Posted on 09/15/2004 7:38:29 PM PDT by lainie
Hurricane Ivan Advisory Number 55
Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on September 15, 2004
...Extremely dangerous Hurricane Ivan coming closer to the northern Gulf Coast...strong winds already moving onshore...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana to Apalachicola Florida...including the greater New Orleans area and Lake Pontchartrain. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion throughout the entire warning area.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect from Morgan City Louisiana to west of Grand Isle.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Morgan City to west of Grand Isle...and from east of Apalachicola to Yankeetown Florida.
At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the large eye of Hurricane Ivan was centered near latitude 29.3 north... longitude 88.1 west or about 65 miles south of the Alabama coastline.
Ivan is moving slightly east of north near 12 mph...and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of the hurricane will reach the coast early on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible prior to landfall...but Ivan is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane...category three or higher. Occupants of high-rise buildings within the Hurricane Warning area can expect higher winds than those experienced at the surface...about one Saffir-Simpson category higher at the top of a 30-story building. After landfall... hurricane force winds could spread inland up to about 150 miles near the path of the center.
People are strongly advised not to venture out from shelter during the calm conditions of the eye...as winds will increase rapidly with little or no warning when the eye passes.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles. The Dauphin Island C-man station reported sustained winds of 54 mph with a gust to 83 mph...and Pensacola Naval Air Station reported sustained winds of 51 mph with a gust to 68 mph.
The latest minimum central pressure measured by a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft was 933 mb...27.55 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 10 to 16 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Lesser...but still significant surge values will be experienced where onshore flow occurs west of the center.
Dangerous surf conditions...including rip currents...are likely elsewhere along the Florida Gulf Coast.
Rainfall accumulations of 10 to 15 inches...with isolated higher amounts...can be expected in association with Ivan.
Tornadoes are possible over the next 24 hours in southern Alabama... the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend area...and southwestern Georgia.
Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...29.3 N... 88.1 W. Movement toward...north near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 933 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at midnight CDT and 2 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 am CDT.
Forecaster Pasch
$$
Links
nwctwx's excellent list
Weather Underground/Tropical
The Weather Channel Map Room
Intellicast Tropical Page
BoatU.S. Hurricane Tracking
this thread continuing from http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1216382/posts
Gosh! Absolutely!
Someone's reading Bulletin 55 over mine so I hear nothing else.
I sure will, and know they would for me if my feet were in their shoes.
That "stick," Plaquemines Parish has been paying dearly for this too. They've been in the red near the eye for many hours now in the worst wind. The last graph I saw had it at 90 plus. They been there all along while Ivan tried to make up his mind where to go.
Is that dude ok? was this radio or Tv?
Jim Cantori just went by 25 feet overhead...and that female meteorologist looks like the "Flying Nun"
Dear Heavenly Father, be with all the souls in the path of this killer storm. Lessen its force, dear God, please. In Jesus' precious name we pray.
it was a HAM operator..listening over Hurricane.net --- they couldn;t raise him, now reading latest advisory
Amen
Memorial Hospital in Biloxi just lost part of their roof and an awning.
1,657 posted on 09/15/2004 9:54:15 PM CDT by mrsmel
(from old thread)
Thanks for the maps, BTW.
That would have been a scary place to be today.
I personally can't believe they are using it as a shelter. it is on the bay and less than 100 feet from the water front.
Heavenly Father, please watch over the safety of the frightened souls now facing this torrent in the Pensacola shelter, and please watch over all others in the path of this storm. Amen.
does anyone know if theres a way to hear ham radio traffic
over the net ?
Dear Lord. Please protect them.
Why would they use that for a shelter?
Looking at Mobile Radar ... the Dry pocket looks to be stationary -- as Ivan is pulling through the eye is wrapping back around and deep convection looks to be filling in the right 2/3 of the eye.
Joining you all in prayer.
Hurricane Net? Frequency? What band is that on?
thanks
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