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Bush 51 - Kerry 46
ABC Poll | October 4, 2004

Posted on 10/04/2004 2:05:34 PM PDT by TFine80

This just in on ABC radio.... More info to come.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: abcnewswp; bush; firstdebate; kewl; polls
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To: ken5050

lol


61 posted on 10/04/2004 2:34:19 PM PDT by Petronski (Watching Heinz and Kerry show affection is like watching two lobsters in a kung fu movie.)
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To: plushaye

Good analysis... They also minimize the support number, saying that only the internals matter. I think the election is close enough that this is clearly false.


62 posted on 10/04/2004 2:35:33 PM PDT by TFine80 (DK'S)
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To: TFine80

Is this the poll Rush was talking about today? Just before he signed off he said to be watching for a poll that would be out in about 2-3 hours.


63 posted on 10/04/2004 2:40:00 PM PDT by ChocChipCookie (Really! I'm just a nice little stay-at-home mom!)
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To: KJacob

Why wait?


64 posted on 10/04/2004 2:40:53 PM PDT by ChocChipCookie (Really! I'm just a nice little stay-at-home mom!)
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To: JFC
c bs is freaking. What will they have to talk about after W WINS!

Democrats bringing up impeachment proceedings against Bush. For the next 6 months the great cry throughout the land of the American people who feel betrayed (democrats), for his impeachment.

We can't have a little thing like proof they are the mouth piece for the democrats stop them now.

65 posted on 10/04/2004 2:42:34 PM PDT by Lady Heron
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To: BushisTheMan

That means out of 1,807 adults sampled, 1,470 were registered voters. Out of 17,70 registered voters, 1,169 were likely voters .

I assume the difference between the 1,807 and 2,639 is that some of the people contacted were NOT adult.


66 posted on 10/04/2004 2:44:01 PM PDT by Rich_E
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To: BushisTheMan
Can anyone explain this? 1,807 adults sampled Including 1,470 registered voters 1,169 likely voters Doesn't this make 2,639 voters sampled?

No. total adults sample ='s 1807 of which 1470 were registered and of the registered group 1169 were likely voters.

That said, this poll shows 80% of registered voters describing themselves as likely voters when history bears out that only about 60% voted last presidential election.

67 posted on 10/04/2004 2:52:24 PM PDT by Raycpa (Alias, VRWC_minion,)
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To: TFine80
Is the Kerry campaign planning this October surprise?:

Kerry makes undisclosed promises to Nader to get Nader to bow out at the last minute and ask all his supporters to vote for Kerry/Edwards, purely to beat Bush/Cheney?

68 posted on 10/04/2004 3:00:12 PM PDT by Real Cynic No More ( Kerry is the Hanoi candidate)
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To: Rich_E

U.S. Presidential Poll Results
10/10/00
CNN/USA-TODAY/GALLUP Tracking Poll*
George W. Bush 49%
Al Gore 41%
* Reported the same day as Bush 50%, Gore 42%.

MSNBC/REUTERS/ZOGBY Poll
Al Gore 43%
George W. Bush 42%

10/6/00
CNN/USA-TODAY/GALLUP Poll
Al Gore 48%
George W. Bush 41%



10/5/00
First general poll after the presidential debate viewer polls:
MSNBC/Zogby Poll
Al Gore
46%
George W. Bush
40%

10/4/00
Post first presidential debate polls showed Al Gore leading
George W. Bush by a range of percentage points from 3% to 12%.


