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The GOP Convention Could Seal Kerry's Fate
ChronWatch ^ | 8/22/04 | Vincent Fiore

Posted on 08/22/2004 6:35:25 AM PDT by kattracks

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1 posted on 08/22/2004 6:35:25 AM PDT by kattracks
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To: kattracks

I pray that you are correct. Nice analysis.


2 posted on 08/22/2004 6:38:39 AM PDT by pgobrien (NADER 2004....just to PO the Libs here in NY........)
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To: kattracks

Just got one BIG question. Because there are so many people galvanized in each camp there seems to be few people whose vote would be considered flexible. What if President Bush, like Kerry gets no bump or a negative bump from his convention? We made lot's of hay about Kerry's lack of a bump.......it could also happen here.


3 posted on 08/22/2004 6:40:19 AM PDT by joesbucks
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To: kattracks
Freeper N. Theknow says:
"It’s faster than a checkbook, more powerful than a Democratic demagogue, able to lay waste to a liar Kerry with the single click of a mouse. It's a little bird of truth, it's plain to see Kerry's unfit... it's... it's...SuperFReep!

Want to join in the fun? Click the logo to donate to Swift Boat Veterans for Truth!

4 posted on 08/22/2004 6:40:31 AM PDT by Chieftain (Support the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth and expose Hanoi John's FRAUD!)
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To: kattracks

Don't count your chickens...


5 posted on 08/22/2004 6:41:02 AM PDT by dr_who_2
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To: kattracks
The 'anybody but Bush' candidate could have much to worry about on the morning of September 3

True, but I think he'll have even more to worry about the morning of November 3...

6 posted on 08/22/2004 6:42:12 AM PDT by RockinRight (Liberalism IS the status quo)
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To: joesbucks
All he needs is a 3-4 point bounce, and the MSM will have to start refering to him as the favorite. They will have to start refering to Kerry as the underdog. Because it will be so. What few undecideds there are, tend to vote for the favorite.

Nobody likes to say they voted for a loser.

7 posted on 08/22/2004 6:43:21 AM PDT by NeonKnight
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To: kattracks

8 posted on 08/22/2004 6:43:45 AM PDT by NYCop (Bush, the right choice for real men)
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To: kattracks

Bump! There's no question in my mind President Bush will put that joker away. He'll demonstrate to the country real leadership is not based on empty talk and poll-tested platitudes. Its having a real record of accomplishments to run on. When the chips are down, there will be no real comparison. Bush will be in a class unto himself.


9 posted on 08/22/2004 6:48:17 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: joesbucks
I agree with your lack of bounce. I would like to believe that people have more sense than to vote for a candidate that wants to surrender to the enemy, but I see that anything can happen. There are enough stupid people that may vote for Lurch.
10 posted on 08/22/2004 6:48:47 AM PDT by bronxboy
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To: joesbucks
Because there are so many people galvanized in each camp...

Don't over-rate kerry's 'supporters'. They're really wobbly. I've been talking to several of them who are seriously questioning whether or not they'll vote for him. And this is in the heart of enemy territory, the People's Republic of Kalifornia. :=)

Veterans -- talk to friends, family, and co-workers. They'll listen to you more than they will to the 'media'.

11 posted on 08/22/2004 6:53:25 AM PDT by Bob
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To: kattracks; Liz; Howlin; ALOHA RONNIE; RonDog
The GOP Convention Could Seal Kerry's Fate

I'm looking forward to see all the Effin' Kerry supporters outside the Gaaden getting sprayed with mace...

12 posted on 08/22/2004 6:58:10 AM PDT by Libloather (What did Bergler stow - and when did he stow it?)
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To: kattracks
In 1960 there was no cable TV. There were in most markets no more than 4 TV stations.. and all 4 carried the conventions. The 3 major networks went gavel to gavel.

In 1980 cable was in its infantcy. There was the public channel, and at most one or two indpendents. A huge share of the audience watched the conventions. They networks caried a lot if not all of the convention activity.

By 2004 the major networks are down to an hour or so a night and not every night. The ratings are a fraction of what the were in 1980. There are 3 or 4 out of the 75 cable channels carrying the coventions and more than 65 channels are not.

It takes likely voters viewing the conventions to change minds and pick up control. When there are few if any centrist voters watching the conventions, there will be little if any bump.

Bush won't get much of a polling bump out of the Republican convention either.

13 posted on 08/22/2004 6:58:11 AM PDT by Common Tator (Two things make life worth livin.. Guitar in tune and a firm feelin' woman.)
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To: kattracks
For Kerry, the object has always been to somehow adopt all possible positions without ever committing to one. In the end, this will be his undoing.
Kerry gives his acolytes a thousand excuses - but no reason - to vote for him.
''We can do better'' and ''I will do more"
Vote Kerry
He'd tell you why, but you wouldn't understand it.

</sarcasm>

14 posted on 08/22/2004 6:59:25 AM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (The idea around which liberalism coheres is that NOTHING actually matters but PR.)
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To: kattracks

Fiore has written a good analysis and, IMO, Bush just needs to not make any mistakes between now and Nov. 2. The Swift Boat vets have gotten Kerry so unhinged that his campaign is falling apart as he tries to find new ways to manufacture new stories about his Vietnam days so he doesn't have to answer the questions he is currently avoiding.

As more peoplke are beginning to realize that Kerry is hiding something about his background (such as he has NOTHING - ABSOLUTELY NOTHING after being a Prosecutor, Lt. Governor and spending the last 20 years in the Senate; he has nothing but 4 fraudulent months in 'Nam) and the longer he ducks the questions, the more questions arise.

Also, notice something else about Kerry's campaign - we haven't heard anything from his running mate, John Edwards, in awhile. What's Edwards thinking while all of this Swift Boat controversy is raging? He issued the challenge for anyone to spend three minutes with Kerry and defy that Kerry is a war hero; well, the Swiftees took him up on it and look at the reception it has received. Edwards may be re-thinking his second banana slot on the ticket.


15 posted on 08/22/2004 6:59:44 AM PDT by DustyMoment (Repeal CFR NOW!!)
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To: kattracks

I pray that you are correct. Nice analysis.


16 posted on 08/22/2004 7:11:02 AM PDT by pgobrien (NADER 2004....just to PO the Libs here in NY........)
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To: kattracks
Bush will have a committed and consolidated Republican base not seen since the presidency of Ronald Reagan

I'm not so sure.

Many FReepers have stated in recent months their displeasure with Bush over Prescription Drugs, Education, etc. Some have said they'll sit out the election.

If 10% of conservatives stay home, Kerry will win.

It's time for the pouters & purists to wake up.

17 posted on 08/22/2004 7:15:23 AM PDT by Republic If You Can Keep It
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To: kattracks

"The ''anybody but Bush'' candidate could have much to worry about on the morning of September 3."

Like Terazor dumping him like a bad habit within a year. I'll bet she's already wondering if she bought a zero instead of a hero.


18 posted on 08/22/2004 7:20:59 AM PDT by BillyCrockett
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To: kattracks
For Kerry, the object has always been to somehow adopt all possible positions without ever committing to one. In the end, this will be his undoing.

That may well be true.

19 posted on 08/22/2004 7:30:31 AM PDT by savedbygrace
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To: Libloather
Hopefully, Kerry will not allow his supporters to be so physical as to hurt any one, including the NYPD, during the convention.

Tereza's supporters in the Ruckus Society should be easily controllable since they depend on her foundations for support.
20 posted on 08/22/2004 7:33:19 AM PDT by RedEyeJack
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