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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: mwp99

I believe he would want to be on that plane.


941 posted on 08/13/2004 1:00:12 PM PDT by Petronski (I am become death, destroyer of worlds.)
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To: Howlin

I hope my sister doesn't lose her house on Sanibel Island....


942 posted on 08/13/2004 1:00:14 PM PDT by mystery-ak (The most dangerous place in the world...between Moore and Ronstadt in the buffet line!)
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Place marking.

Prayers for the safety of all in Charley's path.

I shudder at the thought of a Category 4.


943 posted on 08/13/2004 1:00:42 PM PDT by RottiBiz
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To: oceanview

No the dude MineralMan was responding was questioning whether this is even a hurricane at all. I think we can assume it's a hurricane. And better to hype, I say. It might disrupt lives but it also saves them.


944 posted on 08/13/2004 1:00:45 PM PDT by Gone GF
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Comment #945 Removed by Moderator

To: mystery-ak
I hope my sister doesn't lose her house on Sanibel Island....

If they're reporting 15 ft. storm surges, she probably did.

946 posted on 08/13/2004 1:01:12 PM PDT by r9etb
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To: oceanview

yes, i am getting reports now, must have the tightest eyewall ever! look like the real deal, too bad charette harbor is toast.


947 posted on 08/13/2004 1:01:15 PM PDT by jpsb (Nominated 1994 "Worst writer on the net")
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To: ContemptofCourt

Why??? I thought that was just for this evening.

5 days???


948 posted on 08/13/2004 1:01:59 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: jpsb

Can you people quit talking out of your arses? This is ridiculous!


949 posted on 08/13/2004 1:02:03 PM PDT by jayef
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To: MineralMan

I was in Homestead during Andrew, and I tend to agree with him. This is a strong storm with a lot of water, but I have seen nothing to approach the strength of Andrew or a real bad hurricane. Believe me, they wouldn't be in that hotel talking about it if it was BAD!!


950 posted on 08/13/2004 1:02:03 PM PDT by Desparado
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To: Tuxedo

Like me? lol :(


951 posted on 08/13/2004 1:02:18 PM PDT by grannie9 (There are three kinds of kids I dislike. Mine, yours and everyone else's.)
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To: MineralMan

Someone with the still camera on Ft. Myers beach said the water was halfway up the 1st floor lobby


952 posted on 08/13/2004 1:02:20 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: Pyro7480

Have there been any reports of the damage Charley left behind in Cuba?


953 posted on 08/13/2004 1:02:35 PM PDT by dfwgator (It's sad that the news media treats Michael Jackson better than our military.)
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To: All

CBS now covering the storm. That's most unusual and speaks to the magnitude of this hurricane.


954 posted on 08/13/2004 1:02:57 PM PDT by buccaneer81 (Rick Nash will score 50 goals this season ( if there is a season)
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To: grannie9

Are you boarded up? What's it like there now?


955 posted on 08/13/2004 1:02:58 PM PDT by Tuxedo
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To: mystery-ak
I'm another Sanibel aficionado, vacationed there several times. I hope to God it's not too bad. What a lovely place.
956 posted on 08/13/2004 1:03:03 PM PDT by Jhensy
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To: gopwinsin04
Someone with the still camera on Ft. Myers beach said the water was halfway up the 1st floor lobby

Just damn.

957 posted on 08/13/2004 1:03:11 PM PDT by dfwgator (It's sad that the news media treats Michael Jackson better than our military.)
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To: dfwgator

NO damage in Cuba.. Papa Fidel stood on the Beach and ordered Charley to hit the infidel Americans.


958 posted on 08/13/2004 1:03:19 PM PDT by commish (Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
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To: dawn53

http://www.tampabays10.com/news/news.aspx?storyid=9500


959 posted on 08/13/2004 1:03:27 PM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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To: buccaneer81

15 INCHES of rain in Naples so far! (according to the weather guage)


960 posted on 08/13/2004 1:03:58 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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