Posted on 10/25/2004 5:10:17 AM PDT by Momaw Nadon
| State | % Chance of Bush Winning | Bush Electoral Votes | Kerry Electoral Votes |
| Alabama | 96.7 | 9 | 0 |
| Alaska | 97.5 | 3 | 0 |
| Arizona | 92.5 | 10 | 0 |
| Arkansas | 83.0 | 6 | 0 |
| California | 5.4 | 0 | 55 |
| Colorado | 81.5 | 9 | 0 |
| Connecticut | 7.4 | 0 | 7 |
| Delaware | 7.4 | 0 | 3 |
| District of Columbia | 1.5 | 0 | 3 |
| Florida | 63.0 | 27 | 0 |
| Georgia | 96.6 | 15 | 0 |
| Hawaii | 15.8 | 0 | 4 |
| Idaho | 95.6 | 4 | 0 |
| Illinois | 6.6 | 0 | 21 |
| Indiana | 96.0 | 11 | 0 |
| Iowa | 63.6 | 7 | 0 |
| Kansas | 96.3 | 6 | 0 |
| Kentucky | 95.0 | 8 | 0 |
| Louisiana | 93.9 | 9 | 0 |
| Maine | 17.5 | 0 | 4 |
| Maryland | 8.0 | 0 | 10 |
| Massachusetts | 2.7 | 0 | 12 |
| Michigan | 23.5 | 0 | 17 |
| Minnesota | 39.3 | 0 | 10 |
| Mississippi | 95.9 | 6 | 0 |
| Missouri | 87.5 | 11 | 0 |
| Montana | 97.2 | 3 | 0 |
| Nebraska | 96.0 | 5 | 0 |
| Nevada | 78.5 | 5 | 0 |
| New Hampshire | 47.4 | 0 | 4 |
| New Jersey | 15.5 | 0 | 15 |
| New Mexico | 43.0 | 0 | 5 |
| New York | 3.6 | 0 | 31 |
| North Carolina | 93.5 | 15 | 0 |
| North Dakota | 95.2 | 3 | 0 |
| Ohio | 54.8 | 20 | 0 |
| Oklahoma | 97.0 | 7 | 0 |
| Oregon | 18.3 | 0 | 7 |
| Pennsylvania | 29.7 | 0 | 21 |
| Rhode Island | 2.1 | 0 | 4 |
| South Carolina | 96.7 | 8 | 0 |
| South Dakota | 95.6 | 3 | 0 |
| Tennessee | 96.0 | 11 | 0 |
| Texas | 97.5 | 34 | 0 |
| Utah | 97.5 | 5 | 0 |
| Vermont | 3.7 | 0 | 3 |
| Virginia | 90.5 | 13 | 0 |
| Washington | 7.8 | 0 | 11 |
| West Virginia | 87.5 | 5 | 0 |
| Wisconsin | 60.5 | 10 | 0 |
| Wyoming | 97.5 | 3 | 0 |
| Totals | 291 | 247 |
The scary thing is the dem's look at this and say "Awesome, we just have to steal Ohio and Wisconsin and it's ours.
That's why it is so important that Bush win Minnesota, to offset Wisconsin, should the dem's steal it again.
Good to hear Virginia at 90%. The DUngers were saying that Kerry was going to start moving money into that state. Arnold has got to help move Ohio this week.
Bush is ahead in Hawaii now but for some reason it stays in the Kerry camp. I think its time to readjust the map. Alot of the states they have leaning Kerry are now leaning Bush.
Kerry's only hope is to win both OH and FL ... it makes sense why the fraud and intimidation factor is strongest there (and in PA to make sure Bush cant take that state).
From what I hear - Hawaii should be a lighter shade of red.
electoral-vote.com is run by a Dem, who takes the most recent poll in a given state -- even Zogby Interactive. His numbers should therefore be taken with a huge semi-trailer full of salt.
Thanks jdege!
This is similar to the results of the Missouri vote; and we managed to defeat an incumbant liberal governor.
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