Posted on 10/25/2004 2:59:13 PM PDT by RWR8189
Rasmussen's 3 day National Tracking Poll has Kerry in the lead for the first time in over two months, 48.4%-46.4%.
Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages of 5 key battleground states shows very little change from yesterday:
Florida, Tie 48% (this is unchanged for 3 days in a row)
Michigan, Kerry 51%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday, but the exact figure of 4 days ago)
Minnesota, Bush 48%-46% (This is unchanged for 4 days in a row)
Ohio, Bush 49%-46% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday, but the exact figure from 5 days ago)
Pennsylvania, Kerry 49%-47% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday, and the closest he's been since 10/17)
Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/24
Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/22
Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages for 5 key battleground states
Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/20
Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/17
Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/16
Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/14
Rasmussen Battleground Polls Update (10/13)
Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/12
Rasmussen Battleground polls - updated 10/9
Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/8
ping
..............
Well just damn.... I guess we should all stay home and not vote....
</sarcasm>
Why are these polls not included in RCP averages?
I believe they are for subscribers only.
Anyone know the battleground states for Bush/Dukakis prior to Election Day?
Also Reagan/Carter?
Interesting.... so Rasmussen has Kerry surging ahead today in the popular vote, yet the Battlegrounds hardly budged.
I'll take MI & MINN.....!!!! CHECKMATE!
Throw in WI and NM and Kerry's out of options.
I think Bush will win Florida, but it looks like he may also win Wisconsin, Minnesotra, and Iowa, which together add up to 27 electoral votes -- the same as Florida.
See this post on why Florida is more likely to go with Bush than the RAT challenger now than in 2000.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/1256478/posts
Thanks. Great article.
7 day moving average vs 3 day moving average....
Or maybe Kerry is only solidifying CA NY and IL?
I was told its because RCP reports a 3 way race and Rasmussen does not.
Yes, but LQQK at all the attention Rasmussen got for this today. You know what they say, ANY publicity is good publicity, unless it is for the 'Scott Petersen Guide To Achieving Marital Bliss' Self-Help Book.
I think I'll go with the Gallup/Cheney poll projections.
I wouldn't be too worried about the main Rasmussen poll yet. Today we are seeing ONLY weekend numbers [Fri,Sat,Sun polling]. I noticed on Sat. morning that Rasmussen had a two point shift (GWB down one, sKerry up one). The Friday polling numbers will be off tomorrow.
I think the Rasmussen figures to really care about show up Thurs [Mon,Tues, & Wed polling] and Friday [Tues, Wed, & Thurs polling]. Anything else is probably skewed by the extra number of Rats at home.
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