NBC POLL - SMALL LEAD FOR BUSH (Wall Street Journal/NBC Poll, Bush 50, Kerry 46 LV)

National Review Online ^ | 9/22/04 | National Review

[njsketch]

NBC POLL - SMALL LEAD FOR BUSH

I hear through the grapevine that the NBC-WSJ poll coming out tonight has Bush up 50 to 46 among likely voters, up 48 to 45 among registered voters.

[demlosers]

Shoot'n down those ARG polls. :)

[Airborne Longhorn]

Christmas in September!!

[So Cal Rocket]

I think that's a National Poll, not NJ.

[Carling]

Is this a poll for New Jersey, or is it a nationwide poll? Because as I read it, it doesn't mention New Jersey.

[Reaganez]

We Zogby does polling for WSJ. Who conducted this poll?

[AlexPKeaton04]

If Bush can grab either NJ or PA he won't need FL anymore as either of those 2 states will balance out FL. At worst Bush will get 275EV and at best 325EV I don't see him winning much more than that, and after going over the electoral map over and over again based upon the polls and can't see how Bush could get any less than 275EV. I give Skerry a max of 257EV at best. There are a few websites where you can use interactive maps where you pick which state is going to who.

[jwalsh07]

I heard it reported on the radio, its a New Jersey poll. John F has big problems.

[Janan Ganesh]

This is a national poll. Does anyone know what the last NBC/WSJ poll was like?

[Janan Ganesh]

Sorry, I should have said that I "think" it is a national poll, as that there is no mention of NJ in the NRO link.

[Future Useless Eater]

if the poll has Zogby in it, it will be JUNK

[TheBigB]

I'm pretty sure it's national, if it's the same one posted here:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/1224009/posts

[Bonaventure]

It's a national poll. I think the last NBC/WSJ poll had Bush leading by two.

[TJC]

331 - 100% of 2000 + MN,NM,IA,PA and WI
353 add OR and NJ
After that it's a stretch.

[AmericanInTokyo]

Nevertheless, with a modern American news cycle at the speed of light, with an EXTREMELY short attention span on the part of most of the American people, coupled with impatience and an insatiable desire for always having fresh news and controversy, combined with the realities of politics, it is true that SIX WEEKS IS AN ETERNITY IN THIS GAME. And anything can happen, with leads reversed and vice-versa.

Bush could still lose it believe it or not, but by a slim margin. Remember Kerry six weeks ago? The mental trick is to enjoy these polls, but then in one's mind subtract 10 to 15 points from them for Bush, and then get scared again, and then run like there is no way to win it except pull out all the stops.

With that mindset, KERRY IS STILL AHEAD!!!

Hey, a lot of conservatives are just watching this go by, having the time of their life, and sitting on their laurels. They may be awfully sorry when November 3 rolls around they wonder if the polls and national media might not have contributed to their overconfidence and thus encouraging them to not work as hard.

[rushmom]

Agreed

[jwalsh07]

I think you're wrong here AIT. I think you will see ahuge turnout from both the right and the left in this election and I think the right will turnout in higher numbers than the left. Men will close the gap with women. Conservative Christians will flood the polling booths. Soccer Moms will vote security. Those are my predictions for Nove 2.

[hole_n_one]

Chris Mathspews just said the WSJ/NBC poll is.....

Bush 48
Lurch 45
Nader 2