Wow, the Rass-man(glacier) poll actually moved.
The bergs a calving into the sea.......
The key thing is that Kerry has not been ahead even one single day in this tracking poll since something like August 23 (?), which is even worse for Kerry when you realize that even the inevitable "blips" of bad data that occur in a daily tracking poll has not resulted in him having a lead.
And as others have noted, he weights according to a fixed 39%-35% turnout model in favor of the Democrats (based on 2000 exit data). I suppose that this might be about right when you factor in the fraud we are already hearing about and no doubt will see.
So ANY lead in this poll for Bush is a good one IMO.
The Pres's approval rating at 54%. That's the highest Rasmussen has had him at in a long time.
W. definitely has the big Mo. Even just a steady debate performance should keep him in the driver's seat.
And trust me, there's no complacency on my part. I don't want W. just to win. . . I want a mandate that will leave the liberals scratching their heads for a decade.
Wednesday September 29, 2004--If the Congressional elections were held today, forty-three percent (43%) of Likely Voters say they would vote for a Democrat while 41% say they would vote for a Republican.
For most of 2004, the Democrats' advantage on this question has been in the 4 to 7 point range. During September, however, the Democrats' lead has been smaller. With the exception of a few days, the Democrats have been ahead by 1-4 points in September.
Due to rounding, Rasmussen gives the spread as 2%. It's actually 1.2%: Dem 42.5%, GOP 41.3%.
Who cares what this guy has to say? Freepers probably embarrassed him into doing some polls with his scare shiiteless thumb off the scale. He's just pulling a zombie here, getting back to reality before Election day.