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Bush Up By 5 in Oregon (Bush 48-Kerry 43???)
Real Clear Politics ^
Posted on 10/15/2004 1:43:52 PM PDT by Lunatic Fringe
Edited on 10/15/2004 1:53:42 PM PDT by Admin Moderator.
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Some other items:
Wu 58%, Ameri 36%
Measure 34 (Tillamook Forest lockup): Yes 39%, No 27%
Measure 36 (Preserve Traditional Marriage): Yes 57%, No 36%
TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Oregon
KEYWORDS: battleground; kewl; polls; purplestates
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To: Lunatic Fringe
He will win Oregon big!! Remember, 3 weeks before 2000, McAwful was guaranteeing Jeb was losing FL and then he went on to win by 15%.
Pray for W and Our Troops
21
posted on
10/15/2004 1:49:55 PM PDT
by
bray
(Hey Dingbat, how do you say Tax-Evasion in Portugese???)
To: Question Liberal Authority
ARG is skewed, but Survey USA has generally been a pretty good pollster.
22
posted on
10/15/2004 1:50:09 PM PDT
by
RWR8189
(Its Morning in America Again!)
To: Publius
Oregon is not too steady as a political state. A few years back an unknown (then) defeated the congressman who was Speaker of the House. For the life of me I can't remember his name (Big head, white hair).
23
posted on
10/15/2004 1:50:21 PM PDT
by
billhilly
(If you're lurking here from DU (Democrats unglued), I trust this post will make you sick)
To: Lunatic Fringe
This could be really big. If I understand right, all voting in Oregon is absentee. Thus the voting is going on right now?
24
posted on
10/15/2004 1:50:28 PM PDT
by
JLS
To: Lunatic Fringe
No believing this one ...
25
posted on
10/15/2004 1:50:34 PM PDT
by
spodefly
(A torpid disinclination negates the inclusion of a tagline with this post.)
To: mattdono
RILEY RESEARCH ASSOCIATES based in Portland, Oregon
They say Bush +5 and I like it!
26
posted on
10/15/2004 1:50:43 PM PDT
by
Julie(LCR)
(democrats thrive when good people sit back and do nothing)
To: Lunatic Fringe
Looks like GW won the last two debates, despite what Kerry and the MSM would like you to believe.
27
posted on
10/15/2004 1:50:45 PM PDT
by
hershey
To: chimera
I think you may be right (about being a bit unbelievable). The polls seem to mostly favoring Kerry. (Hey, not that I wouldn't love to think that Bush is going to take the state, but Portland is the den of inequity in so many ways that the hippie slime will skew the good folks around the rest of the state....DISCLOSURE: My brother lives just outside of Portland and I like the area, but the hippy maggots in Portland are there...sorry).
Presidential Race |
2004 Elecotral Votes: 7| 2000 Results: Bush 46.5, Gore 47.0, Nader 5.0 (Gore +0.5) |
Poll | Date
|
Sample
|
MoE
|
Bush
|
Kerry
|
Nader
|
Spread
|
RCP Average | 10/9-10/13
|
-
|
-
|
45.3
|
48.3
|
1.5
|
Kerry +3.0
|
|
400 LV
|
4.9
|
48
|
43
|
1
|
Bush +5
|
|
600 LV
|
4.0
|
44
|
49
|
2
|
Kerry +5
|
|
628 LV
|
4.0
|
44
|
53
|
-
|
Kerry +9
|
|
624 RV
|
4.0
|
45
|
47
|
-
|
Kerry +2
|
|
600 LV
|
4.0
|
43
|
50
|
-
|
Kerry +7
|
|
747 LV
|
3.7
|
48
|
47
|
-
|
Bush +1
|
|
625 LV
|
4.0
|
47
|
43
|
1
|
Bush +4
|
|
600 LV
|
4.0
|
44
|
51
|
-
|
Kerry +7
|
|
600 LV
|
4.0
|
45
|
47
|
2
|
Kerry +2
|
|
430 LV
|
4.8
|
43
|
53
|
-
|
Kerry +10
|
|
507 LV
|
4.4
|
46
|
45
|
1
|