10/3/00
Poll results just before first presidential debate:
ABC News/Washington Post
Gore 47%
Bush 47%

Battleground/Voter.com
Bush 42%
Gore 40%

CBS/New York Times
Gore 45%
Bush 39%

CNN/USA Today/Gallup
Gore 45%
Bush 45%

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics
Gore 46%
Bush 43%

MSNBC/Reuters/Zogby
Gore 45%
Bush 41%

Newsweek
Bush 45%
Gore 44%

10/3/00
A New York Times/CBS News Poll taken just before the October 3 presidential debate on which candidate is best prepared to lead showed that these percentages of the public voted:
Prepared well enough Needs more preparation
Al Gore 71% 24%
George W. Bush 49% 43%
Has skills to work with D& Rs
Al Gore 71% 59%


10/2/00
Recent polls show the presidential election hanging in the proverbial balance, with George W. Bush making a dramatic gain on Vice President Al Gore last week. Gore seems to be again sneaking on top, with most poll results within the margin of error, so probably not very accurate.

CNN-USA Today tracking poll
Al Gore 45%
George W. Bush 45%

MSNBC-Reuters Poll
Al Gore 45%
George W. Bush 41%

10/1/00
MSNBC-Zogby Poll
Al Gore 44%
George W. Bush 43%



9/26/00
CNN-USA Today tracking poll
George W. Bush 47%
Al Gore 44%

Elway Poll in Washington State
Al Gore 44%
George W. Bush 37%
Ralph Nader 4%
Pat Buchanan -




9/17/00
Newsweek Poll done nationally (Sept. 14-15)
Al Gore
54%
George W. Bush
41%




9/8/00
New polls show Gore and Bush tied or Gore leading:

ABC News-Washington Post Poll

George W. Bush 47%
Al Gore 47%

CNN-USA Today Poll

Al Gore 47%
George W. Bush 44%



9/7/00
Mason-Dixon Poll sponsored by the Kansas City Star (Aug. 31-Sept. 1)
Al Gore 45%
George W. Bush 41%
Ralph Nader 2%
Pat Buchanan 1%

In a Mason-Dixon poll conducted July 1-10 (before the conventions)
Bush led Gore:
George W. Bush 48%
Al Gore 37%




Gore Pulls 10 Points Ahead in Newsweek Poll
September 2, 2000
In a new national presidential poll conducted by Newsweek Magazine,
Vice President Al Gore seems to have pulled substantially ahead of
George W. Bush, just as Bush launches a blitz television ad campaign
making attacks on Gore's credibility.

Newsweek Poll results, nation-wide (Aug. 30-31):
Al Gore 49%
George W. Bush 39%
Ralph Nader 3%
Pat Buchanan 1%

Other recent state polls show similar results:
Iowa Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register (Aug. 23-30):
Al Gore: 45%
George W. Bush 37%

Vermont Poll by Mason-Dixon:
Al Gore 49%
George W. Bush 36%




8/31/00
Polls show Vice President Al Gore reversing trends in three states,
and creeping closer to George W. Bush in one.

Maryland:
The Gonzales-Arscott poll (Aug. 23-27) shows Gore 51%- Bush 36%.

Florida:
Rasmussen Research Poll (Aug. 26-27) shows Gore 48%-Bush 40%

Illinois:
Mason-Dixon Poll (Aug. 24-27) shows Gore 46%-Bush 41%.

New Hampshire:
Poll shows Bush 48%-Gore 44%.



Gore Takes Large Lead in California's Field Poll

August 24, 2000
Al Gore has leapt ahead of George W. Bush among California voters in a post
Democratic Convention poll conducted in English and Spanish.

The new poll shows Gore-Lieberman leading Bush-Cheney by 50%-37%, with Ralph
Nader dropping from 7% to 4% and Pat Buchanan remaining at 2%.

Independent voters in California say that 35% will vote Democratic, 29% will
vote Republican, 18% will vote for Nader, and 4% for other candidates.





CNN-USA Today-Galllup Poll Shows Gore Ahead in Dead Heat
8/21/00
A new CNN-USA Today-Gallup Poll shows:

Al Gore 47%
George Bush 46%
Ralph Nader 3%
Pat Buchanan 2%

Basically this shows Al Gore's post-Democratic Convention
bounce to be solid, with him having recovered from an 11-17
point deficit to a statistical dead heat, which means that
the 4% margin of error could make the poll accurate or
inaccurate within 4% of the results.

