Posted on 08/25/2004 12:31:51 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
President Bush has pulled even with John Kerry in a new IBD/TIPP Poll amid charges the challenger may have oversold his four months of service in Vietnam.
In a three-way race, Bush and Kerry both would get 43% if the election were held today, according to the poll taken Aug. 17-23. Independent Ralph Nader would get 5%. In a two-way race, Bush and Kerry deadlock at 44%.
In the previous IBD/TIPP Poll, taken Aug. 2-5, shortly after the Democratic convention, Kerry led by three points in a three-way race and by six in head-to-head competition.
The latest poll surveyed 884 registered voters and has a margin of error of 3.1 points.
"The recent controversy over Vietnam has perhaps cost Kerry some of his luster," said Raghavan Mayur, president of TIPP, a unit of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, IBD's polling partner.
Kerry, who made his Vietnam service a focal point during the convention, has come under fire from veterans' groups for allegedly distorting his war record. Those charges seem to have taken a toll on Kerry's support.
The latest anti-Kerry ads also may have had some effect. They contrast his scathing criticism of U.S. soldiers in Vietnam in testimony before a Senate committee in 1971 and his current ardent pursuit of veterans' votes.
The race in swing states also continues to be close. In late July, Kerry had a four-point lead among "battleground" voters. In the latest poll, Bush leads by a point (44% to 43%), ending Kerry's modest advantage.
Bush also continued to whittle at Kerry's lead among independents. Before the Democratic convention in July, Kerry led Bush by 22 points (52% to 30%) among this group. That was cut to seven points (43% to 36%) after the convention, and Kerry has been unable to recoup the lost ground. The latest poll puts Kerry's advantage with independents at six points (41%-35%).
With fewer than 70 days left before the election, Bush's popularity remains more intense than Kerry's. Nearly three-quarters (74%) of Bush supporters say they support him "strongly" compared with 56% of Kerry supporters.
"You have to keep this in mind while you read the trial-heat numbers," said Mayur. "Despite the fact that the race is currently tied, Bush may be in a stronger position due to his stronger intensity of support. A subpar intensity can hurt voter turnout."
The IBD/TIPP Poll shows that the candidate qualities that matter most to Americans in selecting their president are "honesty and trustworthiness" (23%), "strong leadership" (21%) and "good judgment in crisis" (17%).
About one in 10 are most concerned about having a president who "understands complex issues" or "cares about people like me" (12% and 11%, respectively). Perhaps surprisingly, experience and being likable are not very high on the list (6% and 2%).
Bush is preferred among those who attach high import to honesty and trustworthiness (50% for Bush vs. 29% for Kerry) and strong leadership (64% Bush vs. 27% Kerry).
Kerry is preferred 70%-18% among those who place high importance on understanding complex issues, and empathy — "cares about people like me" (76% Kerry and 17% Bush).
Among those who think "good judgment in crisis" to be important, both Bush and Kerry are preferred equally by 45%.
Personally, I think his 'lead' was vapor to begin with...
;-)
***With fewer than 70 days left before the election, Bush's popularity remains more intense than Kerry's. Nearly three-quarters (74%) of Bush supporters say they
support him "strongly" compared with 56% of Kerry supporters. ***
***Bush is preferred among those who attach high import to honesty and trustworthiness (50% for Bush vs. 29% for Kerry) and strong leadership (64% Bush vs. 27%
Kerry). ***
Precisely why...
"The timing of this attack is suspect." - Every Kerry Spokesperson
I like seeing them turn red on screen when confronted with the SBVT on national television. They start yelling and screaming and frothing... I'm normally a pacifist... but I feel like grabbing one of the war clubs lying around the house and chasing Kerry's advisors around a football stadium doing a patently polynesian war cry. I wouldn't actually hurt them physically, but I think they're the type of people who piss in their pants when threatened with bodily danger.
In fact... Does anyone know if Kerry wore a diaper in Vietnam?
The results of this poll suggest that Kerry needs to be attacked on the question of his judgment in a crisis.
Yeah, but was does COURAGE have to say about these numbers?
If you would like to help the Swift Boat Vets ( as I have, and I urge all to do-- even a few dollars will help ) kindly click on this logo:
If, perchance, the top "click the pic" link is not visible, click here:
-John Kerry- some selected, informative links...--
I want you to help the SwiftVets-- here's how:
1st download the videos and burn them onto a CD or DVD and Hand Them Out! Take lots of extra copies.
Q. Could you please help those of us that are neophytes how to copy?
Both ads are on the SwiftVets.com site. Under "topics" click on "Latest News".See newbie guides at http://www.doom9.org/guides.htm
Also,
You can download the MPEG here!
-more-
FWIW, I downloaded the second commercial, "Sellout," from the swifties website as a mpg file. Then I used IrfanView (available here for free) to create an exe file from the mpg file. The exe file can be burned to CD and will play on any PC without any supporting software.
( Kudos to Fuzzy! )
Thank you,
SVFT!!
MEGA- 
Stay Strong
Fuzzy
I think he's demonstrating that now.
No, but I did hear that he sleep-walked.
BUMP for backhoe's
MEGA RESOURCE of Kerry articles.
Post # 10
BOOKMARK IT!
NJ Gay Gov. Jim McGreevey and John Kerry: Perfect Together
the challenger may have oversold his four months of service in Vietnam.
the challenger may have oversold his four months of service in Vietnam.
the challenger may have oversold his four months of service in Vietnam.
the challenger may have oversold his four months of service in Vietnam.
the challenger may have oversold his four months of service in Vietnam.
the challenger may have oversold his four months of service in Vietnam.
"Among those who think "good judgment in crisis" to be important, both Bush and Kerry are preferred equally by 45%"
Kerry is facing a crisis now with the SBVT issue.
See how well he's handling it?
Sign the Form 180 and release all the military records to prove them wrong. NO!
Sue them for libel. NO!
Whine to President Bush to make them stop. Make it seem like it's Bush's problem.
He just makes their case..."Unfit to Command"
>>Does anyone know if Kerry wore a diaper in Vietnam?<<
Depends.
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