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Rasmussen: 6% Say Debate Changed Their Mind About November Vote
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10-02-2004 | Rasmussen

Posted on 10/02/2004 12:03:54 PM PDT by Nataku X

October 2, 2004--A Rasmussen Reports survey of 1,000 Likely Voters conducted Friday night found that 52% believe John Kerry "won" Thursday night's debate. Forty percent (40%) disagree and think George Bush emerged victorious.

Predictably, by overwhelming margins, Republicans and Democrats each thought their candidate won. Those not affiliated with either party gave the nod to Senator Kerry by a 63% to 24% margin.

Still, regardless of who they want to win, 53% of those surveyed believe George W. Bush will be re-elected. Thirty-two percent (32%) think Kerry will win. Coming out of the Republican National Convention, 52% expected a Bush victory while 38% thought the Kerry/Edwards team would win.

Ninety-one percent (91%) of Bush voters still expect their man to win. Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Kerry voters think the Democrats will win.

Six percent (6%) of voters say the debate changed their mind about how they will vote this November. This includes 3% who now say they will vote for Kerry, 2% for Bush, and 1% who are now undecided.

One interesting twist is that 64% of Kerry voters now say that Presidential Debates are very important. However, only 23% of Bush voters share that view.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; debate; firstdebate; junkpolls; polls; rasmussen
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To: Nakatu X
Has anyone seen the new Newsweek poll? I saw E. Clift say a new NewsWeek poll will show Kerry in the lead??? -

That will be shocking....depending on the weightings -

21 posted on 10/02/2004 12:31:23 PM PDT by Khaosai
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To: spacejunkie

Excellent observation.


22 posted on 10/02/2004 12:31:39 PM PDT by Nataku X (Live near a liberal college? Want to demoralize Dems? FRmail me to join in Operation Reverse Moby!)
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To: Khaosai

Another newbie. The clarification was he has a lead in some particular preference category, not overall, or so that's the content of another thread.


23 posted on 10/02/2004 12:32:13 PM PDT by Owen
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To: Khaosai

Are you serious? Newsweek will say Kerry is in the lead? Are you sure you heard correctly?


24 posted on 10/02/2004 12:32:58 PM PDT by tirednvirginia
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To: Nakatu X
Sadly, that debate gave a campaign that was on the verge of death new life. GWB single handedly stoked the few remaining embers of the the Kerry Campaign and started the fires burning again.

For all the talk about how much of a Peoples President" he is, he certainly didn't want or feel comfortable talking about his record and his vision. It appeared he felt it wasn't worth his time. Sure, he was up against an unworthy opponent. But many people want to know more about why somethings have not gone well and what the plan, other than stay the course, is to improve it. President Bush didn't want to share that. Not with us and certainly not with Kerry present.

25 posted on 10/02/2004 12:33:05 PM PDT by joesbucks
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To: Nakatu X
It is precisely in this regard that our activities and those actions of other members of the "blogosphere" become crucial. Since Kerry was more nuanced and had more contradictory positions and simple errors, it is the role of the blogosphere to bring those weaknesses to bear so that the public has to focus upon them.

The Democrat lying slime such as McAwful will try to accuse Bush of these Kerry failings in their usual "projecting" mode. Only the greater truthnet of the blogosphere can defeat this projection and paint the accurate picture of the Kerry who will say anything regardless of inconsistency, erroneous premises contained, or lack of clarity in order to seem to be what he is not. He would be elected for what he can pretend to be, not what he is. Bush is to a great extent, the opposite. It is testing time for the new media.

26 posted on 10/02/2004 12:33:48 PM PDT by AmericanVictory (Should we be more like them, or they like us?)
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To: Paleo Conservative
Among the "dangers" for Reagan astutely noted by the Times was "the very fact that he appears so far ahead of Mr. Mondale."

Reading that article reminded me of that Bible verse. Nothing new under the sun... let's hope 2004 is indeed a repeat of 1984. That would be too sweet.
27 posted on 10/02/2004 12:34:10 PM PDT by Nataku X (Live near a liberal college? Want to demoralize Dems? FRmail me to join in Operation Reverse Moby!)
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To: Nakatu X
I think Kerry will get a short-term boost but that will disappear soon, his own words will become a liability.

Speaking of Kerry's own words, here is a link to

The ulitimate John Kerry ad.
It is hillarious.
28 posted on 10/02/2004 12:35:49 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative (Hey! Hey! Ho! Ho! Dan Rather's got to go!)
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To: Owen
Great, hope it is a lead in a particular demographic -

And being new here has nothing to do with me asking if anyone had heard anymore about the poll. Grow up.

I heard E. Clift spout something about Kerry leading in a new NewsWeek poll. (Then I checked on here and have seen two other posters say a new newsweek poll would show Kerry in the lead).

