Posted on 10/23/2004 8:44:25 PM PDT by DixieOklahoma
check out real clear politics, we are ahead in every senate race (including Colorado) except Alaska.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Senate.html
Me too, and I will be voting accordingly. But my state is a Red, non-swing, State.
He said every senate race. That's not a race; it's a slaughter.
Think bout the disaster a Kerry win would create. He'd face a greater Rep majority in Congree, and he's none to loved by most Dems who see him as Mr. Not Bush. If people feel Bush hasn't built bridges to the other side, Kerry's attemps will include having the anchor to his bridge being blown up by his own side. If Kerry wins we're in for a wild few years.
it says 'nearly' every senate race.
We need 60 to really get some things done. Looks like that is still a ways away.
"we are ahead in every senate race (including Colorado) except Alaska"
No way Bayh loses in Indiana.
Here's the link:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Senate.html
A poll by Rasmussen about a week ago has Tim Michels within 10 points of Russ Feingold. But everything would have to break his way for a victory.
please
Not quite true. We should be 54 - 56 after this election. Then the Dems who have to run in 2006 will be very careful how they operate.
Heh...2006...I tell you that is going to be a very interesting subject. Plenty of Democratic senators in that class are getting very long in the tooth, such as Ted Kennedy (who will be 74 in 2006), Paul Sarbanes (will be 73), Dianne Feinstein (73), Daniel Akaka (82), Robert Byrd (89), and Herb Kohl (71). Unfortunately all of them are in pretty safe states that can elect a Democrat, though we can be very competitive in Wisconsin if Kohl leaves and slightly in West Virginia if Byrd retires.
Aside from them, I think the best targets in 2006 will be Mark Dayton, Ben Nelson and Bill Nelson. Anyone else will depend on the candidate who runs against them.
Hope the pubby Nethercutt takes the senate seat away from moron murray.
"Nearly" is the operative word here.
Look OK by me!
I think we will take (Senate-wise):
NC
SD by a nose
FL by a nose
CO by a healthy margin
OK
SC
KY
LOL ... Ted R, you are ever the pessimist!!
"I would be unable to call winners at all in OK (leans Coburn?), CO (leans Salazar?), SC (still leans DeMint?) and FL (tossup, hopeful for Martinez)."
Tradesports have all of the above as favored GOP wins.
latest poll has Coburn up 6 points - it's over, he'll win on 60% Bush coattails and 'club for growth' help.
FL is scary poll-wise, but imho they underpoll the GOP, Martinez will win in a close race. AND BUSH WILL TAKE FL.
SC a near shoo-in, one of those Liberal wet-dreams like Ron Kirk in Texas - wont happen.
CO close but Coors is up there too. He'll win just as Allard won 2 years ago.
And Bunning? gimme a break. the dems spread pathetic lies and actually think it means something.
last, Vitter *will* win LA, either on the main day or the runoff.
I bet Robert Byrd could be taken out in 2006.
89??? geez.
I like your call - I see it and raise you one:
We take LA as well.
(And GA is a +1 bump as well).
So +4 or more in the Senate ... IF WE GET A NICE BUSH WIN OF 5 POINTS OR MORE.
Unfortunately I doubt there is much chance of Murray going down. Don't underestimate the tenacity of Washington state liberals, even without the libertarians help.
The only thing that's taking Robert Byrd out of the Senate is a hearse. He will never lose an election; West Virginians know where their bread is buttered.
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