Posted on 10/10/2004 11:51:49 AM PDT by StJacques
You can "pop up" the page for yourself by clicking below:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/RCP_EC.html#analysis
Allow me to post a quote from their analysis:
"There is no question that the situation for Senator Kerry has improved dramatically in the last week. From an Electoral Vote standpoint, however, he is still facing an uphill battle.
Our earlier analysis suggesting that the race basically boils down to Florida and Ohio stands. However, it looks as if the aftermath of the hurricanes may have given President Bush a decisive edge there, so in reality it is now all about Ohio. If Kerry doesn't win Ohio he will not be President.
On balance, President Bush still holds the better Electoral hand because the evidence is massing that he has successfully moved Wisconsin into his column. Because of the very real potential to win Wisconsin, Bush can now lose Ohio and still have a reasonable chance for victory."
Not too bad for our guy I think.
Here is the site that info came from:
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
I don't know where this guy gets his numbers from.
I live in Utah. I may send you folks a check, however. My plan is to fly to Reno the weekend before election day to volunteer in Nevada. Or Vegas. Depends on airfare.
Heh, you can't do that. It wouldn't be fair. Political correctness demands that you will have to offer to pay to fly one liberal nutcase along with since it wouldn't be right to disenfranchise him because he is too poor. It wouldn't be seeeeeeeennsittive not to.
"I just read at another forum it was Kerry 270 and Bush 248." (no, it wasn't DU, I don't go slumming)
Last night I watched the Beltway Boys and they showed an electoral college map that had Bush at over 300 and Kerry at 200+ I do not remember the exact figures, but Bush was projected way ahead. On Hardball's horserace site they have it as Bush 217 and Kerry at 200 so far.
Indeed. Bush will win Ohio this year by a wider margin than he did in 20000---and it really wasn't all that close then.
Not enough. From the regional numbers in OH I'm hearing, they could vote dead people all day and it isn't gonna change anything.
No, stay in Pennsylvania and win that state. We will win OH without any outside help.
We are the legacy of a GREAT president, Ronald Reagan, an ETERNAL OPTIMIST and we are working for and supporting another GREAT president, George W. Bush, also an ETERNAL OPTIMIST.......so LETS BE OPTIMISTIC !!!
I would point out that if Bush wins every state he won in 2000, but loses New Hampshire and New Mexico, a 269 tie would result. This thing is not over yet. Your $, votes and campaign help on the ground are needed to put President Bush over the top. Remember, the Dumocrats will stop at nothing to buy votes all over the country, including with hard cash.
That brings up some scary possibilities.
Like the Muslims, instead of trying something major, pull an Iraq on election day and blow up a bunch of small polling places. Or the day before, blow up small town RR stations, police stations, and schools.
What would the American electorate do then? Vote against the incumbent as in Spain, or get their backs up and tell the terrorists to go to Hades by voting in large numbers for Bush?
Do the terrorists really care? Today I saw an article showing that American Muslims are shifting their votes to Kerry in droves (you know, because Bush hasn't protected their civil rights by paying as much attention to Norwegians and Danes as they do to Muslim-Arab males in their 20's or 30's), and it's pretty clear that Kerry's policies will be more suitable to the terrorists, but I saw another article that said the terrorists want Bush in office because his policies make it easier to recruit more terrorists.
I think I'll vote for the guy who will kill the most terrorists regardless of what these human manure piles do.
A terrorist attack works in Bush's favor, no matter how you cut it.
Whose site is Real Clear Politics? Do they hang out here at FR? Nice site but ...
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