Rasmussen Battleground polls - updated 10/9 (FL, MN, MI, PA, OH)

Rasmussen ^ | 10/9/04

[ambrose]

In Rassmusen's 7 day rolling averages of 5 key battleground states he has:

Florida, Bush 51%-45% (This is unchanged from yesterday)

Michigan, Kerry 50%-47% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday)

Minnesota, Tie 46% (This is a 2 point Bush gain from yesterday)

Ohio, Bush 49%-47% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Pennsylvania, Kerry 48%-47% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday)

[ambrose]

..

[FreeAtlanta]

Shows obvious Bush win, Kerry loser for last nights debates.

[ambrose]

Actually, it doesn't. The polls were finished before the debate.

They may reflect gains from the Cheney-Edwards debate, however.

[counterpunch]

No, I don't think that is the case.
It shows that Kerry's first debate "bounce" was modest and fleeting, and it has almost fully faded.

The impact of last night's debate won't start showing up in polls until another couple days.

[aft_lizard]

Pf% of the polling was done prior to the debate last night, this is the cheney bounce. Tommorows results should be very interestng.

[Se7eN]

Florida, represent. Kerry wont win my state. Not on my watch. Either Kerry voters are closet voters ashamed of their dreadful option candidate, or the fact that I see about 20 Bush stickers on a car to 1 Kerry; or both.

[RKB-AFG]

I think all of the landslide talk was just that - only talk. The reality is that we have a very close race. We must win Ohio and Florida. That is doable, but we must fight hard for the next few weeks.

[ambrose]

I don't think we can read much from tomorrow's results either - Bush usually polls badly on weekends.

[plushaye]

Good news for us for MI, MN, PA. All look do-able. We need OH to pull ahead a little more for comfort. FL is looking like it's heading off the table! Excellent.

[Cold Heat]

I like the trend,but it is still to close for comfort and I suspect it will remain so.

IMO, the polling will be different than the election results due to the emotional hatred of the other side.

I see nothing to indicate Kerry will get what the polls seem to indicate.

I hope I am right.......LOL!

Iwill continue to pray for great news from Iraq and Aphganistan. Bush needs more press on the good stuff. The MSM is not likely to give it to him though. They are now criminals in my book, and need to be taken to the wood shed for attitude adjustment.

[NewMediaFan]

Good news.

This is going to be Bush's week.

[BillF]

The national poll that Rasmussen released today was based on 3 night's rolling average of questioning and 95 percent of those polled were called before the end of last night's debate.

I think that most of the battleground polls' data is likewise based on telephone interviews before the end of last night's debate.

[Dan from Michigan]

I'm waiting for two polls for my state.
EPIC/MRA and Mitchell/Detroit News.
They are probably the two most in depth. EPIC often works for Dems, Mitchell often works for GOP, although everyone got the Posthumus race and Engler races wrong.

Both were close on the Cox/Peters race from what I remember. (One had Peters by 2, Cox by 2, was 5500 vote win for Cox)

[cincysux]

No way Ohio votes for Kerry, there are jobs galore if one wants to work here.

[TBBT]

The question is: How much of a lead (in percent) in the polls is going to be necessary to over come voter fraud in these states?

[rushmom]

Good news, but what exactly are the Dems pulling on the ground to keep it so close in Ohio?

[quantim]

Let us all hope for a cold, snowy wet day in MI Nov. 2. A combination of a motivated conservative base, gay marriage ban amendment, lazy dems who won't go out in bad weather, it just might swing in our favor. Translation = landslide.

[Lady GOP]

[Owen]

Any chance of Indiana Freepers volunteering to drive to Ohio and volunteer with GOTV?

All those in favor, say aye.