Posted on 09/21/2004 5:26:56 PM PDT by dvwjr
Here are the 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last five ABC News/Washington Post polls. I am publishing this information in one place since it took both the ABC News polls in PDF files and the Washington Post data-base server to conglomerate the data.
(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...
Source: ABC News poll, September 6-8, 2004
Source: ABC News poll, August 26-29, 2004
Source: ABC News poll, July 30 - August 1, 2004
Source: ABC News poll, July 22-25, 2004
Source: ABC News poll, June 17-20, 2004
Source: Washington Post - Politics - Polls
I have created a temporary 'ping' list to many who had expressed interest in these 'Rep/Dem/Ind' poll breakdowns. If you wish to be added (or removed) from this 'ping' list, please place a reply on this thread and I will attempt to clean-up this list so as to not bother those who do not wish to read this type of poll analysis.
Hope this helps...
dvwjr
For your poll viewing pleasure...
dvwjr
"For your poll viewing pleasure..."
Thanks, man! I actually enjoyed it.
I wonder how Kerry will do when they get around to polling in Florida again.
You are a gentleman and a scholar.
U.S. Presidential Poll Results
10/10/00
CNN/USA-TODAY/GALLUP Tracking Poll*
George W. Bush 49%
Al Gore 41%
* Reported the same day as Bush 50%, Gore 42%.
MSNBC/REUTERS/ZOGBY Poll
Al Gore 43%
George W. Bush 42%
10/6/00
CNN/USA-TODAY/GALLUP Poll
Al Gore 48%
George W. Bush 41%
10/5/00
First general poll after the presidential debate viewer polls:
MSNBC/Zogby Poll
Al Gore
46%
George W. Bush
40%
10/4/00
Post first presidential debate polls showed Al Gore leading
George W. Bush by a range of percentage points from 3% to 12%.
10/3/00
Poll results just before first presidential debate:
ABC News/Washington Post
Gore 47%
Bush 47%
Battleground/Voter.com
Bush 42%
Gore 40%
CBS/New York Times
Gore 45%
Bush 39%
CNN/USA Today/Gallup
Gore 45%
Bush 45%
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics
Gore 46%
Bush 43%
MSNBC/Reuters/Zogby
Gore 45%
Bush 41%
Newsweek
Bush 45%
Gore 44%
10/3/00
A New York Times/CBS News Poll taken just before the October 3 presidential debate on which candidate is best prepared to lead showed that these percentages of the public voted:
Prepared well enough Needs more preparation
Al Gore 71% 24%
George W. Bush 49% 43%
Has skills to work with D& Rs
Al Gore 71% 59%
10/2/00
Recent polls show the presidential election hanging in the proverbial balance, with George W. Bush making a dramatic gain on Vice President Al Gore last week. Gore seems to be again sneaking on top, with most poll results within the margin of error, so probably not very accurate.
CNN-USA Today tracking poll
Al Gore 45%
George W. Bush 45%
MSNBC-Reuters Poll
Al Gore 45%
George W. Bush 41%
10/1/00
MSNBC-Zogby Poll
Al Gore 44%
George W. Bush 43%
9/26/00
CNN-USA Today tracking poll
George W. Bush 47%
Al Gore 44%
Elway Poll in Washington State
Al Gore 44%
George W. Bush 37%
Ralph Nader 4%
Pat Buchanan -
9/17/00
Newsweek Poll done nationally (Sept. 14-15)
Al Gore
54%
George W. Bush
41%
9/8/00
New polls show Gore and Bush tied or Gore leading:
ABC News-Washington Post Poll
George W. Bush 47%
Al Gore 47%
CNN-USA Today Poll
Al Gore 47%
George W. Bush 44%
9/7/00
Mason-Dixon Poll sponsored by the Kansas City Star (Aug. 31-Sept. 1)
Al Gore 45%
George W. Bush 41%
Ralph Nader 2%
Pat Buchanan 1%
In a Mason-Dixon poll conducted July 1-10 (before the conventions)
Bush led Gore:
George W. Bush 48%
Al Gore 37%
Gore Pulls 10 Points Ahead in Newsweek Poll
September 2, 2000
In a new national presidential poll conducted by Newsweek Magazine,
Vice President Al Gore seems to have pulled substantially ahead of
George W. Bush, just as Bush launches a blitz television ad campaign
making attacks on Gore's credibility.
