desire for him to win than on the polls.
To: Redleg Duke
What's the sense you have over NJ? I'm looking at just the trend from past elections, even though the poll is tied.
69
posted on
10/29/2004 11:31:02 AM PDT
by
Pyro7480
(Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
To: ConservativeDude
""Mitt Romney is in Michigan" - now that is a blast from the past! George Romney country! Cool! "I wonder if they are gonna send Largent to Washington?
---compare that with sending the Heavy-Breathin' Gore to intimidate and Bellow at the Asian-Americans in Hawaii. While we send the guy who lowers his voice, his eyes, folds his hands (All body-language signs of respect in Asian culture) while speaking. Plus Cheney is bald ----sign of wisdom in Asian folklore.
70
posted on
10/29/2004 11:32:19 AM PDT
by
cookcounty
(WWW-Will John Kerry seek a 4th Purple Heart for fingers burnt in the Battle of Al-Qa Qaa?)
To: Pyro7480
What I meant was that three weeks ago, sKerry was up 16 pts. Now you are worried about Bush not carrying it.
71
posted on
10/29/2004 11:35:13 AM PDT
by
Redleg Duke
(Stir the pot...don't let anything settle to the bottom where the lawyers can feed off of it!)
To: SunkenCiv
""what happens in Vegas stays in Vegas"... wonder why W's political and social stances aren't having more impact in Nevada? :'D " That's the whole thing: the GOP wants to keep it ilocked up in Vegas. The Dems want all the states to be that way.
72
posted on
10/29/2004 11:35:56 AM PDT
by
cookcounty
(WWW-Will John Kerry seek a 4th Purple Heart for fingers burnt in the Battle of Al-Qa Qaa?)
To: GRRRRR
73
posted on
10/29/2004 11:37:31 AM PDT
by
skishin
To: Redleg Duke
It's still possible, even though Bush is tied with Kerry there.
74
posted on
10/29/2004 11:38:01 AM PDT
by
Pyro7480
(Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
To: West Coast Conservative
75
posted on
10/29/2004 11:50:34 AM PDT
by
TheBigB
(I have a keyboard and an attitude. Don't piss me off.)
To: West Coast Conservative
76
posted on
10/29/2004 11:56:30 AM PDT
by
RipSawyer
("Embed" Michael Moore with the 82nd airborne.)
To: Hermann the Cherusker; SunkenCiv
"New Mexico will probably be one of the few bright spots for Kerry, but perhaps not. Kerry will win in the D of C, and perhaps as few as ten states. "
"Huh? New Mexico has voted for the winner in every election since admission to the union in 1912 except 1976 and 2000. NM for Bush!"
In 2000, there was a freak storm in an area of NM that usually goes heavily republican. Many people simply could not make it to the polls. Speculation was that if it didn't snow, (coupled with the early call for Gore) the state would have gone for Bush. NM a bright spot for Kerry? The battery on that spot is running low.
77
posted on
10/29/2004 12:05:20 PM PDT
by
freelancer
(If we do not win the war against terrorism, everything else is irrelevant.)
To: West Coast Conservative
Impossible. Molly Ivans said today that democrats have the edge in intensity.
78
posted on
10/29/2004 12:08:17 PM PDT
by
js1138
(D*mn, I Missed!)
To: ConservativeDude
You got that right. If WA was in play, you could go to dinner.
We are the biggest collection of scumbag liberals up here than you can shake a stick at.
Actually, the Seattle, Everett, Tacoma, Olympia corridor is the cancerous part of this state. Whack it out and you've got some nice clean country up here.
I feel like one of those Iraqis begging the coalition to bomb his house to oust Hussein.
79
posted on
10/29/2004 12:10:41 PM PDT
by
RinaseaofDs
(The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money.)
To: Hermann the Cherusker; freelancer
In the RealCities poll for NM, Bush leads by 5 per cent:
http://www.broward.com/mld/mercurynews/news/special_packages/election2004/9977631.htm
And, the sample was slightly more women than men, and the partisan ID was 53 per cent D, 37 per cent R.
All I said was "perhaps" Kerry would take it. The only poll that counts is on Tuesday, and all we have to do is show up to reelect the President. We also need to give him more R in both houses of Congress.
80
posted on
10/29/2004 12:13:19 PM PDT
by
SunkenCiv
("All I have seen teaches me trust the Creator for all I have not seen." -- Emerson)
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