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I hope and pray that the Bush people have gotten to the TV networks about using exit polling to call states this year. Exit polls, by definition, poll only those people leaving the polls on Election Day. They do not count the absentee and early voters. This is why the media erroneously called Florida for Gore so early in 2000. The exit polls had Gore leading comfortably all day long - but they did not account for a massive and well-executed absentee ballot drive by the GOP. When those absentee ballots were counted on Election Day, Bush actually had the lead and kept it all night. But serious damage was done, especially to Bush's popular vote total, and possibly to the overall result in New Mexico, because the TV networks called Florida for Gore at 7:00 p.m. and western Republicans got discouraged and did not vote.

I have felt all along that Bush will win Florida easily.
**There is no way the Democrats can top their huge 2000 turnout, especially in the black communities;
**Joe Lieberman is not on the ballot and a large percentage of Jews are voting for Bush;
**Jeb Bush was reelected easily in 2002, despite a supposedly massive Dem turnout operation and hate campaign run against Jeb, and jeb is even more popular now due to his great response to the hurricanses;
**The Republican areas of the Panhandle and Orlando have grown substantially more than South Florida since 2000; and
**Thousands of old people who voted Gore in 2000 have died.
This does not even take into consideration what I belileve to be a vastly superior turnout operation from 2000 by the Republicans.