Posted on 08/13/2004 12:50:06 PM PDT by veronica
What's amazing to me is that he is even close enough to be considered to have a chance to win. How half the country can support that boob at this crucial time is beyond me.
The other half of this country needs to wake up and smell the coffee.
LOL.
"unless you happen to be Dick Morris, but in that case you already said it anyway."
I do not enjoy having my toes sucked by prostitutes. And my wife would not like it if I did, nor I may add my children or grandchildren.
That's the same argument put forth every time concerning the swing states moving together. There's certainly some truth in it, but if that were the case then Dubya would have lost WV and maybe AR last time around. Not to mention FL. Gore had to draw an inside straight last time to win, and he almost did it with the help of a premature FL call. Kerry's in a worse position IMHO.
Pundits want attention. Pollsters want to get hired. The media want people to watch. The perception of a close exciting race helps them all.
I am confused....After the Dem convenion and the non-bounce for Kerry, all the pundits and polls seemed to be doom and gloom for Kerry-Edwards. Now a few brief days later, it's all over for GWB?! What exactly is going on here?
I agree with the article for the most part, except for one thing; the abovementioned October Surprise..
It may well be. That's why it was at the end and with multiple question marks. But talk to me after Labor Day. :-)
Now that the Dems have a real candidate for governor in Missouri, there is a decent chance that they can win the state. All the polling Ive seen has been very close and Kerry and Bush campaigns have both spending a lot of time here.
Virginia has been getting less and less Republican by the year. You got a ton of federal employees and lobbyists living in the northern part of the state. Colorado is in play with Ben Nighthorse Campbell not running for reelection. You can bet the Dems will spending a lot of money on getting out the vote for the Senatorial campaign. Louisiaia has two Democrat Senators so with fraud and a little luck they could come close there if things really go bad for Bush.
Your comment about the difficulty of Kerry winning the new states that he needs (outside of Florida and/or Ohio), also holds true for Bush. Bush won a number of states by small margins. It will almost be as difficult for Bush to hold all the states that he won before if Iraq and the Economy continue to drag him down.
I have a very bad feeling that this election is goign to go to the House of Representatives for resolution. 269-269.
Yeah, but Bush won MO last time.
At least not team sports, as Peter Gammons revealed, and as rugged as he looks in his publicity photos, we know now that he throws like a girl.
And Kerry was a successful fallback only because the DemocRat core saw Kerry as a military antiwar candidate. When the Swiftboat Vets charges against Kerry stand as the truth, and Kerry's courage in battle is recognized as only padded tripe, his usefulness as a veteran antiwar hero candidate will be finished. DemocRat Bush haters will stay home in droves swallowing psychogenic medications and alcohol on November 3. The landslide will not be due to votes for the President; it will be due to haters failing to vote against the President.
The Pentagon is already worried that they are going to have difficult time getting ballots out to the troops in the field (which by the way is where most of them are). In Missouri this has been further complicated by the Dems currently having the results of the election two weeks ago in limbo. Secretary of State cant print absentee ballots until the court case is resolved and that may not be until sometime after Labor Day. Im sure they will figure out a way to get ballots out for Nov 3 but the military on active duty could get disinfranchised.
On Florida, I wouldnt be so optimisitic. Blacks had huge turnout in 2000 but the idiots that bussed them to the polls gave them bad instructions. They told them to vote for Gore and to write in Liebermen. They lost over 25,000 votes statewide because idiot voters voted twice. I find it hard to believe many Republicans would be that stupid.
Bush is behind in all of those states at the moment. I wouldnt count on him winning any of those unless he wins by a landslide.
Even better thaan the Bushes working on a Habitat for Humanity house would be for Kerry to. Can you imagine the pictures of him trying to drive a nail or hang drywall?
Love the Grand Canyon in the background. Trouble is, when sKerry was here, all he had to say about it was negative stuff...like the park is a mess, etc. Not a real positive guy! Needless to say, that didn't go over too well with us 'zonies.
The predictive models all are on Bush's side. The polls mixed, but slightly on Kerry's side. Who'se right? Based on what we've seen in Missouri and Colorado, I think that the pollsters are simply (for some reason) not getting their "mix" at all correct.
Actually, I had completely neglected to consider the McGreevey situation when I made that comment. I think if McGreevey could be forced out early enough to trigger a gubernatorial election this November, then things could possibly get interesting again. Otherwise, I think Kerry has enough of an inherent advantage in the state to carry it.
Are there a lot of voters in Mizzou who can't figure out which candidate (party) is most in line with "marriage protection"?
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