Posted on 08/22/2004 6:35:25 AM PDT by kattracks
I pray that you are correct. Nice analysis.
Just got one BIG question. Because there are so many people galvanized in each camp there seems to be few people whose vote would be considered flexible. What if President Bush, like Kerry gets no bump or a negative bump from his convention? We made lot's of hay about Kerry's lack of a bump.......it could also happen here.
Want to join in the fun? Click the logo to donate to Swift Boat Veterans for Truth!
Don't count your chickens...
True, but I think he'll have even more to worry about the morning of November 3...
Nobody likes to say they voted for a loser.
Bump! There's no question in my mind President Bush will put that joker away. He'll demonstrate to the country real leadership is not based on empty talk and poll-tested platitudes. Its having a real record of accomplishments to run on. When the chips are down, there will be no real comparison. Bush will be in a class unto himself.
Don't over-rate kerry's 'supporters'. They're really wobbly. I've been talking to several of them who are seriously questioning whether or not they'll vote for him. And this is in the heart of enemy territory, the People's Republic of Kalifornia. :=)
Veterans -- talk to friends, family, and co-workers. They'll listen to you more than they will to the 'media'.
I'm looking forward to see all the Effin' Kerry supporters outside the Gaaden getting sprayed with mace...
In 1980 cable was in its infantcy. There was the public channel, and at most one or two indpendents. A huge share of the audience watched the conventions. They networks caried a lot if not all of the convention activity.
By 2004 the major networks are down to an hour or so a night and not every night. The ratings are a fraction of what the were in 1980. There are 3 or 4 out of the 75 cable channels carrying the coventions and more than 65 channels are not.
It takes likely voters viewing the conventions to change minds and pick up control. When there are few if any centrist voters watching the conventions, there will be little if any bump.
Bush won't get much of a polling bump out of the Republican convention either.
Kerry gives his acolytes a thousand excuses - but no reason - to vote for him.''We can do better'' and ''I will do more"
Vote KerryHe'd tell you why, but you wouldn't understand it.
</sarcasm>
Fiore has written a good analysis and, IMO, Bush just needs to not make any mistakes between now and Nov. 2. The Swift Boat vets have gotten Kerry so unhinged that his campaign is falling apart as he tries to find new ways to manufacture new stories about his Vietnam days so he doesn't have to answer the questions he is currently avoiding.
As more peoplke are beginning to realize that Kerry is hiding something about his background (such as he has NOTHING - ABSOLUTELY NOTHING after being a Prosecutor, Lt. Governor and spending the last 20 years in the Senate; he has nothing but 4 fraudulent months in 'Nam) and the longer he ducks the questions, the more questions arise.
Also, notice something else about Kerry's campaign - we haven't heard anything from his running mate, John Edwards, in awhile. What's Edwards thinking while all of this Swift Boat controversy is raging? He issued the challenge for anyone to spend three minutes with Kerry and defy that Kerry is a war hero; well, the Swiftees took him up on it and look at the reception it has received. Edwards may be re-thinking his second banana slot on the ticket.
I pray that you are correct. Nice analysis.
I'm not so sure.
Many FReepers have stated in recent months their displeasure with Bush over Prescription Drugs, Education, etc. Some have said they'll sit out the election.
If 10% of conservatives stay home, Kerry will win.
It's time for the pouters & purists to wake up.
"The ''anybody but Bush'' candidate could have much to worry about on the morning of September 3."
Like Terazor dumping him like a bad habit within a year. I'll bet she's already wondering if she bought a zero instead of a hero.
That may well be true.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.