Saturday's Newsweek poll showed:

Al Gore: 48%
George Bush 42%




August 18, 2000
Gore Leads in New NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll

Vice President Al Gore got his hoped-for bounce out of his nomination acceptance speech Thursday night at the Democratic Convention.

Today's NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll shows Al Gore leading George W. Bush by three points, which is about the same as the margin of error in most polls.

Overnight national poll results are:
Al Gore: 46%, George W. Bush: 43%.
The numbers also show that Gore achieved making himself a real
contender in the race, in which Bush had been favored by up to
16% in some polls prior to the Democratic Convention.





8/10/00
Public Policy Institute Poll
of California voters during Republican Convention
and before Gore's selection of Sen. Joseph Lieberman as vice presidential running mate.
Al Gore 40%
George W. Bush 37%
Ralph Nader 8%
Pat Buchanan 1%


69 posted on 10/04/2004 3:00:45 PM PDT by Rome2000 (The ENEMY for Kerry!!!!!)
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To: All

Amazing how one poll changes perspective around here!! LOL

I need to go get my glasses before reading internals, but caution everyone to read every detail of the poll even if it sounds good for Bush. The media has just spent the last weekend targeting us with poll after poll to affect public opinion. Let's not let that happen again, okay?


70 posted on 10/04/2004 3:01:45 PM PDT by Soul Seeker
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To: TFine80

Bush is creeping up on 50% which is all he needs.


71 posted on 10/04/2004 3:05:24 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.)
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To: Mike Darancette

10/5/00
First general poll after the presidential debate viewer polls:
MSNBC/Zogby Poll
Al Gore
46%
George W. Bush
40%

10/4/00
Post first presidential debate polls showed Al Gore leading
George W. Bush by a range of percentage points from 3% to 12%.


10/3/00
Poll results just before first presidential debate:
ABC News/Washington Post
Gore 47%
Bush 47%


72 posted on 10/04/2004 3:06:43 PM PDT by Rome2000 (The ENEMY for Kerry!!!!!)
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To: MichelleWSC

They're a full time job, I tell ya. We have 2, and my wife and I are still not sure we could have children AND Jack Russells.


73 posted on 10/04/2004 3:06:45 PM PDT by Cosmo (I'm the pajamahadeen, and I vote!)
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To: evets

I laugh out loud every time I see this picture.
It is the gift that keeps giving.
Thank you John F-ing Kerry!


74 posted on 10/04/2004 3:08:30 PM PDT by Muzzle_em
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To: Soul Seeker
Amazing how one poll changes perspective around here!! LOL

It's not just one poll. Already today the Pew post-debate poll came out with W maintaining his 5 point lead. And the Rasmussen rolling poll of 3000 voters is now an all post-debate sample and still has W ahead by 49 - 46. Bottom line, the alleged Kerry bounce was an MSM hoax.

75 posted on 10/04/2004 3:14:34 PM PDT by LikeLight (__________________________)
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To: Cosmo

There's no way I could deal with 2 LOL You and your wife must have the patience of Job lol


76 posted on 10/04/2004 3:17:25 PM PDT by MichelleWSC
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To: LikeLight

Just pulled the PEW poll up.

This weekend NEWSWEEK and Gallop/USA/CNN came out and we had to spend all weekend fighting hysteria. I have to read the internals myself, but judging on the comments I've already seen by the people who kept their heads this weekend, I'm inclined to believe the internals are going to support the theory the MSM jerked a lot of Freeper's chains this weekend.

If these polls hold up to scrutiny, my position that it was more or less a tie, Kerry-Style Bush-Substance, slight edge to Bush over long term because he has Kerry's words to hang him with, is going to prove fairly accurate.


77 posted on 10/04/2004 3:25:52 PM PDT by Soul Seeker
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