Posted on 10/13/2004 10:01:34 AM PDT by TitansAFC
from RealClearPolitics.Com:
Ohio: 2004 Electoral Votes: 20 | 2000 Results: Bush 50.0, Gore 46.5, Nader 2.5 (Bush +3.5) Poll | Date Sample MoE Bush Kerry Nader Spread RCP Average | 10/2-10/11 - - 46.7 48.7 1.0 Kerry +2.0 Chicago Tribune | 10/8-10/11 500 LV 4.4 45 49 - Kerry +4 ARG | 10/4-10/6 600 LV 4.0 47 48 1 Kerry +1 Survey USA | 10/2-10/4 761 LV 3.6 48 49 - Kerry +1
My question to you Freepers is: Has Kerry now taken Ohio from Bush?
This is an important question, because it could mean the election. Yes, I know Bush can win without Ohio, providing he doesn't lose any other states and wins Wisconsin. But it would sure be hard, and very much against history.
I thought the Bush camp had considered Ohio trending Republican. Did one debate really change all of that? With the death trap, set-up debate tonight that will almost certainly be a puff piece for Kerry and an uphill battle for Bush (we all know that Democrats can outbid Republicans on the political auctioning block -- it's just their nature), is Ohio going to be the reason Kerry wins on November 2nd?
You Ohio Freepers, I've heard about vote fraud efforts, etc. I just don't want to believe the doom-and-gloomers, but it sure looks like Kerry is pulling ahead in this key battleground state! Is Ohio really in danger of turning blue? The last 4-5 polls sure seem to say so.....
Somebody reassure me that it isn't so!!!!
No.
Yeah right. Bush +4 or more right now.
Trends are trends. And the only trend that matters is November 2.
Too many blue-collar union thugs in OH for Kerry to not launch a real war there.
However, if anything pulls it out for Bush, it will be the suburban vote.
Not yet, but watch out for the voter fraud on election day.
You Ohio Freepers, I've heard about vote fraud efforts
You mean that Franklin County has more registered voters than people living there. Cuyahoga county is close to 100% registered to vote. I think there might be something to that.......
Read the comments and use the links (e.g., Strategic Vision) provided at http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1243891/posts
The Chicago Trib, of all people, has the President up by 2% in their latest poll. They generally overstate Democrats by 4%, and understate Republicans at the same time by 5.5%....
I would say the president is doing much better than advertised in the Buckeye State....
LS, your outlook is needed on this thread.
Jesus, what is this, the 10th posting about Ohio and RCP today!
Has Kerry now taken Ohio from Bush?If so, then the game is over unless we can get it back. Imagine Iraq lost, Israel abandoned, the Euro-axis exultant, the War on Terror discredited, the Jihadis victorious. Let that grim image stir you both to prayer and to action. Our worst enemies, it seems, are not to the front but to our rear.
If people don't stop taking every poll result as the beginning of the end of the world they are going to drive themselves crazy by election day. Many of these polls are put out by liberal news outlets that, whether they admit it or not, just want to demoralize the Republican base. Since turnout is the most important factor in Bush's reelection we should use these poll numbers to energize ourselves to get out there and vote! Early and often...
We'll know November 3. In the mean time, it's best to assume Kerry *could* take it if we become too complacent.
Date Poll Sample MoE Bush Kerry Nader 10/09 - 10/11 Strategic Vision 801 L 3.0 51.0 43.0 1.0 10/09 - 10/11 Strategic Vision 801 L 3.0 51.0 45.0 --I'm not sure how Kerry picks up 2 percent when Nader isn't included, since he only gets 1 when he is, but there you have it.
And that's only the major stuff you hear about.
The word on the street is that the limo liberals in the suburbs who have kids going to school out of state are having the kids register to vote there by using a utility bill as proof of residence and asking for absentee ballets from Ohio.
The kicker is the states that the kids will be voting from. PA, MI, IN, IL and WI. Any of those look to anyone else like key battleground states?
We've been over this. You have a Strategic Vision showing Bush up. You have a Chicago Tribune with a TEN-POINT SWING the other way. Don't buy it. RCP takes the most recent poll, even if it's done by James Carville and Paul Begala.
I see more Bush/Cheney signs & bumper stickers in our area of Ohio than the other guys.
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