Posted on 10/17/2004 9:11:24 AM PDT by Oakleaf
1. Bye Bye Democrats
"When the Democratic Party held its national convention in 1992, it could claim 57 senators, 266 members of the House, 27 governors, and 4,430 state senators and representatives. Today, three years and one month after Clinton's nomination, the Democratic Party has been reduced to a minority party with only 46 senators, 200 members of the House, 19 governors, and 3,830 state senators and representatives. Since its convention in New York City just three years ago, the Democratic Party has lost a total of 685 senators, House members, governors, and state senators and representatives." RNC 8/21/95 Monday Briefing
2. I am proud to announce that the RNC has met and exceeded our goal of registering 3 million new voters in this cycle.
As of today we have registered 3,047,073 voters.
The President is attracting new voters and has historic levels of support from Republicans around the country.
We are expanding our party and building coalitions that will lead us to victory in November.
Last week in Monroe, Louisiana, I welcomed Rep. Rodney Alexander to the Republican Party. He became the 200th elected Democrat to switch parties since President George W. Bush took office.
Not all Democrats who support the President switch their Party affiliation, but a large number intend to vote for George W. Bush. Even before Democratic Senator Zell Miller delivered his convention speech the Los Angeles Times reported that President Bush was winning 15% of self-identified Democrats.
(Excerpt) Read more at sandh.com ...
Does anyone have one single source or table of the total number of Democrats who have seen the light and switched to the GOP since 1992? I estimate it to be greater than 300 or 400 at all levels, local, state and national, but can't find the numbers. Does anyknow know a source?
Also, a similar but not identical question, what are the totals for newly registered voters by party and by state in the past ten months? Are we doing better than them in abosolute numbers? (N.B. It is understood that their numbers are inflated by the graveyard registrations!)
http://www.sandh.com/keyes/BYEBYE.HTM is the correct URL for the first reference; the excerpted URL that the system allowed me gets a 505.
If all of them 'changed party'would that make anything different? What of Republican/conservative principles that allow a leftist to 'join' just by ... asking? Unless there is a difference, demoncrap from publicrap, it matters not.
If all of them 'changed party'would that make anything different? What of Republican/conservative principles that allow a leftist to 'join' just by ... asking? Unless there is a difference, demoncrap from publicrap, it matters not.
Voter Registration Statistics from California:
2000: Dems - 6,882,449 : Reps - 5,279,065
2004: Dems - 6,750,078 : Reps - 5,468,813
Diff: Dems - (132,371) : Reps - 189,748
That sounds about right. I wrote a paper talking about the Democrat defections using Rich Galen's numbers...and between 1992-2000, there were 436 elected Democrats who became Republicans. Even at the national level were switches where rare, 14 Democrats came over to the Republican side, while only one left to become a Democrat. I'm sure those numbers increased over the last 4 years.
Wow...that's interesting!
What is your source? Did it have links for all states or were you just able to get the California data? Thanks and good luck.
This is good. Who is Rich Galen? Where are his numbers from? Was this a paper for publication or academia? In either case would you feel comfortable in posting it or excerpts from it? I'm just trying to get a quantifiable number of how well and on how many different levels we are prevailing and the Democrats are imploding. I'm not trying to be a Pollyanna but if all this goes well it could mean the Democrats could go the way of the Whigs. Thanks and good luck.
I can only speak from my personal knowledge but my oldest and best friend is a UAW member who voted for Gore in 2000. He and his wife are firmly behind president Bush this time out.
I am a Republican who was a democrat who saw the light in 1992! Best move I ever made!
Much as I love the current support, it's the switch-overs that weaken our over-all conservative platform. Somebody who wishes for less taxes just screws us on social issues.
Oh, well. 'Tis the way change takes place.
I've been trying to locate the original story without success. I have the article I wrote taken directly from his article...but didn't make a note on the exact source.
Galen is a GOP strategist/writer, who writes for different publications, as well as his own online journal. The article was from around 2000...and it was either NRO or from his own Galen Report (I think). I'll keep looking and post it if I find it.
California Secretary of State's website.
Here's what I found at Google. This article is from 1999 and has the number at 416. I don't know if this is the right number or if 20 more switched by the end of his term:
Clinton's Legacy
-7 Independent Counsel investigations of the Clinton Administration.
-72 House and Senate witnesses have plead the fifth.
-17 witnesses have fled the country to avoid testifying.
-19 foreign witnesses have refused to be interviewed by US investigative bodies.
-55 charges in Clinton scandals.
-32 convictions (so far) in all Clinton scandals.
-14 imprisonments (so far) in all Clinton scandals.
-938 Paid Lincoln Bedroom slumber parties.
-$40 million -- cost of Clinton's trip to China.
-$500 billion -- cost of nuclear secrets trip to China.
-416 elected Democrats have switched parties since Clinton took office.
-62 House of Representative seats changed from Democrat to Republican.
-1 Republican switched to Democrat.
-12 Senate seats changed from Democrat to Republican.
-13 Governorships changed from Democrat to Republican.
-1,200 state legislative seats have changed from Democrat to Republican.
Article URL:
http://planet-goldberg.virtualave.net/legacy.htm
Check out the charts at the following link... it's not exactly what you are asking for but may be helpful and is great to see :-)
http://www.harrisinteractive.com/harris_poll/index.asp?PID=444
Unlike some of the other polls, The Harris Poll finds that the Democrats still retain a small lead over the Republicans in party identification, although it has declined in every decade since the 1970s. Based on over 6,000 interviews conducted by telephone last year, one-third (33%) of all adults "consider themselves" to be Democrats, 28% self-identify as Republicans and 24% as Independents.
However, the average Democratic lead in party identification has fallen from an average of 21 percentage points in the 1970s, eleven percentage points in the 1980s, and seven points in the 1990s to only five points, so far, in the 2000s. There is no mistaking the huge change in party affiliation that has taken place over the last 30 years.
Some other polls report that the Democrats and the Republicans are now virtually equal. We believe the small differences between their numbers and ours reflect the use of slightly different questions; the trends are very similar.
Of course, party identification is not a very good predictor of how people will vote. Historically, Republicans were more likely to vote Republican than Democrats were to vote Democratic; so the long-term trend is nothing but bad news for the Democrats. The only good news for them is that their modest lead has not continued to decrease over the last two years, under the Bush administration.
Of course, most people who identify as Democrats and Republicans tend to vote that way in most elections. So, in most elections whoever gets a majority of the independents (now a quarter of all adults) wins.
Political philosophy
Self-described moderates (40%) continue to outnumber those who consider themselves conservatives (33%) or liberals (18%). These numbers have been remarkably stable over more than 30 years. On a decade-by-decade basis, Conservatives grew modestly from 32% in the 1970s to 36% in the 1980s, and 38% in the 1990s. So far in the 2000s they comprise 34% of adults. Liberals have remained constant at 18% and moderates have held the lead with 40% or 41% in each decade.
I became a Republican in 1994 and voted a straight Republican ticket ever since (except once for Zell Miller-wonderful guy and great governor too).
Me. December 1992
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