Bush +1
|
|
708 LV
|
3.7
|
42.6
|
53.9
|
1.5
|
Kerry +11.3
|
|
LV
|
5.0
|
41
|
47
|
-
|
Kerry +6
|
|
644 LV
|
3.9
|
45.9
|
49.9
|
2.0
|
Kerry +4.0
|
|
n/a
|
3.9
|
42.8
|
52.0
|
1.1
|
Kerry +9.2
|
|
600 LV
|
4.0
|
42
|
50
|
4
|
Kerry +8
|
|
n/a
|
4.1
|
42.4
|
51.6
|
2.3
|
Kerry +9.2
|
|
LV
|
5.0
|
42
|
50
|
-
|
Kerry +8
|
|
n/a
|
3.9
|
44.3
|
50.9
|
1.2
|
Kerry +6.6
|
|
n/a
|
3.8
|
44.6
|
50.5
|
1.0
|
Kerry +5.9
|
|
n/a
|
5.0
|
46
|
45
|
-
|
Bush +1
|
|
n/a
|
3.2
|
44.3
|
49.7
|
2.9
|
Kerry +5.4
|
|
776 LV
|
3.5
|
44
|
39
|
0
|
Bush +5
|
|
603 LV
|
4.0
|
45
|
47
|
3
|
Kerry +2
|
|
600 LV
|
4.0
|
45
|
45
|
5
|
TIE
|
|
600 LV
|
4.0
|
46
|
48
|
-
|
Kerry +2
|
|
500 LV
|
4.5
|
43
|
43
|
8
|
TIE
|
|
444 RV
|
4.7
|
47
|
45
|
1
|
Bush +2
|
|
400 RV
|
5.0
|
40
|
45
|
5
|
Kerry +5
|
28
posted on
10/15/2004 1:50:51 PM PDT
by
mattdono
("Crush the democrats, drive them before you, and hear the lamentations of the scumbags" -Big Arnie)
To: Woogit
If Bush wins Oregon, he will also win PA, NJ, ME.
29
posted on
10/15/2004 1:50:56 PM PDT
by
RockinRight
(John Kerry is the wrong candidate, for the wrong country, at the wrong time)
To: billhilly
That was Washington. George Nethercutt defeated Tom Foley in 1994.
30
posted on
10/15/2004 1:51:15 PM PDT
by
Publius
To: VOA
More good new in the poles coming out tomarrow. Bush is pulling way in Nevada, New Mexico, Fl, Maine and New hampshire.
Bush is even in NJ, MD and close in NY.
To: mattdono
I wasn't looking at the average. I was looking at the latest poll.
32
posted on
10/15/2004 1:51:25 PM PDT
by
Lunatic Fringe
(http://www.drunkenbuffoonery.com/mboards/)
To: Lunatic Fringe
just in time to make the RATS fret for the weekend
heh heh
33
posted on
10/15/2004 1:51:39 PM PDT
by
finnman69
(cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestus globus, inflammare animos)
To: Lunatic Fringe
I don't buy it. If you look at other polls around the same date ranges this is the outlier. If you scroll down the page, Riley Research seems to be skewed toward bush more than any other polling firm during the same timeframes.
To: billhilly
35
posted on
10/15/2004 1:51:43 PM PDT
by
TheBigB
(OPEN YOUR EYES, Clark Kent! You belong with CHLOE!)
To: Lunatic Fringe; OregonRancher; Jeff Head
Did you see the after-action report from Oregon Rancher regarding the President's rally in Medford?
Those numbers appear to actually be low, when you consider the attendance figures for the rally...
36
posted on
10/15/2004 1:51:55 PM PDT
by
HiJinx
(Bush/Cheney '04 - Fit For Command - Piper's Pick!)
To: RockinRight
I believe Oregon will swing for W this time, also. Lots of California conservatives have been flocking there in recent years.
To: billhilly
Aren't you thinking of Washington State and Tom Foley?
To: JLS
All voting is absentee? I didn't know that. So, does that make for a better or worse turn out. Just curious.
To: traderrob6
The Riley Poll is local. A recent poll by them had Kerry ahead by 2 or 3%. They do polling primarily for statewide or local candidates. This year they have added Presidential figures to their poll. Previous Riley polls have shown GW is good shape contrary to the national polling companies.
40
posted on
10/15/2004 1:52:02 PM PDT
by
KnutCase
(When GWB wins, we all win!)
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