That is why I was asking for clarification.

29 posted on 10/02/2004 12:35:55 PM PDT by Khaosai
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To: Owen
some group is offering a reward to anyone who fingers a fraudulent voter

What an EXCELLENT idea!

30 posted on 10/02/2004 12:36:12 PM PDT by Tamzee (Ted Koppel --- "....the media will need a stepstool to rise to the level of used car salesmen.")
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To: Ptarmigan

My daughter lives in Austin, and is early thirtyish. She gets a huge amount of anti-Bushing from everywhere. She told me recently she was not going to vote this time. She was registered at her old address and never re-registered at the new one, and didn't care enough this year to mess with it. Of course I was not speaking to her since.

But she called to tell me she watched the debate, and she could tell Bush was tired and kind of off his game, but what she saw of Kerry really gave her the creeps.

Enough to cause her to go a register her new address so she could vote for Bush.

She said Kerry was feeding us a load of crap, and Bush at least is giving us the truth!

Good girl.


31 posted on 10/02/2004 12:37:43 PM PDT by My back yard (C'mon Dan, you ruse you lose!!!)
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To: joesbucks
NO it did not. I live in a city of wingnuts, talked about the debate with some of my co-workers, and they hated Kerry more than ever. Kerry tried to sound more hawkish than Bush, and it did NOT play off well with the liberals. And they still didn't understand what he's going to do.

This debate was demoralizing if anything. If Kerry picked up support, it's among the soccer moms who were concerned that Kerry wouldn't be soft on terrorism, but he turned off the wingnuts.

Look here, also.
32 posted on 10/02/2004 12:37:52 PM PDT by Nataku X (Live near a liberal college? Want to demoralize Dems? FRmail me to join in Operation Reverse Moby!)
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To: commish

Yes, and the second part of the plan is that the last debate is domestic issues. Kerry is mistakenly viewed as stronger here by lamestream media talking heads. In reality, his far left views become far more pronounced when domestic policy is concerned. Rove understands this.

In the end, it was more important for Bush to visit with FL hurrican victims than rest for foreign policy debate - Kerry's numbers so bad there nothing can help, and the words he so clearly delivered there will hang his campaign.


33 posted on 10/02/2004 12:38:34 PM PDT by motexva
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To: joesbucks

I TOTALLY hear your frustration, BUT, put yourself in GWB's shoes for just a moment; if you had every single question STACKED against you by a KNOWN liberal who wasn't himself calling Kerry on anything and then your opponent just crams as much crap in each of his 2 minutes, you would have possibly been equally as aggitated and frustrated.

Did anyone catch that Lehrer was cutting GWB off on one question before GWB's green light even came on?? (I 'think' that's what I saw)...confirmation?


34 posted on 10/02/2004 12:38:34 PM PDT by spacejunkie
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To: joesbucks
Sadly, that debate gave a campaign that was on the verge of death new life. GWB single handedly stoked the few remaining embers of the the Kerry Campaign and started the fires burning again.

You are sadly to say, correct. G.W. for the first time put out a sub-par performance when the stakes were high. He should rebound at the next debate.

G.W's stump speeches the last two days have been great!! If only he would have said half the things at the debate itself.

Allowing Kerry off the hook for his 20 year Senate voting record was a huge mistake. (Being wrong on the cold war, wrong on the first gulf war, wrong on cutting the CIA, wrong on cutting Military budgets, etc).

Yet not once did G.W. lay into him on this and that is why the Kerry camp is so happy and why the MSM say Kerry won.

35 posted on 10/02/2004 12:38:59 PM PDT by Khaosai
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To: My back yard

Make sure and bother her on the day before Election Day to go to the polls!


36 posted on 10/02/2004 12:40:28 PM PDT by Nataku X (Live near a liberal college? Want to demoralize Dems? FRmail me to join in Operation Reverse Moby!)
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To: Nakatu X

Rasmussen had Bush and Kerry within 2% of each other one day early last week if I remember correctly, so at a 3% gap, Bush is gainng ground.........


37 posted on 10/02/2004 12:41:45 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
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To: My back yard

I used to go to school at UT-Austin. It is full of lefties there.


38 posted on 10/02/2004 12:43:31 PM PDT by Ptarmigan (Proud rabbit hater and killer)
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To: commish

as to looking better, which I grant IS important, who would we expect to "look better," the guy who hasn't shown up to work in 2 years and spent his afternoon getting a manicure or the guy who works 7 days a week and spent his day comforting hurricane victims?


39 posted on 10/02/2004 12:43:58 PM PDT by EDINVA (a FReeper in PJ's beats a CBS anchor in a suit every time)
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To: Paleo Conservative

Excellent! where's that going to play?


40 posted on 10/02/2004 12:45:45 PM PDT by spacejunkie
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