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And we're back to tied. Disquieting that Bush never seems to have a 3-4 pt lead in this poll's noise.
1 posted on 08/14/2004 8:56:28 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Owen

W's ahead in Gallup. Rasmussen is crap.


2 posted on 08/14/2004 9:00:31 AM PDT by RockinRight (Liberalism IS the status quo)
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To: Owen
And we're back to tied. Disquieting that Bush never seems to have a 3-4 pt lead in this poll's noise.

It bothers me that President Bush can't seem to pull ahead in any of these polls against a weak candidate like Kerry. Are voters blind or is this the liberal press trying to keep sKerry in the game. Maybe its a little of both? I hope and pray the GOP convention give Bush the bump he needs to finally pull away from Kerry.

3 posted on 08/14/2004 9:02:12 AM PDT by teletech (Friends don't let friends vote DemocRAT!)
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To: Owen

Bush job approval has been 50% or above all month


4 posted on 08/14/2004 9:03:38 AM PDT by gilliam
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To: Owen

Is anyone as sick of these Rasmussen polls as I am? I would love to not see another one posted until the day after the general election.


5 posted on 08/14/2004 9:05:30 AM PDT by ChocChipCookie (Born conservative. Born again by the grace of God.)
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To: Owen

Yes, we're tied. But even though the Bush team says no bounce from the convention I suspect there is some hope. I am guardedly optimistic.


6 posted on 08/14/2004 9:06:23 AM PDT by BunnySlippers (Must get moose and squirrel ... B. Badanov)
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To: Owen

W is a marathon runner; he doesn't sprint ahead and use his energy unwisely. Wait until after the convention, 9/11 anniversary and the "sprint to the finish" the end of October.

Have faith!


9 posted on 08/14/2004 9:07:49 AM PDT by Warriormom
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To: Owen

Yes, but the way I see it, Kerry is the one who should be worrying. With the anti-Bush book firestorm this year and all the negatively spun press against Bush, Kerry is STILL not getting traction. I think Bush is sitting pretty good, pre-convention. We'll see.


11 posted on 08/14/2004 9:10:52 AM PDT by h53pilot
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To: Owen

Bump? What bump?


13 posted on 08/14/2004 9:12:09 AM PDT by upchuck (Well, if I called the wrong number, why did you answer the phone?)
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To: Owen

I dread looking at the Rasmussen poll because it seems to always be one step ahead and two steps back for GWB, with Lurch getting maddeningly undeserved updrafts for the flimsiest of reasons. Yet I can't help going back in the faint hope that at least once I might be rewarded with something encouraging like, say Bush 54%, Kerry 46%. But no, it's always something that makes you really wonder if GWB can win this thing.


16 posted on 08/14/2004 9:18:05 AM PDT by omniscient
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To: Owen

The thing to remember about Rasmussen is that he does admit that he tries to keep his average so it is exactly 39% dem and 35% GOP. Happy DU people were predicting that Kerry would get about 50 after the convention. Hasn't happened. What I am basically looking at right now in the daily Rasmussen poll is not Bush's numbers, but Kerry's numbers. If Kerry drops below 47, I think he's in trouble.

Since the convention Kerry has been at 48 or 49 almost the whole time. He's only been at 47 a few times, including today. Even when Bush had a real good day and got up to 48 for a couple of days, Kerry remained at 47. If Kerry does drop to 46 or below, then Bush has the chance to really deliver a knock out blow at the RNC that might put this thing away.


18 posted on 08/14/2004 9:28:01 AM PDT by Nascardude
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To: Owen
Yesterday I predicted this based on my raw data calculations... "Based on raw data I would expect Kerry's number to slip tomorrow as well, as one more strong polling day drops off. I'd expect Bush to remain at about 46-47%." Based on today's numbers it looks like Kerry's three day raw data is now 47-46-47. Bush's is 46-47-46. I'd say tomorrow looks like there will be little to no change from today as one of them would need to poll at 51% or better or 42% or lower to cause a point shift to 48 or 45. Having said all that, my confidence level in my raw data is somewhere around 50% and that's no better than a coin toss. But it keeps me entertained.
19 posted on 08/14/2004 9:29:42 AM PDT by Rokke
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To: Owen
look, this is wonderful news. GWB survived an atrocious June/July, where it seemed that nothing happened for him that was good. and kerry's convention was not only a strategic blunder, by emphasizing his controversial role in a controversial war, but it was also the opinion polling equivalent of a dry orgasm; lot's of noise, but nothing really happened.

we should be encouraged that our guy is still on his feet. the GOP knows how to put on a show; I expect the RNC convention to stake GWB to a lead that he won't relinquish all the way to the election.

20 posted on 08/14/2004 9:29:51 AM PDT by smonk
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To: Owen
Statistical dead heat.

Sure hope the big "W" gains and maintains at least 10-15% bump after the convention.

Probably wishfull thinking. I believe most minds are already made up and there are only 3-5% undecided making any gains to be within that percentile. That is unless the reputation of the John John team is tarnished enouph to sway the "Anyone but Bushers" to vote for Ralphie Boy or stay at home.

24 posted on 08/14/2004 10:20:57 AM PDT by R_Kangel
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To: Owen
The generic congressional ballot is very interesting too. We'll have to wait and see if this is MOE noise or a genuine shift.

Updated Daily by Noon Eastern

Generic Congressional Ballot

Date GOP Dem
Today 40 42
Aug 13 38 43
Aug 12 38 44
Aug 11 38 45
Aug 10 38 45
Aug 9 38 44
Aug 8 38 44
Aug 7 38 45
Aug 6 39 45
Aug 5 39 44
Aug 4 39 44
Aug 3 37 44
Aug 2 37 45
Aug 1 38 45

Dates are release dates Surveys conducted on preceding three nights

Earlier Results for

RR Premium Members.

RasmussenReports.com



25 posted on 08/14/2004 10:32:45 AM PDT by The_Victor
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To: Owen

"Disquieting"

Not to me!

When the liberal polsters use "adults" or "registered voters" instead of "likely voters" .. it skews the numbers to an even race. I think the dems are deceiving themselves.

They think this will demoralize the repubs, make the repubs think Kerry is going to win, and the repubs will give up. WRONG!!

I'm encouraged .. if Bush can still be at 50% after all the trash and garbage the dems have thrown at him .. he can easily win the election.


26 posted on 08/14/2004 11:05:55 AM PDT by CyberAnt (President Bush: The only way to Peace is through Victory!)
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To: Owen

And not to mention that we are far behind in the EC.


30 posted on 08/14/2004 11:16:13 AM PDT by COURAGE (A charter member of the Grim FReeper Club)
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To: Owen

These pollsters put this junk out because they don't want anyone to think President Bush is picking up speed and Hanoi john is imploding. They didn't poll me, because they wouldn't like to hear what I have to say. President Bush is a GREAT President and a GREAT Commander-in-Chief.


31 posted on 08/14/2004 11:22:18 AM PDT by JOE43270 (JOE43270 My vote goes for President Bush because he is a great leader and a good man.)
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