Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Hurricane Ivan -- Thursday 9/16 thread [Landfall!]
NWS/NHC, various | 9/16/2004

Posted on 09/15/2004 7:38:29 PM PDT by lainie

Hurricane Ivan Advisory Number 55

Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on September 15, 2004

...Extremely dangerous Hurricane Ivan coming closer to the northern Gulf Coast...strong winds already moving onshore...

A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana to Apalachicola Florida...including the greater New Orleans area and Lake Pontchartrain. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion throughout the entire warning area.

A Hurricane Watch remains in effect from Morgan City Louisiana to west of Grand Isle.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Morgan City to west of Grand Isle...and from east of Apalachicola to Yankeetown Florida.

At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the large eye of Hurricane Ivan was centered near latitude 29.3 north... longitude 88.1 west or about 65 miles south of the Alabama coastline.

Ivan is moving slightly east of north near 12 mph...and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of the hurricane will reach the coast early on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible prior to landfall...but Ivan is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane...category three or higher. Occupants of high-rise buildings within the Hurricane Warning area can expect higher winds than those experienced at the surface...about one Saffir-Simpson category higher at the top of a 30-story building. After landfall... hurricane force winds could spread inland up to about 150 miles near the path of the center.

People are strongly advised not to venture out from shelter during the calm conditions of the eye...as winds will increase rapidly with little or no warning when the eye passes.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles. The Dauphin Island C-man station reported sustained winds of 54 mph with a gust to 83 mph...and Pensacola Naval Air Station reported sustained winds of 51 mph with a gust to 68 mph.

The latest minimum central pressure measured by a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft was 933 mb...27.55 inches.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 10 to 16 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Lesser...but still significant surge values will be experienced where onshore flow occurs west of the center.

Dangerous surf conditions...including rip currents...are likely elsewhere along the Florida Gulf Coast.

Rainfall accumulations of 10 to 15 inches...with isolated higher amounts...can be expected in association with Ivan.

Tornadoes are possible over the next 24 hours in southern Alabama... the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend area...and southwestern Georgia.

Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...29.3 N... 88.1 W. Movement toward...north near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 933 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at midnight CDT and 2 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 am CDT.

Forecaster Pasch

$$




Links
nwctwx's excellent list
Weather Underground/Tropical
The Weather Channel Map Room
Intellicast Tropical Page
BoatU.S. Hurricane Tracking

this thread continuing from http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1216382/posts


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Tennessee; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneivan; ivan
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 981 next last
To: Sally'sConcerns

Gosh! Absolutely!


21 posted on 09/15/2004 7:52:27 PM PDT by lainie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: commish

Someone's reading Bulletin 55 over mine so I hear nothing else.


22 posted on 09/15/2004 7:52:59 PM PDT by lainie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: Sally'sConcerns

I sure will, and know they would for me if my feet were in their shoes.


23 posted on 09/15/2004 7:53:44 PM PDT by No Blue States
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: GOP_1900AD
The SE tip of LA was sort of like a sharp stick into him.

That "stick," Plaquemines Parish has been paying dearly for this too. They've been in the red near the eye for many hours now in the worst wind. The last graph I saw had it at 90 plus. They been there all along while Ivan tried to make up his mind where to go.

24 posted on 09/15/2004 7:54:33 PM PDT by Types_with_Fist (God Bless Ronald Reagan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: commish

Is that dude ok? was this radio or Tv?


25 posted on 09/15/2004 7:54:57 PM PDT by No Blue States
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: commish

Jim Cantori just went by 25 feet overhead...and that female meteorologist looks like the "Flying Nun"


26 posted on 09/15/2004 7:55:49 PM PDT by ken5050 (Bill Clinton has just signed to be the national spokesman for Hummer..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Sally'sConcerns

Dear Heavenly Father, be with all the souls in the path of this killer storm. Lessen its force, dear God, please. In Jesus' precious name we pray.


27 posted on 09/15/2004 7:55:59 PM PDT by patriciaruth (Proud member of this bastion of right wing lunacy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: No Blue States

it was a HAM operator..listening over Hurricane.net --- they couldn;t raise him, now reading latest advisory


28 posted on 09/15/2004 7:56:14 PM PDT by commish (Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: patriciaruth

Amen


29 posted on 09/15/2004 7:56:52 PM PDT by pops88 (Geek Chick Parachutist Over Phorty)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: All

Memorial Hospital in Biloxi just lost part of their roof and an awning.



1,657 posted on 09/15/2004 9:54:15 PM CDT by mrsmel

(from old thread)


30 posted on 09/15/2004 7:57:21 PM PDT by stlnative (We are going to win one for the Gipper, and they are going to lose one with the Flipper)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: lainie

Thanks for the maps, BTW.

31 posted on 09/15/2004 7:57:27 PM PDT by valkyrieanne
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Types_with_Fist

That would have been a scary place to be today.


32 posted on 09/15/2004 7:57:54 PM PDT by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Right makes right!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: GOP_1900AD
All, please pray for those in Pensacola. Reports that Pensacola Coliseum is flooding. Over 2000 people are using it as a shelter.

I personally can't believe they are using it as a shelter. it is on the bay and less than 100 feet from the water front.

33 posted on 09/15/2004 7:59:57 PM PDT by commish (Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: commish

Heavenly Father, please watch over the safety of the frightened souls now facing this torrent in the Pensacola shelter, and please watch over all others in the path of this storm. Amen.


34 posted on 09/15/2004 8:02:04 PM PDT by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Right makes right!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: lainie

does anyone know if theres a way to hear ham radio traffic

over the net ?


35 posted on 09/15/2004 8:02:24 PM PDT by kingattax (Proud pajama-wearing FReeper)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: commish

Dear Lord. Please protect them.

Why would they use that for a shelter?


36 posted on 09/15/2004 8:02:32 PM PDT by kenth (Even John Kerry's recreation depends on which way the wind is blowing...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: commish

Looking at Mobile Radar ... the Dry pocket looks to be stationary -- as Ivan is pulling through the eye is wrapping back around and deep convection looks to be filling in the right 2/3 of the eye.


37 posted on 09/15/2004 8:02:41 PM PDT by commish (Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: GOP_1900AD; commish

Joining you all in prayer.


38 posted on 09/15/2004 8:03:08 PM PDT by Aquamarine
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: GOP_1900AD

Hurricane Net? Frequency? What band is that on?

thanks


39 posted on 09/15/2004 8:03:30 PM PDT by Cheetah1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: kingattax
HURRICANE NET
40 posted on 09/15/2004 8:04:41 PM PDT by commish (Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 981 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson