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Posted on 10/24/2004 11:41:38 AM PDT by West Coast Conservative
Detriot News tracking poll (601 LV): Bush 47%, Kerry 42%, Nader 1%.
MOE: 4%
Don't get too excited too quickly...heard at a republican-poll training class that another poll will be coming out soon to say just the opposite. However, I shall keep the faith.
Hear the Donkey Bray
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[Expletive deleted] !!!
Given that the other polls in the state show Kerry up about 5 points, I'm treating this with skepticism.
There's a blessing in not being able to post from the Detroit News. At least people here aren't going to be subjected to their gutless refusal to endorse a candidate.
Every since closet liberal Nolan Finley took over the editorial page a couple years ago, the News has slowly become a clone of the leftist Free Press. It started with their ridiculously biased promotion of affirmative action (they were even more slavishly devoted to "diversity" than the Freep). They continued occasional supply-side type articles on tax issues, which is about the only place they're still reliably conservative.
They know they can't afford to alienate their conservative readers by endorsing Kerry, so instead they give a wink and a nod enodrsement of Kerry by refusing to endorse.
Finley is a leftwinger, and a gutless one at that. I'd recommend people cancel their subscriptions anyway. There's no need for two liberal papers in Detroit, one is plenty. Go buy one of the suburban papers instead.
"their gutless refusal to endorse a candidate" -- yeah, heh heh... "none of the above" was their intelligent recommendation; and I think they said, vote no on 1 & 2.
I don't believe this poll either. Conventional wisdom says Kerry wins this state. Arkansas stays Republican.
What other polls?
"W" is for "whooped'em". Go Bush!!
Don't get too excited too quickly...heard at a republican-poll training class that another poll will be coming out soon to say just the opposite. However, I shall keep the faith.
Of course haven't you notice that? Any good news Repb poll must be followed with 48 hours by a poll showing the opposet. Standard DNC operating procedure.
Other recent Michigan polls: EPIC-MRA: Kerry up 49-43. Survey USA: Kerry up 51-44. Mason Dixon: Kerry 47-46.
He already has received my vote:Early voting begins in Texas today 10-18-2004
BUSY polling place this morning!If I get hit by a semi between now and election day,
my vote is IN THERE! :^D
Aren't those from Thursday?
They're from the latter half of last week. The point is that we shouldn't hang everything on just one poll that looks like it's tilting to our side. There are other polls out there indicating that Kerry has a lead in Michigan.
Ras 7 day tracking just out showing Learch 51-Prez 46% for Michigan
I think the most important thing is that Bush has a clear lead in most of the national polls. If you run the numbers, it's very difficult for a candidate to win the popular vote and lose the electoral college if he's more than 1 point up on the opponent.
If Bush is up by 3 nationally on election day, I'd guess he wins states like FL, OH, WI, IA, and maybe a surprise or two elsewhere, and has a solid electoral college win. I don't really buy this spectre of one candidate losing the popular vote by a clear margin yet drawing an "inside straight" and winning the electoral college. Bush did it, but he only lost the popular vote by 500,000 or so, and a number of states were razor's edge.
I was guessing at the state abbreviations I scored about 70%; they are typically democrat so I have trouble remembering them, like Quebec or the Manitoba way up there in that waste land of a country to the North.
Aah...Mason Dixon is supposed to be pretty good, and that's a dead heat.
And that was without counting all the absentee ballots.
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