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POLL-Kerry Opens Three-Point Lead on Bush
Reuters ^ | 10-11-2004 | John Whitesides

Posted on 10/11/2004 7:48:38 AM PDT by nckerr

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic challenger John Kerry (news - web sites) expanded his slight lead over President Bush (news - web sites) to three points in a tight race for the White House, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Monday.

The Massachusetts senator held a 47-44 percent lead over Bush in the latest three-day tracking poll, up two points from Sunday. Bush's support dropped one point and Kerry's support rose one point in the new poll.

The close race turns up the pressure for Wednesday's final debate in Tempe, Arizona, when the White House rivals will have another chance to make their case to voters on domestic issues.

The poll found six percent of likely voters are still undecided about the race with barely more than three weeks to go until the Nov. 2 election, and 16 percent of the voters who identify themselves as independents are undecided.

Bush made small gains among young voters and Kerry picked up strength among women voters ahead of the debate -- the final chance for both candidates to speak directly to an audience of millions of voters.

"Wednesday's debate is vital because many sub-groups remain close and because so many independents have yet to make up their minds," pollster John Zogby said.

The poll of 1,214 likely voters was taken Friday through Sunday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points. The rolling poll will continue through Nov. 1 -- the day before the election.

The last two days of polling came after Bush and Kerry battered each other over Iraq (news - web sites), jobs and taxes during a debate on Friday. The economy and Iraq are consistently listed as the top issues in the race.

A tracking poll combines the results of three consecutive nights of polling, then drops the first night's results each time a new night is added. It allows pollsters to record shifts in voter sentiment as they happen.

The poll found 48 percent of voters thought the United States was headed in the wrong direction and 45 percent thought it was headed in the right direction.

It also showed independent candidate Ralph Nader (news - web sites), blamed by some Democrats for drawing enough votes from Al Gore (news - web sites) to cost him the election in 2000, earning the support of 1.7 percent of likely voters.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: polls; sauce; zogby; zogbysauce
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To: bahblahbah

It's a weekend poll, which tilts towards Dims.

Zogby, being an anti-american muslim would of course favor the desecendant of the prophet mohammed in the race.

(For those that don't know, Kerry is literally a genetic descendant of the "prophet" mohammed. Go see Burke's Geneology.)


21 posted on 10/11/2004 7:54:25 AM PDT by MeanWestTexan
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To: nckerr
Already post here: POLL-Kerry Opens Three-Point Lead on Bush and

Here: zogby - Kerry 47 Bush 44

Search is your Friend.

22 posted on 10/11/2004 7:54:45 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (-- I only believe polls that look bad for Democrats. --)
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To: Politicalities


Come Nov 2nd we'll see who is deluded.


23 posted on 10/11/2004 7:55:15 AM PDT by jla
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To: Henchman

You too, eh.


24 posted on 10/11/2004 7:55:54 AM PDT by jla
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To: jla

Are you really that confident? I feel Bush will win but I am getting more and more edgy.


25 posted on 10/11/2004 7:56:30 AM PDT by KJacob (All polls are equal: Some more equal than others.)
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To: jla

So which will Bush take, then? New York or Illinois? Other than in this way, I just can't see it happening.


26 posted on 10/11/2004 7:57:22 AM PDT by Petronski (I"m not always cranky.)
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To: nckerr
Zogby's on the take

Haven't taken his polling seriously since he blew it in 2002 Senatorial. Fact is his polling methods are suspect at best, hacking at worse.
27 posted on 10/11/2004 7:57:27 AM PDT by macsmind76 ("thou shalt not get away with it!")
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To: nckerr

nonsense


28 posted on 10/11/2004 7:58:15 AM PDT by The Wizard (DemonRATS: enemies of America)
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To: SmithL
More Zogby "special sauce"?

Served on sourdough Reuters buns.....yawn.

29 posted on 10/11/2004 7:59:03 AM PDT by xJones
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To: grobdriver
When two tracking polls are in close unison, I'd stick with them:


30 posted on 10/11/2004 7:59:03 AM PDT by Petronski (I"m not always cranky.)
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To: RGSpincich
Now, there's a pair to draw to.

Are saying the French-Arab contingent of the democrat party may be biased? As was the case in 2000, Zogs probably has the inside scoop on how vast the democrat voter fraud will be in the election this time and has weighted the poll accordingly.

31 posted on 10/11/2004 8:01:34 AM PDT by DaBroasta (Dear democrat voter your party leaders don't think you're stupid, they're counting on it!)
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To: SmithL

I am worried by this poll...lest we forget, Zogby had Gore up by 2 on election day 2000....Gore, did in fact, get more votes than Bush...the only other poll on that day that had Gore up (by one) was the CBS poll, while Fox had it a tie.


32 posted on 10/11/2004 8:01:59 AM PDT by Moby Grape
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To: nckerr

Not credible. Zogby plays his games--until the last minute just before the election.


33 posted on 10/11/2004 8:02:14 AM PDT by ultima ratio
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To: nckerr

Zogby is a bogus poll.

Rasmussen and RealClearPolitics have the real deal.


34 posted on 10/11/2004 8:08:33 AM PDT by xtinct
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To: Politicalities

Kerry may be fooling some people with his sudden - almost death bed like - conversion to defending America. Some people may not know he's spent most of his adult life working towards weakening the military, the intelligence community, and buttering up dictators from Ho, to the Sandinistas, to Castro, and on and on.


35 posted on 10/11/2004 8:09:48 AM PDT by elhombrelibre (Kerry's message to terrorists: Help is on the way!)
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To: grobdriver

Look at that Time poll number for Nader. 4%!!!

That's a ridiculous number.


36 posted on 10/11/2004 8:10:36 AM PDT by planekT
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To: nckerr; All

Heard this morning about a report that claimed that W. was wearing a hidden mike Friday night. Can anyone fill me in on this?


37 posted on 10/11/2004 8:11:18 AM PDT by AxelPaulsenJr (Pray Daily For Our Troops and President Bush)
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To: Henchman

"www.electoral-vote.com :
Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 270 Bush 248
Need to be updated today after the weekend."

Interesting....Rasmussen has the electorial votes (as of Sunday) at Bush: 240 - Kerry: 179. Is the above you cited a "prediction" of the final outcome on Nov 3rd?


38 posted on 10/11/2004 8:12:23 AM PDT by HomeFree
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To: DaBroasta

"Zogs probably has the inside scoop on how vast the democrat voter fraud will be in the election this time and has weighted the poll accordingly."

Whew boy, ya know I just had'nt figured on that. That's a real scary thought. Y'all think that voter fraud is going to tip the scales to Kerry? God help us......


39 posted on 10/11/2004 8:14:30 AM PDT by SaintDismas
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To: jla

I will surely rub some dims noses in 400 EVs!!


40 posted on 10/11/2004 8:14:45 AM PDT by GW and Twins Pawpaw (Sheepdog for Five [My grandkids are way more important than any lefty's feelings!])
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