Posted on 10/06/2004 11:59:50 AM PDT by MarlboroRed
But the thing to me, folks, is this election shouldn't even be close right now. The reason that it is close, they're reasons that have to do with things that, you know, Karl Rove and George W. Bush really don't have all that much to say about or control over. I mean demographics -- if we can be honest here for a second -- demographics are going to make it increasingly more difficult for Republicans to win in the future if things don't change as they are now. Many people who are voting have no context. I've got story after story today of voter fraud, registration fraud in Franklin County, Ohio. There are more registered voters than the Census Bureau says are eligible. We got a story out of Tampa today in the St. Petersburg Times about how a group that was formed in the 1970s, you may have heard of them, ACORN, is out trying to register voters two and three times and they've been caught in the act. You've got the Kerry campaign demanding 6,000 lawyers at these polling places but they will not allow Republican lawyers to be sitting side by side. But one of our problems here is that some of the people voting have no context today. They're just being registered and sent out there with marching orders essentially; World War II generation is dying off. We have people here because of the open border policy. We have people who have not assimilated into our culture. The liberal propaganda resonates with many of them, at least, a large number of them, maybe a growing number of them, because of the "we'll do everything for you" propaganda that liberals are known for.
I'm not trying to be defeatist. I don't want anybody to misunderstand. I just want you to know what the obstacles are here. Before everybody starts dumping on Bush and Rove and everybody else totally, there are some things that you have to understand. We still have history taught by the left in academia. The media has been teaching history for a long time and, you know, some inroads are being made there, tremendous inroads are being made. Progress is taking place but I want to be realistic about some of the obstacles that we still face. You can't have all this history taught by the left, including the media and expect to make huge, huge inroads. This is an election, maybe the first of its kind, with such dramatic demographic changes. And these demographic changes, as long as we don't do something about immigration, are going to continue.
Bush, I hate to say this -- but I mean you know this has been one of my bugaboos since 2000 -- on the domestic side Bush has spent like a liberal. He has spent and spent and spent and spent and spent. But, his problem is he dares to defend his country. So the fact that he dares to defend his country cancels out all the so-called "good," he's doing by spending like a liberal. And I think as I look back at the debate, one little comment about it, as you look back at Bush in that first debate, the last half of that debate, first half I'm telling you was a different story than the last half. There was a big momentum shift, but you look back at the second half of that debate, I think what you saw is the new tone. Maybe even a little bit prevent defense. Don't be mean. Let's not attack, let's not make people dislike us. Let's not get people angry at us and so forth. Of course just the opposite was called for, and just the opposite was what was necessary.
So, you know, I mean one of the examples of this demographic shift I can give you, just so you'll know, I'll give you an illustration. Orange County, California. Orange County always was relied on to offset the Democrat liberal dominance of Los Angeles. But now over 50% of Orange County is minority and immigrant and most of them vote Democrat, most of the new arrivals. The point is that the Republicans, I'm looking long-term here just to give you something to think about, not just this election and not primarily this election, but long-term. The Republicans just cannot expect to keep winning if every election we have to write off California. If every election we have to write off New York, Illinois, and maybe soon Florida, if those states become states that we have to write off simply because of demographic shifts, then you can't expect to win. One of those states, some of those states, are eventually going to have to be mined and cultivated if consistent national victories are to take place.
This is why MN, IA, WI, WV, etc. are trending Republican.
Very gradually, the entire area between the Sierra Nevada and the Appalachian Front Range will become highly Republican and Conservative, excepting only some isolated ghettoes like Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, and St. Louis, and the Mississippi Delta south from Memphis.
This will especially speed up as the difference between these areas and the bi-coastal liberal cities is emphasized.
One can see this furthest along in the Mountain west (Utah, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming). Other states like Indiana, Kansas, and South Dakota are not far behind.
You're talking about a natural break up of the country in the next 100 years.
"The Republicans just cannot expect to keep winning if every election we have to write off California."
Hey Rush, Arnie IS a Republican!
Yes I am.
Smart people will plan for it sensibly.
ping
My take is that Reagan was used on this one. He expected decent enforcement in return for an amnesty and got screwed.
Bush will win, he just could have made this easier and maybe giving us an edge in gaining Senate and Congressional seats.
I love you both. Sorry it's taken so long to answer, I've been "confined" for a few days....the body has turned on me!! LOL!! I was posting items to the wrong threads, thought it was time to give it up a few days.
Tonk, It could wait a few days. Problem is it should have been addressed LONG ago! I want Bush reelected and I hope you will join me in letting him know that he needs to address this very big problem.
www.whitehouse.gov
I'll be glad to send him an e-mail on Nov 3
PS Hope you feel better!
I'd probably feel better if you were here to give me a massage!! They took away my Vioxx!!! Made me feel crappy anyway....sigh...
Be good, Tonk, I appreciate all you do for our country.
Actually the problem is --- Mexicans aren't smart voters back home and they didn't learn a lot just by sneaking illegally into the USA. You do realize they are electing the PRI party back into most of the offices they lost -- if the PRI isn't winning, the PRD party is --- and that's even with PAN being quite Socialist also.
They can thank their leaders like Jesse for that when it happens --- and it will happen. They were stupid when they believed only whites could be racist --- in this region, we're seeing some ugly race riots in the schools --- and they don't involve whites at all --- the immigrants don't think the black kids from the military families stationed here belong in "their" schools.
I have a hard time pinging Tonk, cause I cain't remember how his scream name goes!!! I truly appreciate his contribution to this nation, DEEPLY!!!
The one thing that Rush gets wrong here is that the dead are voting, not the illegal aliens. There aren't that many illegals in this country that they could change the demographics in every state. Yes, the illegals are a problem, but not to the extent that we are seeing, not like we saw in Philadelphia in 2000.
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