Posted on 10/21/2004 10:22:37 AM PDT by GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY
Nathanael posted a link to another website, where a poster claimed to have some of the Mason-Dixon Gore-state polls that are coming out later. Paleocon has chimed in stating that those numbers are correct, and gave the results for the other states that the other sites post did not have.
Call it a hunch, but something tells me that these are, in fact, the numbers. Lets see if my radar is good here, and that instead of these posters just making things up they actually have a scoop.
The results: PA: K46-B45 OR: K46-B45 WI: K45-B45 IA: B49-K43 NM: B49-K44 MI: K47-B46 MN: B47-K45
I'm going out on a limb.
Bush will take all of those states!
Michigan is close...wow!
Bush is up in Minnesota. Cool.
Between Michigan, PA, and Minnesota, I say Bush takes 2 of the three.
That too!
Gallup had Wisconsin by 6% yesterday!
Quite a difference.
Yes, I say Bush takes Minnesota. Despite the election-day registration, they have the cleanest elections in the country, as they require re-registration frequently. The latest Star-Trib poll had Bush down by just five, which, based on that poll's history, means he's going to win.
Minnesota will be
Bush 49.0%
Kerry 47.3%
Who's that I see? She's kind of wide, Oh, that's the "Fat Lady". Great polling news.
I'm starting to sense a coming blowout. If Bush is up four points or more nationally, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and maybe New Jersey become winnable -- not to mention places like Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, and New Mexico.
Wisconsin plus Minnesota = Ohio.....throw in NM and Iowa and Bush is over 280 electoral votes
These numbers kick ass!
Oops meant to say NM + Iowa + michigan= florida..........wouldn't that be something if Bush lost Pa, OH, and Fl and still won the election. That would drive the MSM nuts......
John Kerry killed a goose today. On November 2nd his goose will be cooked.
i really dont trust much of this my money is on we need to keep FL and OH that way we know for a fact our boy will win
Mason-Dixon jibes with Detroit News/Free Press today.
Could the Reagan Democrats rise again? Will they throw the shackles of their union bosses and vote for a Republican?
What is orange in September, carved up in October, and cooked in November?
John Kerry
Seems like Kerry is spending way too much time in Ohio while he is losing support in other 'soft' blue states such as Minnesota, Iowa, New Mexico and Wisconsin. If Bush wins 2 of 4, losing Ohio won't be that big of a deal. However, I think the Bush strategy is the correct one: peak right before the election in Ohio. Kerry seems to be camped out in Ohio and at most the race is tied. This seems to suggest that he has reached his ceiling in Ohio. Once Bush focuses back on Ohio, you will see him pull away. Furthermore, the Bush strategy of making inroads in these other 'soft' blue states increases the likelihood that if for some reason come election night there is a dispute in Ohio or Florida, Bush can pick off enough other states to not have to let the election boil down to one state again. The central question now is, less than two weeks out of the election, which strategy would you rather be utilizing, Bush's or Kerry's?
Suddenly I'm over the AP poll.
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