Newsweek Poll results, nation-wide (Aug. 30-31):
Al Gore 49%
George W. Bush 39%
Ralph Nader 3%
Pat Buchanan 1%
Other recent state polls show similar results:
Iowa Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register (Aug. 23-30):
Al Gore: 45%
George W. Bush 37%
Vermont Poll by Mason-Dixon:
Al Gore 49%
George W. Bush 36%
8/31/00
Polls show Vice President Al Gore reversing trends in three states,
and creeping closer to George W. Bush in one.
Maryland:
The Gonzales-Arscott poll (Aug. 23-27) shows Gore 51%- Bush 36%.
Florida:
Rasmussen Research Poll (Aug. 26-27) shows Gore 48%-Bush 40%
Illinois:
Mason-Dixon Poll (Aug. 24-27) shows Gore 46%-Bush 41%.
New Hampshire:
Poll shows Bush 48%-Gore 44%.
Gore Takes Large Lead in California's Field Poll
August 24, 2000
Al Gore has leapt ahead of George W. Bush among California voters in a post
Democratic Convention poll conducted in English and Spanish.
The new poll shows Gore-Lieberman leading Bush-Cheney by 50%-37%, with Ralph
Nader dropping from 7% to 4% and Pat Buchanan remaining at 2%.
Independent voters in California say that 35% will vote Democratic, 29% will
vote Republican, 18% will vote for Nader, and 4% for other candidates.
CNN-USA Today-Galllup Poll Shows Gore Ahead in Dead Heat
8/21/00
A new CNN-USA Today-Gallup Poll shows:
Al Gore 47%
George Bush 46%
Ralph Nader 3%
Pat Buchanan 2%
Basically this shows Al Gore's post-Democratic Convention
bounce to be solid, with him having recovered from an 11-17
point deficit to a statistical dead heat, which means that
the 4% margin of error could make the poll accurate or
inaccurate within 4% of the results.
Saturday's Newsweek poll showed:
Al Gore: 48%
George Bush 42%
August 18, 2000
Gore Leads in New NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll
Vice President Al Gore got his hoped-for bounce out of his nomination acceptance speech Thursday night at the Democratic Convention.
Today's NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll shows Al Gore leading George W. Bush by three points, which is about the same as the margin of error in most polls.
Overnight national poll results are:
Al Gore: 46%, George W. Bush: 43%.
The numbers also show that Gore achieved making himself a real
contender in the race, in which Bush had been favored by up to
16% in some polls prior to the Democratic Convention.
8/10/00
Public Policy Institute Poll
of California voters during Republican Convention
and before Gore's selection of Sen. Joseph Lieberman as vice presidential running mate.
Al Gore 40%
George W. Bush 37%
Ralph Nader 8%
Pat Buchanan 1%
Bush bounce to the top!
un ping please
Thanks! They must be about due to put out a new one?
Awesome, dude!
Republicans are increasingly likely to respond to polls as they feel increasingly confident about a Bush victory.
I have no other explanation as to why Republicans account for an increasing percentage of a series of "random samples."
Non-response is a pollster's biggest problem, typically 50-90% these days. So if Republicans, who have been fed up with the media and pollsters and refused to answer their phones, now start answering to voice their support for Bush, then we might get the sort of results reported by ABC.
On the other hand, it might be all random error.
George W. Bush will be reelected by a margin of at least ten per cent
Thanks, looking good... great job.
bump for great work - reference
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